Geopolitical shifts

Russia Cuts Off Gas Transit Through Ukraine

On New Year’s Day, Russia will cease gas exports to Europe via Ukrainian pipelines, ending a five-year transit agreement and marking a significant geopolitical shift. This halt, coupled with an impending cold snap, will severely test Europe’s gas reserves, already depleted faster than in previous winters. The price of gas is rising, and the situation could stress-test European markets, particularly as countries face reduced wind power and increased heating demand. While some countries, like Slovakia, pressure Ukraine to renegotiate, Ukraine refuses a deal benefiting Russia financially.

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Russia to Remove Taliban From Terrorist List

A U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel in Lebanon is imminent, with both sides expected to approve a truce deal soon. The agreement, involving an Israeli withdrawal from south Lebanon and Lebanese army deployment to the border region within 60 days, has overcome a key obstacle regarding monitoring compliance through a five-country committee. Despite ongoing intense hostilities, including recent devastating airstrikes and rocket fire, the deal aims to restore stability based on UN Resolution 1701, though internal disagreements within the Israeli government remain.

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