Geopolitical forecast

Russia’s 2045 Plan: Ukraine’s Partition and a Reshaped World Order

Russia’s Ministry of Defense forecasts Ukraine’s demise as an independent state by 2045, proposing annexation of occupied territories, the creation of a pro-Russian puppet state around Kyiv, and leaving western regions’ fate to negotiations with neighboring countries. This plan, aimed at a multipolar world or global chaos, anticipates Russian victory in Ukraine to reshape international politics. Conversely, US or Chinese dominance are considered unfavorable outcomes for Russia, contingent on a Russian defeat or a frozen conflict. While President Trump’s election promises a swift end to the war, concrete plans remain unclear.

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