foreign policy analysis

Trump’s Iran Missile Claim Lacks Intelligence Support

U.S. intelligence reports indicate that claims of Iran possessing missiles capable of reaching the United States in the near future are likely exaggerated. Assessments suggest it could take until 2035 for Iran to develop a militarily viable intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) from its existing satellite-launching technology, even with potential foreign assistance. While Iran has a significant ballistic missile program, experts note it is years away from developing the technology needed for an operational ICBM that could strike the U.S. homeland.

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