In response to President Trump’s unexpected tariffs, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell voiced concern over the potential for increased inflation and reduced economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed’s commitment to maintaining stable inflation and stated that the central bank will adopt a wait-and-see approach regarding interest rate adjustments until the full economic impact of the tariffs becomes clear. He noted that the tariffs’ effects are uncertain but are likely to be significant, causing both higher inflation and slower growth. This cautious stance follows recent market volatility and President Trump’s call for interest rate cuts.
Read More
January’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.5 percent, exceeding forecasts and marking a faster increase than December. Core inflation, excluding volatile food and energy prices, also surpassed expectations at 0.4 percent. This higher-than-anticipated inflation adds pressure on President Trump’s administration to fulfill its campaign promise of immediate price reduction. The Federal Reserve’s next move on interest rates will likely be informed by this data, with Chair Powell suggesting a wait-and-see approach given the uncertainty surrounding the new administration’s economic policies.
Read More
Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is auditing federal agencies, including a focus on the Federal Reserve, which Musk has long criticized for its monetary policies and alleged overstaffing. Musk asserts that all government entities, especially the Fed, must be transparent and accountable. This audit follows Musk’s previous public statements calling for lower interest rates and questioning the Fed’s employee count, a claim Fed Chair Jerome Powell refuted. A federal judge recently blocked DOGE’s access to Treasury records following a lawsuit.
Read More
January’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report revealed a 3% year-over-year increase in inflation, exceeding expectations and marking a rise from the previous month’s 2.9%. This surge, driven by increased costs for groceries, gasoline, and rent, is likely to solidify the Federal Reserve’s stance against further interest rate cuts. The unexpected inflation increase follows President Trump’s election promises to reduce prices and could dampen business optimism, as evidenced by the Dow’s decline and rising bond yields. Economists express concern that this inflation, coupled with Trump’s proposed tariffs, could negatively impact business confidence and economic growth.
Read More
January’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data revealed a 0.5% increase in consumer prices from December, marking the fastest pace since September 2023 and an annual inflation rate of 3%. This unexpectedly high figure, exceeding economist predictions, reflects broad price increases across various goods and services, including a significant 15.2% jump in egg prices. Even the core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy, rose 0.4% monthly, reaching an annual rate of 3.3%. This surge in inflation counters the Federal Reserve’s goals and could lead to continued high interest rates, contrasting with President Trump’s desired policy adjustments.
Read More
December’s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey revealed a decrease in job openings to 7.6 million, a decline of 556,000, despite steady hiring and quit rates. This drop, concentrated in professional and business services, education, and finance, lowered the job openings-to-worker ratio to 1.1:1. While layoffs remained relatively low, the overall data suggests a cooling labor market, impacting upcoming Federal Reserve policy decisions.
Read More
Trump’s recent downplaying of inflation as his top priority raises significant questions about the future trajectory of consumer prices. If his past actions and pronouncements are any indication, a renewed focus on other policy areas, potentially at the expense of addressing inflationary pressures, could lead to considerable economic uncertainty for consumers.
The potential impact on consumer prices is multifaceted and hinges on several key factors, including his approach to trade and economic policy. His history suggests a preference for protectionist measures, such as tariffs, which would likely increase the cost of imported goods, immediately impacting everyday consumer items. This could lead to a ripple effect, causing domestic businesses to adjust their pricing strategies and further escalate the cost of living.… Continue reading
President Trump publicly urged immediate interest rate reductions globally, marking a renewed confrontation with the Federal Reserve. His comments, delivered at the World Economic Forum, followed his past criticisms of Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his assertion of influence over monetary policy. While the stock market reacted positively, the Fed has consistently maintained its independence from political pressure. Trump intends to communicate directly with Powell, despite lacking direct statutory control over the central bank.
Read More
December’s US inflation rate rose to 2.9%, driven largely by a 40%+ surge in energy prices and a staggering 36%+ increase in egg prices due to avian flu. However, core inflation remained lower than anticipated at 3.2%, easing concerns of a renewed inflation wave. This relatively positive data, contrasting with strong job growth, created uncertainty regarding future Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Market reactions were initially positive, but anxieties persist about potential inflationary pressures from upcoming policy changes.
Read More
The Federal Reserve’s announcement of fewer-than-expected interest rate cuts in 2025 triggered a significant market downturn, with the S&P 500 experiencing one of its worst days of the year, falling 2.9%. This decision, driven by a robust job market and rising inflation, contrasts with earlier projections of more substantial cuts. The resulting increase in Treasury yields negatively impacted stocks, particularly those of smaller companies heavily reliant on borrowing. The shift reflects the Fed’s cautious approach amid economic uncertainties, including those potentially stemming from the incoming administration’s policies.
Read More
John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood