Danish Intelligence Warns: Russia Could Launch Major European War Within 5 Years
This updated assessment forecasts potential Russian aggression following a cessation or freezing of the Ukraine conflict, assuming limited Russian capacity for multi-front warfare. Three scenarios are presented: a local war within six months, a regional Baltic war within two years, and a large-scale European attack within five years (absent US involvement). The assessment notably excludes potential NATO defense enhancements. These projections are further contextualized by President Trump’s calls for increased NATO defense spending and his past statements regarding potential US withdrawal or encouragement of Russian attacks against financially non-compliant members.