A recent Emerson College poll reveals that a majority of likely California voters support Proposition 50, Governor Newsom’s redistricting effort, with 57% in favor. This support represents a shift, as certain demographics, including Black voters, have increased their backing of the measure. Proposition 50 would allow the state Legislature to bypass the independent redistricting commission, and the poll indicates it is likely to pass, outside the margin of error. The survey was conducted from October 20-21 with a sample of 900 likely voters and a margin of error of 3.19 percentage points.
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A recent Emerson College poll reveals a close race between Vice President JD Vance and California Governor Gavin Newsom in a hypothetical 2028 presidential matchup, with Vance leading at 46% to Newsom’s 45%. This 1% lead for Vance marks a narrowing from previous polls conducted by Emerson, indicating Newsom has gained ground. Both candidates have yet to formally announce their candidacy but are frequently discussed as potential contenders, increasing public interest and speculation. The next steps for potential candidates will likely be determined after the midterm elections in November 2026.
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As the mayoral candidates campaigned in the final hours before the primary, a new Emerson College poll revealed Zohran Mamdani surpassing frontrunner Andrew Cuomo after ranked-choice voting. While Cuomo held a slight lead in the initial vote, the poll projected Mamdani winning by a 51.8%-48.2% margin after eight rounds. The poll also highlighted divisions among voters, with Mamdani gaining support among those under 50, while Cuomo led among older New Yorkers and women supported Cuomo by a slim majority. The poll’s findings were met with differing reactions, with Mamdani’s camp celebrating and Cuomo’s dismissing the results.
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John Q. Hosedrinker