To prepare for the new school year or simply refresh one’s wardrobe, Levi’s is offering a selection of iconic denim staples. The brand is featuring seasonal essentials on sale through Labor Day, with savings of up to 30 percent on key items. Among the featured items are the Baggy Dad jeans, which offer a relaxed fit, and the classic 501® Originals, introduced over 150 years ago. Moreover, the original Trucker Jacket, a timeless piece since 1967, and the ’90s Trucker Jacket are also available.
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Unemployment figures have recently surged, with nearly two million Americans continuously receiving unemployment benefits, the highest since late 2021. New unemployment claims also saw an increase, slightly surpassing economists’ predictions, following a disappointing July jobs report that added only 73,000 jobs. This report spurred former President Trump to fire the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, blaming her for the dismal hiring numbers and potential manipulation of data. Economists, however, suggest the situation could be linked to broader economic factors like slower hiring rates and the impact of global tariffs.
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Following high-level talks in Geneva, the U.S. and China have agreed to a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs, reducing rates by 115 percent. This brings U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods to 30 percent and Chinese tariffs on U.S. goods to 10 percent. Negotiations will continue during the pause, focusing on issues including fentanyl trafficking and balanced trade. The agreement is considered a significant step towards resolving the trade conflict and potentially averting a recession.
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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirmed the incompatibility of simultaneously lowering inflation and implementing substantial tariffs. He warned that sustained tariff increases would likely cause inflation, slower economic growth, and unemployment. The inflationary impact’s duration remains uncertain, depending on tariff magnitude and the speed of price adjustments. Successfully mitigating persistent inflation hinges on the scale of tariff effects and maintaining stable long-term inflation expectations.
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President Trump’s tariff policies are predicted to negatively impact the US economy, potentially causing a recession. His comments suggest an expectation of fewer, more expensive imported goods. Trump downplayed the economic consequences, using the example of children receiving fewer toys as a trivial impact. This perspective ignores the broader implications of increased prices on consumer goods and overall economic stability.
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The possibility of a truce remains, despite the current stalemate. However, a significant obstacle is the unwillingness of any party to initiate contact. This reluctance to be the first to reach out suggests deep mistrust and a lack of confidence in the other sides’ intentions. Consequently, the path towards a peaceful resolution remains blocked by this hesitancy. Overcoming this impasse requires a courageous act of diplomacy from one of the involved parties.
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President Trump’s steep tariffs on Chinese imports, reaching 145 percent, have significantly disrupted US-China trade, mirroring the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic’s factory shutdowns. This has resulted in a sharp decrease in container ship traffic between the two countries, foreshadowing future product shortages. While consumer prices haven’t drastically changed yet, some companies are increasing prices, and experts predict widespread effects in the coming weeks as canceled orders ripple through the global supply chain. The number of container ships leaving China for the US plummeted by approximately one-third in April alone.
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President Trump’s unpredictable tariff announcements have severely disrupted the U.S. economy, causing significant declines in stock markets and drastically impacting the Port of Los Angeles, where cargo arrivals are projected to fall by 35 percent. This disruption, likened to the impact of COVID-19, affects the entire supply chain, with delays lasting nine to twelve months even after any resolution. The instability undermines global confidence in U.S. economic policy, jeopardizing business decisions and potentially leading to further economic contraction as the logistics system atrophies. Unlike temporary shocks, this protracted uncertainty threatens the entire U.S. economy, with impacts felt far beyond Wall Street.
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Nearly 900 economists, including two Nobel laureates, have signed a letter condemning President Trump’s tariff policies as “misguided” and a potential cause of recession. The letter argues that these tariffs, based on flawed economic reasoning, contradict principles of liberty and will harm American workers through price increases. Signatories, representing a range of political viewpoints, criticize the administration’s “reciprocal” tariffs as economically unsound. Despite current volatility, the letter expresses hope that sound economic principles will ultimately prevail.
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Eighty canceled sailings from China, attributed to decreased demand stemming from the US-China trade war, have been reported. This reduction in transpacific services, impacting major alliances like ONE, could result in a significant drop of 640,000 to 800,000 containers, severely impacting ports, logistics companies, and related sectors. The World Trade Organization has noted a sharp deterioration in global trade outlook, and the uncertainty is impacting businesses like JB Hunt. While a complete halt is unlikely, a substantial decrease in container traffic is anticipated.
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John Q. Hosedrinker