The World Bank forecasts a sluggish 2.7% global economic growth in 2019, mirroring the performance of 2019 and representing a significant weakening. This rate, while manageable, is insufficient to elevate living standards globally. The projection reflects concerns over factors such as potential US tariffs, which could severely impact international trade and overall economic health. This subdued growth highlights the fragility of the current economic climate.
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Senator Ron Wyden criticized President-elect Trump’s proposed “External Revenue Service,” arguing it’s a deceptive tactic to mask massive tax cuts for the wealthy funded by increased taxes on families and small businesses. Trump intends to use tariff revenue, potentially collected by a renamed Treasury Department office, to offset the cost of extending 2017 tax cuts. However, analysis shows that resulting price increases from tariffs would outweigh the tax cuts for most Americans, benefiting only the wealthiest 5%. This proposal follows reports that Trump is considering a national economic emergency declaration to justify widespread tariffs.
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President-elect Trump’s threat to impose 25% tariffs on Canadian imports, and his suggestion that Canada become the 51st state, overshadows the significant negative impact these tariffs would have on American consumers. Trudeau highlights that increased costs for goods like oil and gas would harm U.S. citizens, countering Trump’s assertions of trade deficits and Canadian subsidies. Canada has prepared retaliatory tariffs on various U.S. goods should the threat materialize, mirroring previous responses to similar actions. Despite Trump’s claims of U.S. energy independence, Canada remains a crucial supplier of oil to the United States.
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President-elect Trump is considering invoking the International Economic Emergency Powers Act (IEEPA) to justify widespread tariffs on both allies and adversaries, aiming to reshape global trade. This action would grant him broad authority to implement tariffs without needing to demonstrate national security concerns, a feature appealing to Trump. Alternative legal avenues, including sections 338 and 301 of US trade law, are also under consideration, but IEEPA offers a faster route to implementing tariffs. While no final decision has been made, the potential for a national economic emergency declaration is actively being discussed.
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Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on Denmark over Greenland is, to put it mildly, perplexing. The very idea of using tariffs as leverage in this situation demonstrates a fundamental misunderstanding of how tariffs actually function. It’s not as if Denmark is going to suddenly feel the pinch of reduced exports to the US; their share is minimal. Furthermore, targeting Denmark specifically would be incredibly foolish, given its membership in the European Union. This would essentially mean a trade war with the entire EU, a far more significant and damaging conflict than any minor trade friction with Denmark alone.
The notion that imposing tariffs on Danish goods would somehow pressure Denmark to cede Greenland to the US is completely unrealistic.… Continue reading
President-elect Trump’s claim that Gilded Age tariffs spurred economic growth is contradicted by economic historians. While tariffs were a major government revenue source during this period (due to the absence of income tax), research indicates that economic success was despite, not because of, high tariffs. Industries with high tariff protection experienced less productivity and innovation compared to those with less protection. Therefore, tariffs did not contribute to the rise of American manufacturing, and instead likely inflated prices for consumers.
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In December, the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index plummeted 8.1 points to 104.7, falling below expectations and marking a sharp reversal from the previous two months. This decline was largely driven by a 12.6-point drop in the Expectations Index to a five-month low of 81.1, nearing the recessionary threshold of 80. Consumer concerns cited included political uncertainty and the anticipated impact of tariffs on the cost of living, outweighing any potential job creation benefits. The significant drop in consumer confidence is reflected in Walmart’s stock decline, prompting speculation of an impending recession.
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Despite previous claims of lowering grocery prices, Trump acknowledges the difficulty in reversing price increases. He cites improved energy supply and supply chain fixes as potential solutions, pointing to congested ports as evidence of ongoing supply chain issues. However, his proposed 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods, major sources of US fruits and vegetables, directly contradict this goal and will likely raise consumer prices. This suggests a disconnect between Trump’s stated objectives and the likely consequences of his economic proposals.
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Despite widespread warnings from economists, President-elect Trump’s proposed tariffs face criticism for potentially increasing consumer costs. When pressed on Meet the Press, Trump initially denied that consumers would pay more but later conceded he couldn’t guarantee it, contradicting his campaign promises of lowering prices. He further deflected responsibility, claiming previous tariffs had no negative impact, a claim directly contradicted by evidence of price increases on various goods. While he expressed uncertainty about restricting abortion medication, Trump definitively committed to ending birthright citizenship upon assuming office.
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John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood