The Des Moines Register’s final poll shows Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris leading Republican Donald Trump by a narrow margin ahead of the election in Iowa, a state typically presumed to support Trump. Kamala had the backing of 47% of respondents, as opposed to Trump’s 44%. The poll, conducted by respected pollster J. Ann Selzer, is known as the “gold standard” for its accurate track record in predicting state-wide election results. However, Progressive advocates have urged that supporters should not place complete faith in a single poll, pushing for continued campaigning actions. The poll also reported that among women aged 65 and older there was a significant shift towards Harris, with 63% supporting her over Trump’s 28%, and independent-identifying women also favouring her, 57% to 29%.
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Two days before the presidential election, former President Donald Trump spoke at a rally in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, expressing conspiratorial and profanity-laden sentiments. He repeatedly cast doubt on the integrity of the vote, intensified his attacks on Democrats and the media, and made references to reporters and political critics being shot. He suggested he can only lose the election under fraudulent circumstances, despite polling showing a very close race. Trump was previously indicted for attempts to overturn his 2020 election defeat. There are concerns among some Trump allies about prematurely declaring victory on election night, as he did in the 2016 election, which led to months of denial and lies, climaxing in the Jan. 6, 2021 Capitol insurrection.
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A new poll conducted by Morning Call/Muhlenberg College shows Vice President Kamala Harris slightly ahead of former President Donald Trump in the crucial battleground state of Pennsylvania, two days before Election Day. Harris leads with a 49% to 47% margin, within the poll’s margin of error. Pennsylvania, with 19 electoral votes, could decisively sway the election. Other polls depict an extremely tight race in the state, with some aggregators placing Trump slightly ahead. Both campaigns have stationed strong presences in the state.
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The senior pastor of Cornerstone Church in Arlington, Texas, explains why he, an evangelical Christian, is voting for Democratic VP Kamala Harris for president. Despite traditionally voting based on social issues and aligning his beliefs with that of the Republican Party, he argues the GOP has strayed from its earlier stances. His change in voting decision is compelled by the character of the candidates, crediting Harris with having good character, integrity, and a record that can pass a background check. In contrast, he criticizes Trump for his moral inconsistencies, adulterous affairs, criminal convictions, race-baiting, and for not resembling the church’s values. He argues that evangelicals should move away from today’s Republican Party, which he believes no longer reflects their faith.
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An individual, presumably Donald Trump given context clues, expressed regret over his departure from the White House in January 2021. He lamented the large number of lawyers now associated with polling booths. This statement attracted criticism and disbelief on social media, including commentary from one user highlighting that departure is expected when someone is fired. A second social media user described the speaker as a threat to democracy.
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Former president Donald Trump responded to a surprising poll from the Des Moines Register that indicated favor was swinging towards Kamala Harris in Iowa, a state that was previously 18 points in Trump’s favour. Trump accused the pollster of being biased against him and urged the state’s farmers to support him. This recent poll aligns with reportedly bleak internal polls for Trump and ongoing trends predicting key swing-state races favouring Democrats. GOP strategist Margaret Hoover believes these internal polls are a cause for concern for Trump’s campaign. Democrats are apparently in a strong position to take on incumbents, according to Race to the WH founder Logan Phillips.
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Former President Donald Trump, at a recent Pennsylvania rally, heightened his criticisms of news outlets. He stated he wouldn’t be bothered if someone shot “through the fake news”, a reference to the media representatives often present between him and the crowd at such events. His comments were described as follows by Trump Campaign Communications Director Steven Cheung, “President Trump was stating that the Media was in danger, in that they were protecting him and, therefore, were in great danger themselves, and should have had a glass protective shield, also.” These remarks come soon after Trump’s arguably threatening comments about former congresswoman Liz Cheney, whom he labelled a “war hawk”.
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Donald Trump’s claim that his political rallies were always packed to capacity was publicly fact-checked during his recent rally in Greensboro, North Carolina. After Trump stated that his rallies were always full, a camera operator telecast empty seats at the stadium where the meeting was held, while News Nation’s Libbey Dean also tweeted photographs of unoccupied seats. The Kamala Harris and Tim Walz campaign account also posted photographs, comparing Trump’s claim with images of empty stadium sections. Trump supporters leaving the event early have been previously reported by The Guardian.
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A recent poll prediction showing Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of Donald Trump in Iowa has sparked a dramatic shift in election prediction markets. The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll, conducted by highly respected pollster Ann Selzer, found Harris three points up on Trump among likely voters. Consequently, markets such as Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt, which had previously favored Trump, saw a decrease in his winning probability. Over $174 million has been traded on Kalshi alone related to the election, and Harris’s chances of victory have increased almost 10 points within the span of a week. Despite another favorable poll for Trump, analysts consider the Selzer survey significant due to the accuracy and credibility of previous results.
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Former US President Donald Trump has made a potentially dangerous statement at a rally in Pennsylvania, suggesting he wouldn’t mind if an attempt to assassinate him involved shooting through members of the media. Both Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris have been speaking behind panels of bulletproof glass as a security measure following an assassination attempt against Trump in July. After pointing out the glass in front of him, Trump mentioned that there was no glass between him and the media, stating someone would have to “shoot through the fake news” to get him. This comment sparked concerns about it being a potential call for violence.
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John Q. Hosedrinker