Debt-to-GDP

IMF Warns of Global Debt Crisis: Millennials Fear Repeating History

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects global government debt to reach 100% of GDP by 2029, the highest since World War II, fueled by increased spending before and during the Covid-19 pandemic. The IMF’s Fiscal Monitor report highlighted that this increase is causing significant concern, especially for emerging economies, urging governments to shift spending towards growth-friendly sectors like infrastructure and education. The UK, among other G20 nations, is expected to see its debt-to-GDP ratio surpass 100%, and faces scrutiny from bond market investors. The IMF also cited reluctance to impose tax increases and looming expenditures on defense, natural disasters, and demographics as contributing factors to rising debt.

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JPMorgan: US Debt Crisis Looms as National Debt Swells and Tariffs Fail

According to J.P. Morgan Asset Management’s David Kelly, the U.S. government faces long-term financial challenges due to a growing national debt, currently exceeding $37.8 trillion. While the government is “going broke slowly,” the debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to increase, potentially impacting long-term interest rates and the dollar. Despite some optimism due to factors like tariff revenues, risks such as potential court challenges to tariffs and the possibility of a recession could accelerate debt accumulation. Therefore, investors should consider diversifying their portfolios to mitigate the risk of a faster deterioration in the federal finances.

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