Russian government plans to raise value-added tax (VAT) to 22% in 2026, alongside other tax reforms, are expected to accelerate inflation. Deputy Governor of the Russian Central Bank, Aleksei Zabotkin, anticipates the VAT increase will add 0.6-0.7 percentage points to the consumer price index, as it is Russia’s main turnover tax. The government also plans to lower the threshold for the simplified taxation system (STS) and abolish tax breaks for IT companies. These measures, coupled with existing tax hikes and declining oil and gas revenues, are intended to fund the war against Ukraine and address a soaring budget deficit.
Read More
Russia’s Putin denies economy is stagnating, as evidence suggests otherwise, and this is a narrative that feels increasingly familiar. It’s like a broken record, where the leader insists everything is fine while the facts on the ground tell a different story. The similarities between this and certain situations in the US are striking. It seems the denial of economic realities has become a common tactic in some leadership circles.
The current economic situation is, frankly, concerning. Reports indicate that Russia is planning to significantly increase its borrowing, likely to offset the massive government spending. This spending is, at least in part, propping up the economy, so without it, things could get much worse, and rapidly.… Continue reading
Evergrande, once China’s largest property developer, has been delisted from the Hong Kong stock market after its spectacular downfall. This marks the end of the road for the company, which was built on massive debt and saw its valuation plummet by over 99% after the onset of the crisis. The company’s collapse, fueled by over $300 billion in debt and regulatory changes, has significantly impacted China’s economy, contributing to a property slump and decreased consumer spending. Experts predict more property firms will likely collapse, suggesting the crisis is far from over.
Read More
The Consumer Price Index indicates grocery prices rose 2.2 percent in July compared to the previous year, putting a strain on consumers. Essential items like coffee, ground beef, and eggs have seen notable price increases, with the latter still up over 16 percent despite a decrease due to the avian flu. These rising costs are partially linked to tariffs on aluminum and steel, impacting the prices of canned goods and beverages. Fortunately, because only a small fraction of food is imported, only a portion of grocery items are subject to further tariffs.
Read More
Here’s a summary of the article’s purpose:
This article provides the opportunity to gift full access to its content to others. Readers are able to share this content with individuals, offering them unrestricted access. A limited number of gift articles are available each month. This allows readers to share valuable information with a selected audience.
Read More
A new report by the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (CAMAC) warns that Russia’s economy is teetering on the brink of stagflation, with a potential recession looming in the second and third quarters of 2025. The report cites slowing GDP growth (1.4 percent in Q1 2025), high inflation (9.8 percent), and weakening consumer demand as key contributing factors. This precarious situation is exacerbated by falling investments and construction projects. To mitigate the crisis, the report recommends tackling inflation and stimulating investment, while the Central Bank of Russia maintains a tight monetary policy despite cutting its key interest rate.
Read More
Trump’s recent call to scrap the debt limit is a bold move that sparks a whirlwind of reactions and interpretations. The proposal immediately throws into question the very nature of fiscal responsibility, especially considering the context of his past pronouncements and actions.
The idea itself – eliminating the debt limit – has merit for some. It’s argued that having Congress approve the budget and then separately authorize exceeding that budget is redundant and inefficient. It essentially means Congress votes to spend money and then votes again on whether to pay for the spending they’ve already approved. This process creates an artificial bottleneck where the government could potentially default on its financial obligations, triggering a global economic crisis, based purely on a procedural technicality.… Continue reading
In Russia, the cost of making borscht has dramatically increased, reflecting broader economic pressures. Key ingredients like potatoes (up 166.5%), onions (up 87.2%), and cabbage (up 56.8%) have seen substantial price hikes year-over-year. This “borscht index,” a common measure of economic well-being in the region, highlights significant inflationary pressures on staple foods. While beet and tomato price increases were more moderate, the overall impact on the cost of this popular soup is substantial.
Read More
Faced with significant external financing needs, the Pakistani government plans to borrow $4.9 billion from international banks. This strategy involves securing $2.64 billion in short-term loans and $2.27 billion in long-term loans, with negotiations underway with several major international banks, including the ICBC, Standard Chartered Bank, and Dubai Islamic Bank. The additional funding aims to bolster Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves, currently around $14 billion, to meet the IMF’s target of $13.9 billion by June. Despite these efforts, Pakistan’s economic growth for 2024-25 fell short of its target, reaching only 2.68 percent.
Read More
Senator Rubio erroneously asserted a dichotomy between the federal and judicial branches, claiming immunity from judicial oversight in foreign policy matters. This statement reveals a disregard for the three-branch system of checks and balances enshrined in the Constitution. His position reflects a belief in executive supremacy, echoing the Trump administration’s apparent view of unchecked presidential power. This perspective, potentially emboldened by recent Supreme Court rulings, allows for actions like deportations without due process.
Read More
John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood