China-Russia relations

Russian Teenager Faces Five Years in Jail for Anti-War Stance

Arseny Turbin, a 15-year-old Russian boy, has been sentenced to five years in a juvenile colony after being convicted of joining the Freedom of Russia Legion, a paramilitary unit fighting for Ukraine. The court of appeal reduced his sentence by a mere 24 days, despite Arseny’s denials and his mother’s insistence on his innocence. The charges stem from Arseny’s outspoken criticism of the war and his online activity, including reposting content from Russian opposition figures and holding a solo picket in support of Alexei Navalny. Although investigators allege he distributed leaflets and confessed to joining the legion, Arseny maintains he never joined and was simply researching the group.

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Ukraine Strikes Iranian Weapon Supply Routes in Dagestan, Raising Tensions

Ukrainian forces, potentially utilizing A-22 Flying Fox drones, reportedly struck a naval base in Dagestan, Russia, damaging at least two vessels and possibly several smaller ships. This incident marks the first Ukrainian attack on a naval base in Dagestan, a region crucial for Iranian weapons supply to Russia. The attack, which occurred near a local airport, is significant as it demonstrates Ukraine’s ability to target Russian infrastructure far beyond the frontline and challenges the perceived safety of Iranian supply routes. While Russian authorities claim to have intercepted only one drone, evidence suggests a second drone successfully struck its target, causing a substantial explosion.

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Ukraine’s Homemade Drones Target Russian Warships in Caspian Sea

In a significant escalation, Ukraine launched a drone attack on Russian warships in the Caspian Sea, marking the first time Kyiv has targeted vessels in this region. The attack, which took place in the port city of Kaspiysk, hundreds of miles from the frontlines, highlights Ukraine’s growing long-range strike capabilities and its ongoing efforts to cripple Russia’s naval forces. This attack follows a pattern of successful Ukrainian strikes on Russian naval vessels in the Black Sea, demonstrating the effectiveness of their asymmetric warfare tactics. The Caspian Sea attack, coupled with Ukraine’s increasing use of drones to strike land targets deep within Russia, suggests a new phase in the conflict, characterized by Ukraine’s ability to project force beyond the immediate battlefields.

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Trump Proposes 20-Year Freeze on Ukraine’s NATO Bid in Exchange for Peace

A draft proposal by President-elect Donald Trump’s team proposes ending the war in Ukraine by requiring Kyiv to forgo NATO membership for 20 years, freeze current front lines, and establish a demilitarized zone. The plan suggests European allies, not the US or UN, should oversee any ceasefire, while the US would continue military support for Ukraine. It’s unclear how serious this plan is or if Trump will implement it. Neither Russia nor Ukraine have indicated willingness to negotiate, and skepticism surrounding the plan’s legitimacy remains high. Notably, the US under the current administration has been a staunch ally of Ukraine, providing significant aid and emphasizing Kyiv’s sovereignty in any peace talks.

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Biden Rushes Aid to Ukraine, Critics Fear Trump Will Cut Support

The urgency surrounding the aid to Ukraine has intensified, with many expressing frustration over what they see as Biden’s delay in providing sufficient support. There’s a sense that the Biden administration has been hesitant to truly empower Ukraine with the necessary tools to defend itself, and that the limited aid provided has been insufficient to truly impact the conflict. The fear is that this hesitancy stems from a desire to avoid escalation, a fear that seems misplaced given the already dire situation. A common sentiment is that Biden should have been more aggressive in providing aid from the outset, and that any concerns about escalation are now moot given the potential for a Trump presidency.… Continue reading

Trump’s Return Raises Fears of Ukraine Aid Cuts and a Brutal Reality

The article explores the implications of Donald Trump’s presidency for Ukraine, arguing that his return to power presents a significant risk for Kyiv. Trump’s history of prioritizing isolationism and favoring deals with strongmen like Putin suggests a potential withdrawal of US support for Ukraine, despite the ongoing war and the crucial role it plays in weakening Russia. The author fears that Trump’s erratic and unpredictable approach could undermine Ukraine’s morale and destabilize the fragile alliances within NATO, ultimately pushing Ukraine towards a more precarious position and potentially enabling Russia’s military objectives. The author warns that a Trump-backed peace deal could be a trap, allowing Putin to regroup and further expand his influence in the region, while also solidifying the dangerous narrative that Russia is not a significant threat, which would ultimately benefit Putin and weaken the West.

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Biden Rushes Last-Minute Aid to Ukraine Amid Fears of Trump’s Russia Ties

The prospect of a Trump presidency has ignited a sense of urgency within the Biden administration, leading to a last-minute scramble to provide substantial aid to Ukraine. There’s a palpable sense of frustration and fear among many that the incoming administration will not only curtail support for Ukraine but potentially even side with Russia.

The sentiment is that this is likely to be the last opportunity for the Biden administration to deliver a significant blow to Russia, as any support for Ukraine is likely to be withdrawn once Trump takes office. This urgency has prompted calls for a massive, all-out military aid package, including the removal of any restrictions on weapon usage, effectively giving Ukraine a green light to launch offensive strikes into Russia.… Continue reading

South Korea’s President Hints at Weapons for Ukraine, Sparking Debate

South Korea, a major arms exporter, is considering a shift in its policy of not providing weapons to countries in conflict, potentially supplying arms directly to Ukraine. This decision stems from concerns over North Korea’s growing involvement in the Ukraine war, including the alleged deployment of 10,000 troops to aid Russia’s efforts. President Yoon Suk Yeol has stated that any weapons provided to Ukraine would initially focus on defensive capabilities and be phased in based on the level of North Korean involvement. This potential change in South Korean policy signals a significant development in the global response to the Ukraine conflict.

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Zelensky Lauds “Excellent” Trump Call as Ukraine War Peace Proposals Emerge

Following a Republican victory in the US election, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed optimism about his phone call with President-elect Donald Trump, praising Trump’s “peace through strength” approach and emphasizing the need for a strong America and Ukraine. Despite previous criticisms from Trump, Zelensky sees potential for collaboration in ending the war with Russia. Proposals from Trump’s advisors include freezing the war along current lines, leaving Ukrainian territory under Russian control, and halting Ukraine’s NATO aspirations for at least 20 years. These proposals, which aim for a negotiated settlement, would involve continued US military support for Ukraine.

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Trump Team Considers 20-Year Delay for Ukraine’s NATO Membership

Donald Trump’s team is exploring various options to end the war in Ukraine, including delaying Kyiv’s NATO membership for at least 20 years in exchange for continued arms supplies. The plan, proposed by advisors General Keith Kellogg and Fred Fleitz, would involve a ceasefire along the current front lines, creating a demilitarized zone in the east, and securing European troop deployments to police the zone. While Trump has expressed interest in the plan, his ultimate decision remains uncertain, as he is known for making policy decisions on the fly. This proposal, however, has been met with skepticism from both Ukraine and Russia, who view it as unrealistic and potentially detrimental to their respective interests.

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