Ksenia Karelina, a US-Russian citizen, has been sentenced to 12 years in a penal colony for “high treason” after donating $51.80 to a pro-Ukraine charity. Her appeal against the sentence, issued in August and condemned by the US as “vindictive cruelty,” was rejected by a Russian court on Monday. The 32-year-old ballet dancer and spa worker was arrested in January 2024 during a visit to her family in Russia. Karelina is one of several US citizens and dual citizens imprisoned in Russia, prompting accusations from Washington that Moscow is holding them for potential exchange with Russians convicted abroad.
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Reports emerged that President Trump spoke with President Putin on Thursday, requesting he de-escalate in Ukraine and reminding him of U.S. troop presence in the region. While Ukrainian officials were allegedly aware of the call, Zelenskyy’s office was not informed and expressed doubt about its occurrence. The Kremlin has vehemently denied the call ever took place, labeling the reports “completely false.” Ukraine has repeatedly stated its opposition to any negotiations without their involvement and has proactively engaged with the U.S. on strategic matters, offering resources and troops to secure Europe post-conflict.
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reported that Russia has deployed nearly 50,000 troops to Kursk, the region where Ukraine launched a successful counteroffensive in the summer. Despite this, Ukrainian troops continue to hold back the Russian advance. This comes as reports surface of North Korean troops joining the conflict, with Ukrainian sources claiming North Korean soldiers are already engaging in combat operations. This development follows Russia’s signing of a mutual defense treaty with North Korea, further solidifying the alliance between the two nations. Meanwhile, Ukraine faces the added challenge of a potential second Trump presidency, which could drastically alter the course of the war.
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With Donald Trump’s inauguration looming, French and British leaders are set to meet in Paris on November 11th to urge the Biden administration to allow Ukraine to launch deep strikes inside Russia using Western weapons. This push, driven by the desire to solidify Biden’s foreign policy legacy before the change in administration, comes amid concerns about Trump’s less resolute stance on Ukraine, which has been marked by calls for a quick end to the conflict, potentially involving Ukrainian concessions. Despite Ukraine’s repeated requests for permission to utilize weapons such as ATACMs and Storm Shadows, the Biden administration has yet to approve such actions. This summit represents a last-ditch effort to secure approval before Trump assumes office.
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Ukraine is collaborating with the United States on new defense packages, primarily focusing on strengthening our air defense capabilities, crucial as we face continuous Russian strikes during the approaching winter. We are also actively seeking progress on obtaining long-range weaponry, and appreciate the recent decisions made by our partners, including France’s missile package, Canada’s support for NASAMS systems, and the UK’s sanctions against Russia. Furthermore, we are working with Lithuania on a new military package and with Sweden for maritime security support. To truly weaken Russia’s war machine, we need global isolation of all entities supporting its defense industry, ultimately undermining Putin’s confidence and paving the way for genuine diplomacy, which, combined with strength, is the only path to lasting peace.
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Following a recent phone conversation with Vladimir Putin, President-elect Trump expressed his intention to prevent an escalation of the war in Ukraine, emphasizing the substantial US military presence in Europe. Trump, who had previously claimed to be able to end the war within a day, expressed interest in future discussions aimed at achieving a swift resolution to the conflict. This conversation comes amidst ongoing efforts by the Biden administration to ensure a peaceful transfer of power and emphasize the importance of continued US support for Ukraine.
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As the newly elected President, Donald Trump’s potential peace plan for Ukraine is concerning, as it could ultimately benefit Russian President Vladimir Putin and harm American interests. The proposed plan, which would freeze the conflict along current front lines with a European peacekeeping force, raises serious concerns about the strategic importance of Ukraine to the US and NATO. Additionally, the potential involvement of North Korea in the conflict on Russia’s side presents a further challenge. While the Kremlin welcomes Trump’s openness to a deal, his willingness to compromise on Ukraine’s sovereignty could ultimately weaken NATO’s position and embolden Russia’s aggressive actions.
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Despite fears that incoming US President Donald Trump might pressure Ukraine to concede territory to Russia, the UK government remains steadfast in its support for Ukraine’s territorial integrity. Treasury minister Darren Jones stated that the UK will continue providing substantial financial and military aid to Ukraine, emphasizing that the country should retain its pre-invasion borders. While acknowledging the uncertainty surrounding US policy under Trump, Conservative shadow foreign secretary Dame Priti Patel stressed the importance of maintaining a strong relationship with the US and finding common ground on Ukraine. The UK’s unwavering support for Ukraine’s freedom and territorial integrity is expected to continue, with the government working to ensure that Russia cannot repeat its invasion.
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NATO’s top military official, Admiral Rob Bauer, has stated that the alliance would have intervened directly in Ukraine to expel Russian forces if Moscow did not possess nuclear weapons. The threat of nuclear escalation, however, has prevented NATO from deploying troops on Ukrainian soil, despite the alliance’s support for Ukraine’s defense against the Russian invasion. This stark difference in NATO’s response to the conflicts in Afghanistan and Ukraine highlights the significant role nuclear weapons play in international security and the profound impact they have on the calculus of military intervention. The presence of Russia’s vast nuclear arsenal, coupled with increasingly aggressive rhetoric from Russian officials, has effectively limited the scope of Western military action in Ukraine.
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John Q. Hosedrinker