Carbon Budget

Scientists Warn: 1.5C Warming Limit Unlikely, Climate Crisis Already Here

Top climate scientists warn that Earth could breach the 1.5C global warming limit within the next three years due to continued high emissions from fossil fuels and deforestation. The report highlights a shrinking “carbon budget,” the amount of CO2 that can be emitted while still limiting warming, which now gives only approximately three years before being exhausted. The current warming rate of 0.27C per decade is faster than any point in Earth’s history, and is seeing the Earth’s energy imbalance increase, with most of the extra heat absorbed by the oceans. Though the situation is dire, the report’s authors note a possible slowing in the rate of emissions increases due to the implementation of new clean technologies.

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Two Years Left to Avert 1.5C Climate Catastrophe: Scientists Sound Alarm

At current emission rates, the remaining carbon budget to limit global warming to 1.5°C will be exhausted within two years, necessitating drastic emission reductions to avoid exceeding this critical threshold. Exceeding 1.5°C would exacerbate extreme weather events and necessitate future carbon dioxide removal from the atmosphere. Limiting warming to 1.7°C remains more attainable, with a longer remaining carbon budget, highlighting the urgency of immediate and significant emission cuts. This analysis underscores the accelerating climate crisis and the need for global cooperation to mitigate its devastating consequences.

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