Statistics Canada data reveals a continued decline in Canadian air passengers traveling to the United States for the ninth consecutive month, down 8.9 percent in October. This drop coincides with the ongoing trade war and President Trump’s repeated comments about potentially annexing Canada. While U.S.-bound travel decreases, domestic air travel within Canada experienced an 8.5 percent increase in October. The U.S. Travel Association attributes the loss in international tourism spending to Canadians avoiding the U.S.
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According to recent data from Statistics Canada, the number of Canadian residents returning from the U.S. in August experienced a significant decline, falling by 29.7% to 2.9 million trips. Simultaneously, U.S. residents visiting Canada also decreased, but to a lesser extent, resulting in more Americans travelling to Canada than Canadians travelling to the States for the third time since June 2006. While Canadian travel to the U.S. decreased, overseas trips by Canadians and non-U.S. residents visiting Canada both saw increases. The growth in overseas visitors was primarily due to travelers from Europe and Asia.
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Airline capacity between Canada and the U.S. has been significantly reduced through October 2025, with the most substantial cuts impacting July and August. This reduction follows a 70% decrease in passenger bookings compared to the previous year. WestJet has responded by shifting capacity to European routes, while Air Canada faces challenges due to its reliance on U.S. hub connections. The sharp decline in forward bookings indicates a concerning lack of consumer confidence, potentially impacting the “snowbird” travel market in the future.
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John Q. Hosedrinker