NATO members recently agreed to allocate five percent of their GDP to defense, with 3.5 percent dedicated to “hard defense.” Germany has committed to reaching the 3.5 percent spending target by 2029, necessitating significant constitutional reforms to facilitate borrowing. Chancellor Merz has engaged with Donald Trump multiple times, noting their weekly coordination regarding the war in Ukraine, but acknowledging Trump’s perceived indifference to European concerns. Merz emphasized the need for increased defense spending due to Germany’s military shortcomings.
Read More
The subject of the US sharing the burden of arming Ukraine is complex, to say the least, and it’s sparking a lot of debate, especially considering the EU’s recent comments on the matter. It’s hard to ignore the feeling that there’s a bit of a historical imbalance here, and that’s where a lot of the frustration stems from. For decades, the US has been gently, and sometimes not so gently, nudging its European allies to increase their defense spending. Presidents from Kennedy to Obama have consistently echoed this call, citing the need for a more balanced contribution within NATO and the wider collective security framework.… Continue reading
French President Emmanuel Macron has warned of an unprecedented threat to European freedom, emphasizing the need for increased defense spending. He announced plans to double France’s military budget by 2027, highlighting a rising geopolitical instability and the return of nuclear power. Macron’s address, delivered to the armed forces in Paris, referenced Russia’s actions in Ukraine and called for France to become a more powerful force to be feared. The proposals, which would bring the budget to €64 billion, are still subject to government approval.
Read More
Denmark is expanding its military conscription to include women for the first time, aligning with the growing military investment across NATO countries due to current global events. This change, based on a major defense agreement, will enter women into a lottery system alongside men, with implementation advanced to summer 2025. The updated program aims to increase the annual number of conscripts and will also extend the duration of service. This move, along with a $7 billion fund to bolster its military, reflects Denmark’s broader effort to strengthen its defense capabilities and address the changing security landscape in Europe.
Read More
Germany is set to become Europe’s largest military, spurred by concerns of a new Trump presidency and the war in Ukraine. The nation plans to change its constitution and allocate 3.5% of its GDP to defense spending. This shift includes a $117 billion special fund, suspending the debt brake to facilitate nearly $400 billion in defense spending through 2029, without impacting core budgets. While defense companies experience increased sales, rebuilding a culture of military service faces challenges, with the Bundeswehr working to improve its public image and attract new recruits.
Read More
President Donald Trump arrived in The Hague for his first NATO summit since returning to office, a meeting overshadowed by escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, despite a previously called-for ceasefire. Trump expressed displeasure with both nations for allegedly violating the truce, suggesting Israel overreacted to Iranian missile launches. Key objectives for the summit included securing commitments from NATO members to increase defense spending to 5% of their GDP by 2035, with 3.5% allocated to “hard defense,” and reiterating support for Ukraine, including counting military aid towards defense spending goals. The summit’s agenda was carefully managed to project unity, with a focus on a closed-door working session and a single-page communique.
Read More
Canada and the EU have formalized a comprehensive security and defense partnership, as announced by Prime Minister Mark Carney and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in Brussels. This agreement, which includes support for Ukraine and collaboration on issues ranging from climate change to AI, allows Canada to participate in the EU’s €150bn defense fund. The pact, mirroring one signed with the UK, signifies a deepening of transatlantic alliances, possibly influenced by global instability and former US President Donald Trump’s stance on allies. This partnership opens doors for joint procurement and enhanced defense capabilities for Canada, despite its current defense spending falling short of NATO’s 2% GDP target.
Read More
In a significant development ahead of the NATO summit, all 32 member states have agreed to a statement aiming for a 5% GDP increase in annual defense and security spending by 2035. This agreement follows the overcoming of Spanish objections to previous proposals, representing a key win for those advocating for increased defense budgets. While the statement awaits formal endorsement at the summit, it signals a substantial commitment to bolstering collective defense capabilities. The details of Spain’s change in stance remain undisclosed.
Read More
The upcoming NATO summit, the first since President Trump’s return, will see significant debate over increasing defense spending. While the U.S. seeks a 5% GDP target, Spain, already meeting the current 2% goal, is requesting an exception or flexible wording to avoid this higher commitment. In contrast, Sweden has committed to reaching the 5% target by 2032. This divergence in approaches highlights the challenges of achieving consensus within the alliance’s decision-making process.
Read More
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, citing Russia’s ongoing aggression in Ukraine, called for a significant increase in alliance defense spending, aiming for a 3.5% GDP target by 2032 plus an additional 1.5% for related security initiatives. This urgent plea emphasizes the need for a 400% boost in air and missile defense capabilities, directly addressing Russia’s sustained attacks on Ukrainian cities. Rutte’s proposal underscores the persistent threat posed by Russia even after a potential end to the war in Ukraine, necessitating a substantial strengthening of NATO’s collective defense posture.
Read More
John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood