In response to former US President Trump’s threat to impose a 50% import tax on Brazilian goods, President Lula da Silva vowed to match any imposed tariffs. Trump’s threat, citing Brazil’s treatment of former President Bolsonaro, was met with strong condemnation from Lula. The Brazilian leader asserted that the country would not accept “tutelage” and would impose reciprocal tariffs on US goods if the US followed through with the increase. The trade dispute is fueled by Trump’s disapproval of Bolsonaro’s trial, as well as an argument regarding the US’s trade deficit with Brazil, which data suggests does not exist.
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South Africa says Trump’s 30% tariff is based on inaccurate trade view, and honestly, it’s hard to disagree. It’s not a new revelation, either. His trade policies, like so many of his other pronouncements, seem to be constructed from thin air, a reality tailored to benefit him. It’s become pretty clear that inventing a narrative that suits his needs is just part of his strategy. So, when South Africa raises concerns, it’s less of a shock and more of a “Here we go again.”
From what I understand, South Africa’s core concern is that the tariffs don’t reflect a realistic picture of trade dynamics.… Continue reading
The Trump administration’s recent announcement of new tariffs targeting imports from South Korea, along with other nations, appears to contradict any overarching goals of trade policy. These tariffs, seemingly in violation of the existing U.S.-Korea Free Trade Agreement (KORUS), undermine a deal that has benefited both countries by increasing trade and investment. This action raises questions about the administration’s intentions, as it undermines the potential to lower trade barriers or renegotiate deals, especially since the existing deal, KORUS 2.0, was renegotiated and considered “fair and reciprocal.” Furthermore, this move could jeopardize future trade negotiations, as other countries may hesitate to make deals with an administration that does not respect agreements it makes.
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President Trump reignited trade war concerns by threatening Japan and South Korea with 25% duties and additional tariffs on goods from Laos, Myanmar, South Africa, Malaysia, and Kazakhstan. These actions, threatened under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, came alongside the extension of a key negotiating deadline to August 1st. The move caused market volatility, reminiscent of earlier disruptions in trade policy. Despite the uncertainty, analysts suggest the impact on stocks may be limited this time, while acknowledging potential setbacks for the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates, given the inflationary concerns from tariffs.
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President Trump announced on Monday that reciprocal tariffs on imports from at least seven countries will be reimposed starting August 1, after initially pausing them in April. Letters were sent to various leaders, including Japan and South Korea, outlining the new tariff rates, which include a 24% tariff for Japan and a 25% for South Korea. These tariffs are aimed at correcting trade deficits and come with warnings against retaliatory duties. The letters also state that these tariffs may be modified. U.S. financial markets reacted negatively to the news.
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President Trump announced letters would be sent to countries, warning of tariff reinstatement if trade deals aren’t finalized. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick clarified that tariffs would take effect on August 1st, while the president sets the rates. This announcement pushes back the original July 9th deadline, with tariffs potentially ranging from 10 to 70 percent, as previously announced. Trump also threatened additional tariffs on countries aligning with BRICS, adding to the uncertainty surrounding the trade war.
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As the 90-day pause on President Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs nears its end, the administration faces the challenge of delivering on promised trade deals. Despite initially aiming for “90 deals in 90 days,” the administration has only secured one confirmed deal with the United Kingdom, along with preliminary agreements with China and a potential deal with India. Negotiations with Japan are faltering, with the possibility of increased tariffs looming if an agreement isn’t reached. Experts suggest that the lack of progress stems from uncertainty about the administration’s objectives and the complexity of trade negotiations. Consequently, the deadline may be extended, with the expectation that most critical trade deals will be finalized by Labor Day.
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President Donald Trump is threatening tariffs on Japanese exports due to claims of Japan’s unwillingness to buy American rice, a claim contradicted by existing trade data showing Japan imported $298 million worth of US rice last year. While ongoing trade talks between the two countries are underway, Japanese officials have not stated they will stop purchasing US rice in the future, and discussions are still in progress. Trump’s remarks may be referencing a US Trade Representative report criticizing Japan’s rice import system. This threat coincides with the looming deadline for Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs, with the future tariff rates for impacted countries still uncertain.
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In a stark economic forecast, the Federal Reserve projects aggressive stagflation for the remainder of 2025, anticipating 3 percent inflation, a 1.4 percent GDP decline, and 4.5 percent unemployment. This projection follows the Trump administration’s consideration of increased aid to Israel and the passage of the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” which significantly increases the national deficit. Fed Chair Powell reiterated that the current economic downturn stems directly from President Trump’s tariffs. The Fed maintains its current interest rate policy despite the projected stagflation.
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John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood