Russian Recruits’ Grim War Outlook: One Month Life Expectancy?
Despite suffering catastrophic losses—between 600,000 and 730,000 troops killed or wounded—Russia maintains offensive momentum in eastern Ukraine, notably near Avdiivka and Vuhledar. This is partially due to the Kremlin’s strategy of deploying poorly trained troops in large-scale, poorly supported assaults. However, Russia’s economic struggles, including hyperinflation and a plummeting ruble, suggest this unsustainable approach is nearing its limits. The predicted Russian manpower shortage, coupled with Ukraine’s continued attrition strategy, could lead to Russia’s defeat, though this hinges on continued Western support in light of potential shifts in U.S. foreign policy.
John Q. Hosedrinker