Following a claimed Ukrainian attack using US-provided ATACMS missiles, Russia vowed retaliation, citing the incident as a major escalation. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported intercepting eight ATACMS missiles and 72 UAVs, with attacks impacting regions including Leningrad and Kursk. This follows President Putin’s earlier threats to respond to ATACMS use with the new “Oreshnik” missile. Simultaneously, Russia launched a large-scale drone attack against Ukraine, resulting in damage and casualties.
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Ukraine’s limited supply of U.S.-provided ATACMS missiles, estimated at around 50 before authorization for strikes on Russian territory, is dwindling rapidly after a series of attacks on Russian military infrastructure. This depletion, coupled with potential policy shifts under the incoming Trump administration, which opposes the missile transfers, suggests that Ukraine’s ability to conduct such long-range strikes is severely hampered. Replenishment is unlikely due to existing U.S. commitments elsewhere. Despite these strikes, significant escalation with Russia has not yet occurred.
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On December 15th, Ukraine launched a second wave of ATACMS missile strikes deep into Russia, targeting critical infrastructure. These strikes, employing a combined arms approach with Palen drones to overwhelm air defenses, successfully hit an airbase in Taganrog, an ammunition depot in Markine, and a Bryansk train depot. The high-explosive ATACMS missiles caused significant damage, disrupting Russian logistics, air operations, and impacting their war effort. The combined effect of these attacks is anticipated to reduce Russian offensive capabilities and force a reallocation of resources.
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Ukraine launched a significant attack on a Russian airfield in Kursk, utilizing U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles for the first confirmed time on Russian soil. This strike, targeting Russian air power and potentially weakening their defenses, involved approximately eight missiles, with some reportedly intercepted. The limited supply of these advanced, costly missiles suggests their use is strategically reserved for high-value targets to maximize impact. The successful strike highlights Ukraine’s evolving military capabilities and the ongoing strategic tension of the conflict.
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Following US authorization, Ukraine reportedly launched US-supplied Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) missiles into Russia’s Bryansk region. Russia claims to have intercepted five of eight missiles, while US officials suggest a higher number were intercepted. This attack prompted strong condemnation from Russia, accusing the US of escalating the conflict and implying direct American involvement. The incident coincided with Russia’s announcement of revised nuclear doctrine, expanding conditions for nuclear weapon use, further raising international tensions.
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On the 1000th day of the war, Ukraine reportedly launched six American-made ATACMS missiles into Russia, targeting a military facility in the Bryansk region. Russia claims to have intercepted five of the missiles, resulting in minimal damage and no casualties. This attack, the first confirmed use of ATACMS missiles by Ukraine inside Russia, coincided with Russia announcing a lowered threshold for nuclear retaliation, specifically mentioning the use of Western-supplied long-range missiles as a potential trigger. This new nuclear doctrine, signed by Putin, significantly escalates tensions in the ongoing conflict.
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Ukraine reportedly used U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles for the first time in the war, striking targets in Russia’s Bryansk region, marking a significant escalation. This action coincided with Putin lowering the threshold for nuclear weapon use, raising international tensions. Russia claimed to have intercepted most of the missiles, while Ukraine reported successful strikes on a military depot. The incident occurred amidst a backdrop of intensified Russian attacks on Ukrainian civilians and ongoing debates within the West regarding further military aid to Ukraine.
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A Ukrainian defense source confirmed the first use of ATACMS missiles to strike a military facility near Karachev, Bryansk Oblast, Russia. The targeted ammunition depot, previously attacked in October, reportedly contained artillery shells, including North Korean munitions. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported the strike, though without specifying the weaponry used, and emphasized the continuation of such actions to disrupt Russian aggression. While the US has not officially confirmed authorization, reports suggest approval for limited ATACMS strikes against Russian territory was given.
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Reports indicate that President Biden authorized Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles within Russia, prompting concerns and potential evacuation plans in bordering Russian regions. While U.S. officials downplay the impact on the war’s overall trajectory, this move significantly boosts Ukraine’s capabilities, especially with France and the U.K. also authorizing long-range missile use. Russian officials express varying levels of concern, with some emphasizing air defense capabilities and others preparing for potential strikes on military and industrial targets. The authorization, long sought by Ukraine, follows reports of North Korean troop deployments in Russia, further escalating tensions.
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President Biden authorized Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles against Russian and North Korean forces, primarily targeting Kursk Oblast, marking a significant policy shift. This decision, communicated to Kyiv days prior, aims to bolster Ukraine’s defense capabilities against a planned Russian offensive supported by North Korean troops. While not expected to alter the war’s overall trajectory, the authorization allows Ukraine to strike critical military assets and deter further aggression. The decision follows previous U.S. hesitancy and culminates from discussions initiated after Ukrainian officials presented target lists in August.
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John Q. Hosedrinker