Arctic Geopolitics

Zelenskyy: Russia Planning New Offensives, Not Post-War Preparations

According to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, intelligence reports indicate Russia is not preparing for a post-war scenario. Instead, the Kremlin is focused on presenting the meeting with the US as a personal victory while continuing to exert pressure on Ukraine. Contrary to any preparation for a ceasefire, Russian forces are being redeployed in a manner that suggests preparations for renewed offensive operations. Zelenskyy emphasized that Ukraine is actively keeping its allies informed about the realities of the conflict, including Russian strategies.

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Iran’s Drone Betrayal: Russia Steals Designs, Leaving Tehran in the Lurch

According to a Western intelligence source, the full Russian integration of Iran’s Shahed-136 drone production, including a massive factory in Russia, has caused tension between Tehran and Moscow. The factory at Alabuga is now producing most of the drone components, potentially allowing Russia to export an updated version. Iran may have expected more reciprocal support from Russia following its aid during the war on Ukraine, especially after Israel’s attacks on Iran. Analysts suggest that Russia’s actions reflect its self-interest, leading to a sense of disappointment in Tehran, compounded by unpaid debts for the supplied weapons.

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Armenia and Azerbaijan Sign Peace Deal, US-Managed Corridor Established, and Trump’s Role Debated

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Ukraine’s Deep Strike: Refinery, Base, Railway Hit, Exposing Russian Weakness

Three fires, one night: Ukraine hits refinery, military base, and railway in deep Russian strike. This is a story that really underscores the ongoing cat-and-mouse game playing out between Ukraine and Russia, a game that’s seeing a significant escalation. We’re talking about a night where Ukrainian forces managed to light up multiple strategic targets deep within Russia, a feat that suggests a sophisticated understanding of Russian defenses and a willingness to push the boundaries.

The strategic importance of hitting a refinery, a military base, and a railway all in one night cannot be overstated. Each of these targets cripples Russia’s ability to wage war in its own right.… Continue reading

China Backs India’s Sovereignty Amidst US Tariff Threats: A Strange Geopolitical Twist

In a surprising move, China has publicly supported India amidst escalating US pressure regarding its Russian oil imports. A Chinese embassy spokesperson in India endorsed an editorial from The Hindu which criticized the United States’ and European countries’ stance, emphasizing India’s unwavering sovereignty. This diplomatic alignment occurs as former U.S. President Donald Trump threatens punitive tariffs on Indian goods due to its continued trade with Russia. This backing could signal a shift in geopolitical dynamics, especially with Prime Minister Modi’s upcoming visit to China, potentially opening a new chapter in relations.

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Russia’s South Caucasus Influence Erodes

Once a region firmly under Moscow’s influence, both Armenia and Azerbaijan are now distancing themselves from Russia. This shift is largely due to Russia’s perceived failure to support Armenia during conflicts with Azerbaijan and its subsequent inability to prevent Azerbaijan from reclaiming territory in Nagorno-Karabakh. Armenia has begun pivoting West, while Azerbaijan strengthens ties with Turkey. This shift is not only impacting Russia’s regional influence, but also cutting off vital channels for sanctions evasion and potentially hampering its war efforts in Ukraine.

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Modi’s China Visit: Diplomatic Thaw Amid US Tensions and Trump’s Role

India’s Modi to visit China for first time in 7 years as tensions with US rise, a significant development in the current geopolitical landscape. It’s hard not to notice the undercurrent of shifting alliances and the impact of global power plays, especially when considering the implications for US foreign policy. This trip to China marks a potential turning point, especially given the recent strain in India’s relationship with the United States.

The timing of the visit is particularly interesting. We know that Prime Minister Modi is set to attend a Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in China, starting August 31st. This summit provides a platform for multilateral discussions, but this specific meeting takes on added weight because of the context.… Continue reading

India Hits Back: Critics of Russia Trade Also Benefit

Revealing that the very nations criticizing India are themselves indulging in trade with Russia, says India on Trump’s tariff remarks. This situation is, to put it mildly, complicated, and it’s easy to see why the comments on tariffs and trade with Russia are raising eyebrows. The core of the issue is this: India is facing criticism, particularly from Western nations, for its continued trade with Russia, yet these very same critics are, in various ways, also involved in economic exchanges with Moscow. It’s a classic case of “do as I say, not as I do,” and it’s understandable why India is pointing this out.… Continue reading

Indian Oil Refiners’ Russian Oil Purchases Spark Debate Over Morality and Economics

Indian oil refiners continue to procure oil from Russian suppliers, prioritizing factors like price and logistics. Sources indicated that India’s strategy aligns with its role as a major energy consumer, ensuring access to affordable energy while adhering to international standards, even as the U.S. has voiced concerns. Historically, Russian oil has not been sanctioned, but rather subject to a price-cap mechanism, and India has maintained fully legitimate purchases within those established frameworks. India’s actions have contributed to global energy stability, ensuring that markets remain liquid and prices remain stable.

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Indian State Refiners Reportedly Halt Russian Oil Purchases Amid Trump Tariff Announcement

Reports indicate that Indian state refiners have temporarily halted purchases of Russian crude oil. This pause follows the announcement of a 25% tariff on Russian oil by the Trump administration. Indian Oil Corp, Hindustan Petroleum Corp, Bharat Petroleum Corp, and Mangalore Refinery Petrochemical Ltd, have not sought Russian crude in the last week or so.

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