The potential collapse of Ukraine would be a far greater humiliation for the United States than its withdrawal from Afghanistan, argues former UK Foreign Secretary William Hague. He cautions that President-elect Trump’s perceived desire for a quick, Russia-favoring resolution to the conflict could embolden Russia and lead to further aggression in the future. Hague emphasizes the importance of maintaining Western strength and resolve against Russia, drawing parallels to the West’s failure to adequately punish Russia after its annexation of Crimea in 2014. He urges a continuation of firm support for Ukraine to prevent a disastrous outcome.
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The United States is opening a new air defense base in Redzikowo, Poland, marking the first permanent U.S. military base in the country. This base, part of NATO’s missile shield, is strategically located near Russia’s Kaliningrad exclave and is intended to deter potential threats from Russia and Iran. While the project has been in development for over a decade, its opening comes amidst rising tensions with Russia and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming Trump administration. Despite concerns about potential disruptions to NATO’s unity, the base signifies the enduring strength of the U.S.-Poland alliance and highlights the importance of bolstering defenses on NATO’s eastern flank.
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Former U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson warns that the United Kingdom might need to send troops to Ukraine if newly re-elected President Donald Trump cuts U.S. funding and military support. Johnson argues that failing to support Ukraine would threaten European security and could lead to increased costs for the U.K. He emphasizes that the U.K.’s protection of Ukraine is crucial to ensuring the security of other European nations from Russia. Johnson criticizes some Republicans for being “entranced” by Vladimir Putin and potentially influencing Trump to reduce aid to Ukraine, but he also acknowledges Trump’s previous support for Ukraine and its impact on the war effort.
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During a visit to Kyiv, Estonia’s Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur met with President Zelensky and announced a new aid package for Ukraine, including clothing and small arms. This package reinforces Estonia’s commitment to Ukraine’s defense, which includes allocating 0.25% of its GDP to military support. The leaders discussed plans for long-range drone production in Ukraine and Estonia’s support for Ukraine’s aspirations to join the EU and NATO. The visit underscored the strong partnership between Estonia and Ukraine, particularly in the context of the ongoing war, and highlighted their collaborative efforts to secure Ukraine’s future.
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With Donald Trump set to resume the presidency in 2025, Poland is seeking to solidify an alliance with the United Kingdom to continue supporting Ukraine. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk has expressed concern about the potential for a negotiated end to the war that could involve Ukrainian concessions to Russia, particularly in light of Trump’s past statements advocating for a quick resolution. Tusk emphasizes that decisions about Ukraine’s future must involve Ukrainians themselves and has been actively pushing back against Trump’s perceived approach. Meanwhile, France and the UK are attempting to secure U.S. approval for Ukraine to launch deeper strikes into Russia before Trump’s return to office, recognizing the potential shift in U.S. policy.
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With Donald Trump’s inauguration looming, French and British leaders are set to meet in Paris on November 11th to urge the Biden administration to allow Ukraine to launch deep strikes inside Russia using Western weapons. This push, driven by the desire to solidify Biden’s foreign policy legacy before the change in administration, comes amid concerns about Trump’s less resolute stance on Ukraine, which has been marked by calls for a quick end to the conflict, potentially involving Ukrainian concessions. Despite Ukraine’s repeated requests for permission to utilize weapons such as ATACMs and Storm Shadows, the Biden administration has yet to approve such actions. This summit represents a last-ditch effort to secure approval before Trump assumes office.
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As the newly elected President, Donald Trump’s potential peace plan for Ukraine is concerning, as it could ultimately benefit Russian President Vladimir Putin and harm American interests. The proposed plan, which would freeze the conflict along current front lines with a European peacekeeping force, raises serious concerns about the strategic importance of Ukraine to the US and NATO. Additionally, the potential involvement of North Korea in the conflict on Russia’s side presents a further challenge. While the Kremlin welcomes Trump’s openness to a deal, his willingness to compromise on Ukraine’s sovereignty could ultimately weaken NATO’s position and embolden Russia’s aggressive actions.
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NATO’s top military official, Admiral Rob Bauer, has stated that the alliance would have intervened directly in Ukraine to expel Russian forces if Moscow did not possess nuclear weapons. The threat of nuclear escalation, however, has prevented NATO from deploying troops on Ukrainian soil, despite the alliance’s support for Ukraine’s defense against the Russian invasion. This stark difference in NATO’s response to the conflicts in Afghanistan and Ukraine highlights the significant role nuclear weapons play in international security and the profound impact they have on the calculus of military intervention. The presence of Russia’s vast nuclear arsenal, coupled with increasingly aggressive rhetoric from Russian officials, has effectively limited the scope of Western military action in Ukraine.
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The recent election of Donald Trump in the United States has sparked concern within the European Union regarding the future of their relationship with Ukraine. With Trump’s unpredictable nature and his past statements suggesting a possible shift in US foreign policy, the EU has moved quickly to reassure Ukraine of their “unwavering support.”
The EU is acutely aware that Ukraine’s survival hinges on the support of Western allies, and a potential withdrawal of the United States from the conflict could have disastrous consequences. This realization has triggered a sense of urgency within the EU to step up and fill the potential void left by the US.… Continue reading
JD Vance, the Republican vice presidential nominee, has proposed linking US support for NATO to the European Union’s respect for free speech, specifically criticizing their potential regulation of Elon Musk’s social media platform, X. Vance believes that the US should leverage its power to ensure that its allies uphold American values, including free speech. However, his stance has drawn criticism as it appears to favor Russia, as he has also suggested a peace plan for the Ukraine conflict that would involve Russia keeping seized territory and Ukraine becoming neutral. These proposals raise concerns about their implications for the ongoing conflict and for the future of the US-EU relationship.
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John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood