Airline capacity

Canada-US Air Travel Plummets 70% Amid Political Tensions

Transborder flight bookings between Canada and the United States have plummeted by 71.4% to 75.7% for the upcoming summer season, based on a comparison of bookings in March 2024 versus March 2025. This dramatic decrease, exemplified by a 75.7% reduction in April bookings alone, far surpasses the minimal capacity cuts (1.6% to 3.5%) airlines have implemented thus far. The significant disparity between reduced demand and adjusted flight schedules suggests substantial further airline capacity reductions are imminent. This unprecedented drop in bookings presents a considerable challenge for airline route planning and network adjustments.

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Canadian Travel to US Plummets 70% Amid Border Tensions

Airline capacity between Canada and the U.S. has been significantly reduced through October 2025, with the most substantial cuts impacting July and August. This reduction follows a 70% decrease in passenger bookings compared to the previous year. WestJet has responded by shifting capacity to European routes, while Air Canada faces challenges due to its reliance on U.S. hub connections. The sharp decline in forward bookings indicates a concerning lack of consumer confidence, potentially impacting the “snowbird” travel market in the future.

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