A significant fire destroyed a Shahed drone warehouse at Russia’s Alabuga Special Economic Zone on December 23rd, resulting in an estimated $16 million in damages to 65 drone fuselages and other critical components. Ukraine’s HUR reported the incident, stating the fire eliminated materials for approximately 400 Shahed drones, though they did not claim responsibility. This attack follows previous Ukrainian strikes on the Yelabuga drone factory, highlighting ongoing efforts to disrupt Russia’s drone production capabilities. Local authorities have yet to publicly acknowledge the incident.
Read More
A Russian cargo ship, the Sparta, tasked with evacuating troops and equipment from Syrian bases, experienced engine failure in the Atlantic Ocean near Portugal. This occurred amidst uncertainty regarding the future of Russia’s military presence in Syria following a regime change. Russia is reportedly negotiating with Syria’s new leadership to maintain its bases, secured under a 49-year lease with the previous government. The incident follows reports of Russian asset relocation, possibly reflecting a cautious approach to the evolving political landscape in Syria.
Read More
Following a report from Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi, President Zelenskyy announced that over 3,000 North Korean soldiers have been killed or wounded in Kursk Oblast. This estimate stems from preliminary data following a December 23rd staff meeting. The President highlighted the escalating risk of regional destabilization due to the growing Moscow-Pyongyang partnership. He further emphasized the global threat posed by the transfer of Russian military technology and expertise to North Korea.
Read More
A Russian cargo vessel, Sparta, tasked with evacuating military equipment from Syria, experienced engine failure near Portugal, leaving its crew adrift. Simultaneously, remaining Russian forces in Syria have consolidated at Khmeimim and Tartus bases, amidst ongoing discussions regarding a complete withdrawal by February 2025. This withdrawal is potentially linked to Syria’s pursuit of sanctions relief. The potential loss of Syrian bases could significantly hinder Russia’s African operations.
Read More
A Russian cargo ship, the Sparta, tasked with withdrawing military equipment and personnel from Syria, has suffered a major engine failure and is adrift near Portugal. This incident complicates Russia’s ongoing withdrawal from Syria following the collapse of the Assad regime and underscores the logistical challenges involved. Russia is reportedly attempting to relocate its military assets to Africa, but these efforts have been hampered by setbacks in Libya and Sudan. The failure to maintain its Syrian presence will likely damage Russia’s international standing and strategic goals.
Read More
Ukrainian forces killed three North Korean soldiers in Russia’s Kursk region and seized their falsified Russian military IDs, revealing Pyongyang’s involvement in the conflict. These documents, bearing Russian names and birthplaces but Korean signatures, underscore Russia’s attempts to conceal foreign troop losses. US and South Korean intelligence estimates suggest thousands of North Korean soldiers have been deployed, suffering substantial casualties, with reports ranging from several hundred to over a thousand killed or wounded. Ukraine alleges Russia is actively concealing these losses, including claims of body burning and rapid body removal from the battlefield.
Read More
Following the Syrian regime change, Russia’s attempt to bolster its Libyan military base, primarily by transferring equipment from Syria, is facing strong opposition from Libya’s UN-backed government. Prime Minister Dabaiba firmly rejects the use of Libya as a battleground for international conflicts, explicitly forbidding the transfer of Russian weapons. This action is viewed as a significant turning point, potentially jeopardizing Russia’s strategy of maintaining neutrality in Libya’s internal conflict. Simultaneously, increasing US economic pressure, including a potential audit of Libyan finances, is adding to the complexity of the situation and revealing connections between Libyan actors and Russia.
Read More
A video circulating online allegedly shows Australian citizen Oscar Jenkins, a prisoner of war in Ukraine, being interrogated and assaulted by Russian forces. The Australian government is working to verify the video’s authenticity and confirm Jenkins’ well-being, while urging Russia to uphold its international legal obligations regarding POWs. The government is providing consular support to Jenkins’ family and has reiterated its travel advisory warning against travel to Ukraine. Social media profiles seemingly belonging to Jenkins reveal a background in biology and a history of advocating for veganism.
Read More
On December 21st, Russian forces launched a guided aerial bomb attack on a Kherson oncology center, a heinous act targeting a vital medical facility. Although no casualties were reported due to timely sheltering, the attack destroyed the city’s only radiotherapy linear accelerator. This incident follows a pattern of Russian attacks on Ukrainian medical infrastructure, including previous strikes on children’s and cancer hospitals. Zelensky condemned the attack and reiterated his plea for increased Western air defense systems to protect civilian targets.
Read More
Vladyslav Selezniov, a Ukrainian Armed Forces colonel, predicts a renewed Russian offensive in southern Ukraine, focusing on crossing the Dnipro River near Kherson. This offensive, involving over 120,000 Russian troops and amphibious assets, aims to establish bridgeheads on the right bank, mirroring previous Ukrainian successes. Selezniov anticipates continued reconnaissance efforts and costly assaults, highlighting the Ukrainian military’s ability to effectively counter these attacks. Despite the low probability of Russian success, these actions will pose significant challenges to Ukrainian defenses in the Kherson region.
Read More
John Q. Hosedrinker