Following escalating tensions between President Trump and European leaders over Greenland, a “sell America” trade emerged, causing U.S. bond prices to fall and the dollar to decline. European officials are reportedly considering retaliatory economic measures, raising concerns that the U.S. is no longer a reliable trading partner, potentially leading to a dump of U.S. assets. The drop in the U.S. Dollar Index was the largest since April, and international markets continued to slide, reflecting investor fears of a volatile and unreliable United States. Some analysts suggest investors are hedging bets and diversifying away from U.S. assets as indexes are near all-time highs.
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Trump’s presidency is marked by chaos and declining popularity, fueled by actions at home and abroad. Despite growing dissatisfaction with his policies and focus, he seems unconcerned and is increasingly fixated on his legacy. Polls reflect widespread unease and concern over his policies, particularly regarding their impact on the economy and global stability. While potential checks on his power, such as Congress or the Supreme Court, appear unlikely to materialize, the author suggests a future reckoning for the US to address the consequences of his actions.
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The 2024 election outcome, once considered a major realignment, now appears less significant. Trump’s victory was narrow, and the new voters he attracted have quickly abandoned him, evidenced by negative polling among independents, Latinos, and young voters. Biden’s presidency was plagued by high inflation and age-related concerns, ultimately leading to a campaign that failed. Currently, a majority of the electorate views Trump’s second term as a failure across various policy areas, including the economy and immigration.
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A new CNN/SSRS poll reveals a bleak outlook for President Trump, with 58% of respondents considering his performance in his second year as unsatisfactory. The poll indicates that a majority believe his policies have worsened the economy and that he has focused on the wrong priorities. Furthermore, the survey shows a decline in public perception of Trump’s personal qualities and an overall job approval rating of only 39%. These findings, coupled with waning support among key demographics, pose significant challenges for the President as he approaches the midterm elections.
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During a meeting with oil executives, President Donald Trump declared a 25% tariff on any country conducting business with Iran, effective immediately. This move aims to economically isolate Iran amidst widespread anti-government protests and follows Trump’s previous threats of military action against the country. The president has also explicitly supported the demonstrations. The legal basis for these new tariffs remains unclear, as they come ahead of a Supreme Court ruling on the legality of Trump’s previous tariffs.
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Argentina has repaid US for currency swap deal, a fact that’s gotten a lot of attention, and for good reason. It involves a financial agreement between the two countries, and it’s something that can sound a bit complex at first glance. Think of it like a safety net – the U.S. offered Argentina a currency swap deal, a line of credit essentially, to help stabilize its economy. This would allow Argentina to exchange pesos for U.S. dollars if they needed them. The total amount available in this swap was substantial – up to $20 billion.
However, the reality of the situation is that Argentina only used a small portion of this available fund.… Continue reading
U.S. employers posted significantly fewer job openings in November, totaling 7.1 million, which is the lowest number since September 2024. Despite the drop in openings, layoffs also decreased, indicating companies are retaining their employees. These figures suggest a “low-hire, low-fire” job market even as economic growth remains solid, which raises the question of whether hiring will catch up. Key data from the job openings and labor turnover survey indicates a slower labor market with job gains expected to pick up.
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Despite concerns about economic damage from Donald Trump’s policies, the stock market has remained surprisingly strong, with the S&P 500 growing significantly in 2025. However, this growth is largely driven by a single sector, AI, raising concerns about a potential bubble. When compared to global competitors, the U.S. market has lagged, and the dollar has weakened. Furthermore, the long-term impact of Trump’s policies, such as the erosion of the rule of law and unpredictable regulations, are detrimental to sustainable economic growth.
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Recent polling data indicates a concerning trend for President Trump, revealing a decline in approval ratings among middle-class Americans. The Economist/YouGov polls show a drop in net approval from -10 in October to -17 in December, impacting those with incomes between $50,000-$100,000. This trend aligns with broader concerns over the economy, reflected in other national surveys and public opinion regarding affordability. With economic issues dominating the public’s focus, this shift in sentiment could significantly influence upcoming elections and the president’s political standing.
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Recent focus groups indicate a shift in sentiment among voters who previously supported Donald Trump. The groups reveal growing dissatisfaction with his handling of the economy, particularly regarding the cost of living, with many questioning his commitment to address inflation and viewing tariffs negatively. Furthermore, the focus groups highlighted concerns about Trump’s deportation policies, with some participants criticizing aggressive tactics and questioning the targeting of individuals without criminal records. These sentiments reflect broader trends observed in polling data, suggesting a decline in support across key demographics.
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John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood