Recent polling indicates a significant decline in J.D. Vance’s chances of securing the GOP presidential nomination in 2028. Initially holding a substantial lead, Vance’s margin over Donald Trump Jr. has narrowed considerably in recent months. The latest survey reveals Vance at 34% compared to Trump Jr.’s 24%, a stark contrast to the previous gap. This shift in popularity is speculated to be linked to Vance’s close association with the current administration, which is facing its own decline in approval ratings.
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Turning Point USA, under the leadership of Erika Kirk, is laying the groundwork to support a potential JD Vance presidential bid in 2028. This follows the late Charlie Kirk’s early advocacy for Vance and the close friendship between them. While acknowledging Vance’s position as a prominent figure in the MAGA movement, Kirk emphasized the organization’s focus on the upcoming midterm elections. Ultimately, the organization plans to support Vance’s run for presidency.
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During a recent interview on Fox News, Donald Trump criticized California Governor Gavin Newsom, attacking him on various issues and suggesting he would be a poor leader. In response, Newsom, a potential 2028 presidential contender, reignited his claims that Trump is suffering from dementia. Newsom used an AI chatbot to emphasize this point, and this is not the first time Newsom has questioned Trump’s mental state. This back-and-forth reflects the ongoing feud between the two, with Newsom repeatedly pointing out Trump’s mental lapses.
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During an interview, California Governor Gavin Newsom acknowledged his consideration of a 2028 presidential bid but emphasized his focus on the upcoming midterm elections. Newsom’s comments followed his recent visit to South Carolina and highlighted the importance of his brand on a national stage. While expressing openness to a future run, he also acknowledged potential challenges, including a crowded Democratic primary and a likely conservative opponent. Newsom’s current political strategy involves challenging Republican efforts in redistricting, particularly in response to the actions of the Republican president and his allies.
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Senator Bernie Sanders suggested that Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez could be a potential presidential candidate in 2028, citing her authenticity and strong political skills. Sanders observed her effectiveness on the campaign trail, particularly during their recent “Fighting Oligarchy” tour, which drew large crowds. The progressive wing of the Democratic Party is looking for a successor to Sanders. While she currently has a 12% chance of clinching the nomination, she has been involved in the public conversation, and has recently suggested mockery as a way to counter the MAGA movement.
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A recent Emerson College poll reveals a close race between Vice President JD Vance and California Governor Gavin Newsom in a hypothetical 2028 presidential matchup, with Vance leading at 46% to Newsom’s 45%. This 1% lead for Vance marks a narrowing from previous polls conducted by Emerson, indicating Newsom has gained ground. Both candidates have yet to formally announce their candidacy but are frequently discussed as potential contenders, increasing public interest and speculation. The next steps for potential candidates will likely be determined after the midterm elections in November 2026.
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According to Star Sports, California Governor Gavin Newsom’s odds of winning the 2028 presidential election have improved to 11/2, making him the second favorite behind J.D. Vance. Newsom is also favored to be the Democratic nominee, with odds at 5/2, ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg. This shift in odds follows Newsom’s increased visibility and his strategic moves, including a redistricting bill and social media interactions mimicking Donald Trump. Star Sports analyst William Kedjanyi noted Newsom’s emergence as a leader against Trump, contributing to his rising profile and improved chances.
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California Governor Gavin Newsom has adopted a confrontational strategy, mirroring Donald Trump’s tactics to counter a Trump-backed redistricting effort in Texas and gain national attention. Newsom has flooded social media with all-caps posts and memes, drawing reactions from both sides of the political spectrum, including praise from some Republicans. This approach has led to increased visibility and fundraising, positioning Newsom as a potential 2028 presidential contender. While some critics, including within his own party, view this as grandstanding, Newsom’s allies believe this aggressive approach is necessary to energize the Democratic base and counter Trump’s influence.
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A recent poll indicates that California Governor Gavin Newsom currently holds a slight lead over former Vice President Kamala Harris in a hypothetical 2028 Democratic primary, with 25% of California Democrats supporting Newsom compared to Harris’s 19%. This poll, conducted by Politico and The Citrin Center, surveyed 1,445 registered California voters between late July and early August. The poll offers an early look into the preferences of Democrats in a crucial state for the party, which could be pivotal for either Newsom or Harris if they were to launch presidential bids.
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A recent poll indicates a significant surge in support for California Governor Gavin Newsom as a potential 2028 Democratic presidential candidate. The poll, conducted by Echelon Insights, places Newsom in second place with 13 percent support, a substantial increase from a previous poll in April. This rise in popularity may be linked to Newsom’s more assertive stance against former President Donald Trump, particularly regarding redistricting. Political analysts suggest that this early polling data is primarily indicative of name recognition, and the landscape will likely shift after the midterm elections.
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John Q. Hosedrinker