With the war in Ukraine approaching its fourth year and a potential Trump presidency looming, the conflict’s endgame is highly uncertain. Latvia, a significant military aid provider to Ukraine, emphasizes the importance of a Ukrainian-defined victory and continued support from allies. While NATO membership for Ukraine is considered non-negotiable, the specifics of security guarantees during and after a potential ceasefire remain under discussion. Latvia stresses the need for a strong Ukrainian position in negotiations, supported by continued Western aid and a unified stance against further Russian aggression.
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Ukrainian President Zelensky, in an interview with Lex Fridman, expressed hope that a second Trump presidency could swiftly end the war in Ukraine, emphasizing the crucial role of U.S. security guarantees. However, Zelensky warned that a U.S. withdrawal from NATO, a possibility raised by Trump’s past criticisms of the alliance, would embolden Putin to further aggression, potentially leading to the destruction of Europe. Zelensky highlighted Trump’s potential to pressure Putin but stressed the continued importance of U.S. involvement to deter future Russian attacks. The President’s comments underscore the significant uncertainty surrounding the future of U.S.-Ukraine relations under a Trump administration.
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Russia has rejected proposed plans from President-elect Trump’s team to end the war in Ukraine, deeming them uninteresting. These plans, reportedly including delaying Ukraine’s NATO membership, have been dismissed by both the Russian UN ambassador and Foreign Minister Lavrov. Moscow maintains its previously stated conditions for ending the conflict, which include the full occupation of four Ukrainian regions and Ukraine’s rejection of NATO membership. Experts suggest that Russia’s unwillingness to negotiate over its core objectives casts doubt on the feasibility of a swift resolution, even with a new U.S. administration.
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President Duda’s New Year’s address emphasized Poland’s unwavering commitment to its security, highlighting a strong military and robust alliances, particularly with the U.S., as crucial pillars. He advocated for increased NATO defense spending and prioritized strengthening EU-U.S. cooperation during Poland’s upcoming EU presidency. With 2025’s presidential elections approaching, Duda urged citizens to elect a successor prioritizing national security and upholding Poland’s sovereignty. He concluded by reflecting on Poland’s recent progress and expressing optimism for the future.
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Forrest Pemberton, a Gainesville, Florida resident, faces federal stalking charges for allegedly plotting an attack on the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) in Florida. He is accused of scouting AIPAC’s offices with the intent to harm or kill employees, possessing firearms during surveillance, and making statements indicating an intention to commit violence. Law enforcement intervened, apprehending Pemberton with firearms before he could carry out the alleged attack. Pemberton’s motivation stemmed from frustration with AIPAC’s political influence, and he remains in pretrial detention.
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Former Lithuanian Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis warns that Russia’s hybrid attacks against NATO, encompassing sabotage, cyberattacks, and assassination attempts, “look like war.” He stresses the urgent need for NATO to establish clear red lines and define retaliatory measures to deter further aggression. Landsbergis expresses concern that NATO’s current response is insufficiently swift and decisive, potentially emboldening Russia. He suggests that a sufficiently severe hybrid attack could even trigger an Article 5 response.
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Finland’s discovery of kilometer-long drag marks on the Baltic seabed following damage to an undersea cable is a deeply unsettling event. The sheer scale of the marks strongly suggests an intentional act of sabotage, a conclusion many find unsurprising given the current geopolitical climate. The incident immediately raises serious questions about Russia’s involvement, considering their ongoing conflict with Ukraine and broader global democratic principles.
The suggestion that this is merely accidental damage is frankly unbelievable. The scale and nature of the damage clearly point to a deliberate action, not a simple cable failure. Some have even pointed to the absurdity of attributing the damage to such outlandish explanations as Ukrainian birds or an accidental fall from a window.… Continue reading
Following damage to the Estlink 2 power cable, potentially caused by a Russian vessel, Andriy Yermak warned of escalating Russian hybrid warfare. This could involve provocations near NATO borders, potentially utilizing Russia’s shadow fleet and even North Korean or Iranian proxies. Yermak stressed that failure to act decisively against such actions risks further escalation and emboldens Russia. Previous incidents, including damage to an underwater gas pipeline, highlight the ongoing threat.
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Reported peace proposals from President-elect Trump’s team, involving a delayed Ukrainian NATO accession and European peacekeeping forces, have been rejected by Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov. Lavrov criticized the plan’s suggestion of shifting responsibility for confronting Russia to Europe and the inclusion of European peacekeepers. While Russia awaits official communication from Washington, Lavrov stated a willingness to engage with the incoming Biden administration, contingent on a proactive move from the U.S. Despite President Putin’s stated aim to end the conflict by 2025, Moscow maintains its demands for no territorial concessions and a rejection of Ukraine’s NATO membership.
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The Russian-linked tanker *Eagle S*, seized by Finnish authorities for damaging an undersea cable, was equipped with sophisticated surveillance technology, transforming it into a de facto spy ship. This equipment, also found on a sister vessel, *Swiftsea Rider*, was unusual for a merchant ship and suggests deliberate monitoring of NATO naval activity. The *Eagle S*’s crew, likely aware of the spying, were allegedly threatened into silence. The tankers’ ownership is obscured through complex corporate structures, characteristic of the “dark fleet” known for circumventing sanctions.
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John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood