In a New Year’s Eve attack, Russia launched 111 drones targeting Ukrainian cities. Ukrainian air defenses successfully intercepted most, but one civilian was killed and damage inflicted. President Zelensky expressed condolences and gratitude to the military and emergency services for their tireless efforts. The successful defense involved the downing of 63 drones and the disruption of 46 decoys.
An investigation by the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ 3rd Assault Brigade uncovered evidence of Russian soldiers, under the orders of Oleg Igorevych Rudakov, targeting and harming civilians in Nevske, Luhansk region. Intercepted communications reveal Rudakov directing the killing and torture of civilians and the destruction of civilian vehicles. This follows a pattern of Russian forces violating international humanitarian law, as evidenced by a separate incident in Toretsk where two civilians were killed. The collected evidence, including phone recordings and radio transmissions, will be used as potential evidence in international war crimes proceedings.
Following the expiration of a key transit deal, Ukraine halted the flow of Russian natural gas through its territory to Europe. This expected, yet symbolically significant move comes after Europe significantly reduced its reliance on Russian gas. While Ukraine will lose approximately $800 million annually in transit fees, and Gazprom faces a near $5 billion loss in sales, Europe has prepared for this scenario by securing alternative supply routes and boosting LNG imports. Despite some potential short-term price fluctuations, major disruptions are deemed unlikely due to these preparations and a mild start to winter.
Gazprom will halt natural gas supplies to Moldova’s Transnistria region starting January 1, 2025, citing unpaid debts by Moldovagaz. This decision, announced on December 28th, will reduce gas supplies to zero cubic meters per day until further notice. While Moldova has secured alternative gas supplies for its own consumption, Chișinău rejects responsibility for Transnistria’s debt and the termination further complicates already strained energy relations between Russia and Moldova. This action comes as Ukraine refuses to renew the transit agreement for Russian gas to Europe, effective January 1st, 2025.
Ukraine has identified Artyom Tareyev, a Russian officer, as the suspected perpetrator of a massacre of civilians in Bucha, a Kyiv suburb, during the 2022 Russian occupation. The Bucha city council alleges that Tareyev directly ordered his troops to kill civilians near Yablunska and Vodoprovidna streets on March 5th, 2022, resulting in the deaths of at least thirteen individuals. This includes Iryna Filkina, whose heartbreaking image – a lifeless hand with bright red nail polish – became a potent symbol of the atrocities committed in Bucha.
The identification of Tareyev comes amidst ongoing investigations into the Bucha massacre, a horrific event that shocked the world and became synonymous with the alleged war crimes perpetrated by Russian forces.… Continue reading
A drone attack on December 31st ignited a fire at an oil depot in Yartsevo, Russia’s Smolensk region, approximately 500 km from Kursk. Smolensk Governor Vasily Anokhin confirmed the incident, attributing the fire to drone debris causing a fuel spill. This attack, one of several recent Ukrainian strikes targeting Russian oil infrastructure, aims to disrupt Russia’s war effort by reducing oil production, which has fallen to its lowest level since 2005. The use of long-range weapons in these deep strikes is enabled by President Biden’s authorization.
Recent reports indicate a Ukrainian drone offensive forced a Russian retreat from the outskirts of Kupiansk, a strategically important railroad hub in the Kharkiv region. This withdrawal, confirmed by the Kremlin-affiliated Rybar Telegram channel, is attributed to disrupted supply lines caused by the drone attacks. The Russian offensive continues elsewhere along the Kupiansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, however, and both sides are simultaneously bolstering their drone production capabilities. This highlights the increasing importance of unmanned aerial vehicles in the ongoing conflict.
Poland has pledged to increase electricity exports to Ukraine should Slovakia cut off its backup power supply, a move threatened by Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico. This assurance comes amidst rising tensions over gas transit through Ukraine and Slovakia’s continued reliance on Russian gas. Poland will boost its own energy production to offset any resulting Ukrainian power shortages. The situation is further complicated by the upcoming expiration of a Russian gas transit agreement through Ukraine and the EU’s aim to phase out Russian fossil fuels.
The United States plans to send a significant $1.25 billion military aid package to Ukraine on December 30th, following a previous $500 million announcement. This substantial aid will include munitions for critical air defense systems like Hawk and NASAMS, alongside Stinger missiles and artillery rounds. The delivery is a direct response to escalating Russian attacks targeting Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, fulfilling President Biden’s promise of increased weapons support. This aid package addresses Ukraine’s urgent need for air defense capabilities amid Russia’s ongoing offensive.
Following a deadly Azerbaijan Airlines crash in Kazakhstan, Vladimir Putin offered an apology to Azerbaijan, stating the incident occurred in Russian airspace, but avoided taking responsibility. The UK, however, rejected this apology, demanding a full and independent investigation into the incident, citing Russia’s reckless actions as a threat to international security. Multiple sources, including the White House and US military officials, suggest Russian air defenses may have mistakenly shot down the plane. Ukraine also called for a transparent explanation and cessation of disinformation from Russia.
John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood