Former Ukrainian lawmaker and businessman Vadym Novynskyi, a wealthy individual and sponsor of a Moscow-backed church, has been charged in absentia with high treason and incitement to religious hatred by Ukrainian authorities. The State Bureau of Investigation alleges Novynskyi, a member of the banned Opposition Bloc, promoted pro-Russian narratives and acted as a handler for the Russian Orthodox Church in Ukraine, following the instructions of Patriarch Kirill. He fled Ukraine after the full-scale invasion began and continues to engage in subversive activities abroad. A conviction could result in a prison sentence of up to 15 years.
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Reports indicate that Australian national Oscar Jenkins, a prisoner of war in Russia, may have been killed. Following these reports, the Australian government has expressed grave concern and summoned the Russian ambassador, vowing the strongest possible action if harm befell Jenkins. This would mark the first death of an Australian POW in over 50 years. Australia has repeatedly condemned Russia’s actions in Ukraine and provided substantial aid to the country.
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Following a Russian drone attack on Ukraine near the Romanian border on January 17th, Romanian airspace was violated. Two F-16 fighter jets were scrambled, and subsequent investigations uncovered potential drone impact traces near Plauroo. The Romanian Ministry of Defense condemned the attacks, maintained constant contact with allies, and continues monitoring the situation. The affected area is currently secured pending further investigation.
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Russia’s war in Ukraine has resulted in the deaths of at least 6,083 elite soldiers, representing a significant loss of highly trained personnel. These casualties, spanning various elite units including Airborne Forces and GRU special forces, highlight the substantial human cost of the conflict. While initially relying heavily on these elite units, Russia has increasingly depended on mobilized personnel and convicts, indicating significant depletion of its trained military forces. The actual number of Russian casualties is likely considerably higher than open-source data suggests, potentially reaching as high as 196,000.
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In response to a January 15th Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine, two Norwegian F-35 fighter jets, based in Poland, were deployed for the first time to actively defend Polish airspace. This action underscores NATO’s commitment to its eastern flank, following a previous instance of Russian ordnance entering Polish airspace. Poland simultaneously announced an increase in its air force readiness, deploying additional fighter jets and enhancing ground defenses. This escalation comes despite previous advice for restraint regarding airspace violations and despite differing opinions on the appropriate response to such incursions.
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Ukraine launched its most extensive air offensive yet, striking multiple Russian regions with drones and missiles over 1000 kilometers from the border. The sophisticated attacks, utilizing decoys to overwhelm defenses, targeted military and industrial sites including oil refineries and airbases. This demonstrates Ukraine’s growing long-range capabilities and reliance on domestically produced drones and missiles, a shift driven partly by Western hesitancy to authorize strikes within Russia. These attacks are not only disrupting Russian logistics but also undermining the Kremlin’s narrative of invincibility and bolstering Ukrainian morale.
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The U.K. announced a significant expansion of military aid to Ukraine, totaling £3 billion ($3.6 billion) this year, including 150 artillery barrels, a mobile air defense system, and an expanded international training initiative. This aid also includes the first release of £1.5 billion from a £2.26 billion G7 loan, repayable with frozen Russian assets, for Ukrainian procurement. Prime Minister Starmer’s visit to Kyiv culminated in a new 100-year partnership agreement with President Zelensky.
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Despite a 21% interest rate—the highest in years—Russia’s annual inflation surged to 9.5% in December, exceeding expectations. This increase, driven by substantial military spending exceeding $100 billion, affects all sectors, with food inflation particularly acute. The Central Bank’s attempts to curb inflation through interest rate hikes have proven ineffective, leaving the economy overheated and potentially vulnerable. Experts disagree on the likelihood of a broader economic crisis.
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Trump’s Treasury pick, Bessent, advocating for stronger sanctions against Russia over the ongoing war in Ukraine presents a fascinating, albeit somewhat perplexing, development. The initial reaction many had was one of disbelief, given Trump’s historically close ties to Putin and his administration’s generally soft stance on Russia. The suggestion that Bessent would actively push for sanctions that would cripple the Russian economy – specifically targeting major oil producers – seems jarringly incongruous with the expected behavior of someone within a Trump-led administration.
The possibility that this statement is merely a strategic maneuver to secure Senate confirmation cannot be discounted. There’s a strong likelihood that Bessent, understanding the political climate, is tailoring his comments to garner support.… Continue reading
Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha firmly reiterated Ukraine’s commitment to NATO membership as the sole effective security guarantee, a position enshrined in its constitution and widely supported domestically. He dismissed alternative security arrangements, citing the Budapest Memorandum’s failure and arguing that ambiguous statuses only invite further aggression. Sybiha emphasized that NATO membership is crucial not only for Ukraine’s security but also for the broader transatlantic security architecture, referencing past failures to grant Ukraine a Membership Action Plan. He clarified that while bilateral agreements with allies are helpful, they cannot replace full NATO membership.
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John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood