Donald Trump has asserted he will “protect” women, but a majority of women appear unimpressed. The latest ABC News/Ipsos national poll shows the Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris enjoys a 14% lead among women over Trump, rising to 23% among women with a college degree and 34% among women under 40. The Brookings Institution suggests this owes to anger among women about the 2022 Dobbs decision. The same poll showed a 10-point swing to Harris among voters over 65 compared to 2020, some suggesting this is due to the “revenge of Boomer feminists”. Early voting tallies show women accounting for 55% of all ballots cast in battleground states such as Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
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Vice President Kamala Harris is polling significantly higher than Donald Trump among women, according to an ABC News/Ipsos national poll. Harris has a 14% lead over Trump overall with women, which increases to 23% for women with a college degree and 34% for women under the age of 40. The Brookings Institution credits Harris’ popularity with older voters to the 2022 Dobbs Supreme Court decision, which restricted abortion rights. Prominent pro-Trump figures have voiced concern over these poll numbers, especially as early voting data indicates a majority of female voters. In Pennsylvania, for example, 56% of mail-in ballots have come from women so far.
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Women are dominating early voting for the 2024 elections in the US, contributing 54% of the more than 58 million mail-in and in-person votes that have been cast, causing concern among Donald Trump’s supporters. In battleground states Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina, the gap is at least 10 points and in Pennsylvania, the largest swing state, women have cast 56% of the votes. It is not known how these women voted, but supporters of Trump fear this trend may sway the election in favor of Vice-President Kamala Harris. Harris has championed abortion rights in her campaign, aiming to appeal to all women, including Republican women dissatisfied with Trump. However, it is uncertain if the rise in female voters will be beneficial exclusively for Harris as Trump has recently encouraged all Republicans to vote early.
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The US in brief’s team from The Economist will be providing rapid analysis of the US election results on Tuesday, November 5th. The fastest analysis will be available on their app and home page on election day. Detailed live results will be published on their page soon after the first polls close at 6pm EST/11 pm GMT.
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Prominent right-wing influencers Mike Cernovich and Charlie Kirk have expressed concern over the early voting turnout among women which could negatively impact Donald Trump’s chances of victory. A Politico analysis showed a 10% gender gap in early voting, with women constituting 55% of early voters. Cernovich praised Trump’s strategy of targeting male audiences through podcast appearances but criticised the campaign’s engagement with women voters.
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Barbara Pierce Bush’s endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris is not just a personal statement; it’s a profound political moment that signals the shifting landscape of American party politics. As the daughter of former President George W. Bush and granddaughter of George H.W. Bush, Barbara is situated in a unique position within the longstanding Bush political legacy. Watching her step out in support of a Democratic candidate, especially in such a polarized climate, prompts deep reflection on what this means for both the Republican Party and the larger political discourse in the United States.
Campaigning for Harris in Pennsylvania during the final stretch of the 2024 presidential election truly showcases a commitment to values that resonate beyond party lines.… Continue reading
Allan Lichtman, the historian who has made a name for himself as a presidential predictor, has firmly stated his belief that Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 election. This assertion, bold and unapologetic, comes amidst an electoral landscape that has been muddied by numerous unpredictable factors—political gambling, speculation-driven polling, and the persistent specter of extremism brought forth by figures like Donald Trump. As an enthusiastic observer of these developments, I find myself both hopeful and concerned about how this prediction will unfold.
Lichtman’s track record has been remarkable; he’s been able to call the winners of nearly every election since the 1980s.… Continue reading
It has fallen to me, the humor columnist, to endorse Kamala Harris for president, and honestly, that’s a little surreal. When I think about the role of a columnist, the first image that springs to mind is not that of a political pundit, but rather a person whose job is to use humor to hold a mirror up to society’s absurdities. Yet here I am, in what feels like a moment that demands serious reflection, navigating the chaotic terrain of the 2024 election. It’s ironic that my endorsement matters so much now that traditional media outlets, like the Washington Post, have opted for silence.… Continue reading
I’m voting for Kamala Harris, not because I believe she is owed a presidency but because I, along with countless others, deserve the future she’s championing. It’s clear to me that what is at stake extends far beyond Harris’s qualifications or my personal preferences; it’s about the stark contrast between her vision and the destructive path that Donald Trump represents. I tire of the chaotic whirlwind that seemed to define Trump’s presidency—a continuous state of drama that left me feeling exhausted and disengaged from the civic process. In contrast, the stability I’ve experienced under Biden and Harris has been refreshing, allowing me moments of peace I didn’t realize I craved so much.… Continue reading
I’m Voting Harris Not Because She Deserves it But Because I Do | I deserve many of the things that Kamala Harris is proposing and we all deserve a break from Donald Trump.
I’m voting for Kamala Harris, not because I believe she is owed a presidency but because I, along with countless others, deserve the future she’s championing. It’s clear to me that what is at stake extends far beyond Harris’s qualifications or my personal preferences; it’s about the stark contrast between her vision and the destructive path that Donald Trump represents. I tire of the chaotic whirlwind that seemed to define Trump’s presidency—a continuous state of drama that left me feeling exhausted and disengaged from the civic process. In contrast, the stability I’ve experienced under Biden and Harris has been refreshing, allowing me moments of peace I didn’t realize I craved so much.… Continue reading