South Korean intelligence estimates that at least 3,000 North Korean soldiers have suffered casualties—300 dead and 2,700 wounded—while fighting alongside Russian forces in Kursk. These losses are attributed to the North Korean troops’ inexperience with modern warfare, evidenced by their reported inability to counter long-range drones and a policy encouraging suicide to avoid capture. Two captured North Korean soldiers are now potentially subject to a prisoner exchange. The deployment, part of a mutual defense pact between North Korea and Russia, has caused concern among the families of the soldiers who fear they are being treated as expendable.
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A Russian drone mistakenly attacked a North Korean-made surface-to-air missile (SAM) system in Russian service, initially misidentified as a Western radar system. The incident, which occurred in Kursk Oblast, was captured on video and publicized through Russian military channels. The North Korean SAM system, a known analog of Russia’s Tor system, was first seen publicly in 2020. This friendly fire incident highlights the increasing use of North Korean military equipment by Russia in the ongoing conflict.
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On December 21st, Alexander Nikiforov was arrested in Kolpino, near St. Petersburg, after setting fire to newspapers placed on ATM terminals on three separate occasions. He was subsequently charged with terrorism. Nikiforov claims he acted under duress, following instructions from unknown telephone scammers. This incident is one of several similar attacks against financial institutions and government buildings that week, raising concerns about a potential organized scam.
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On January 11, 2024, a Russian airstrike on a nursing home in Sudzha, Kursk Oblast, resulted in one fatality and significant damage to the facility, leaving approximately 70 elderly and disabled residents displaced. The attack, confirmed by Ukrainian military spokesperson Oleksii Dmytrashkivskyi, occurred amidst renewed Ukrainian offensive operations in the region and follows reports of captured North Korean soldiers fighting alongside Russian forces. The incident highlights the vulnerability of civilians in the conflict zone and the challenges of relocating vulnerable populations. This attack occurred in an area previously visited by media on Ukrainian military-organized press tours.
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Incoming National Security Adviser Mike Waltz advocates for Ukraine to lower its draft age to 18, believing this would provide hundreds of thousands of additional troops. This measure, Waltz argues, is crucial for stabilizing the front lines and achieving a more favorable negotiating position. This recommendation follows previous US urging of Ukraine to increase its military manpower, although this has reportedly caused tension between the Ukrainian and US presidents. Zelenskyy, however, has prioritized Western weapons and training over lowering the draft age.
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A collaborative investigation by the BBC Russian Service, Mediazona, and volunteers estimates that up to 220,000 Russian soldiers have died in Ukraine since 2022, with at least 88,000 names verified. This figure, while lower than Ukrainian estimates of over 800,000 total casualties, still suggests a significant manpower strain on Russia. The analysis, compiled from open-source data, highlights 2024 as the deadliest year and details losses across various elite military units. The discrepancy in casualty figures underscores the difficulty in accurately assessing the war’s impact on Russia’s military capabilities.
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A UTair flight from Moscow to Dubai made an emergency landing due to a hydraulic fluid issue, marking the fourth Russian airline incident in 2025 and the second for UTair in a week. This follows a recent trend of technical problems plaguing Russian airlines, attributed to Western sanctions limiting maintenance and parts supply, forcing “cannibalization” of aircraft. The resulting fleet reduction and increased incidents, coupled with a “red flag” designation from the ICAO, highlight significant safety concerns within Russian aviation. These issues are further exacerbated by reported fuel rationing and rising fuel costs.
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The Eagle S, a tanker suspected of damaging the Estlink 2 power cable between Finland and Estonia, is owned by a Dubai-based company. Yle’s investigation revealed that over half of the vessels identified in the Russian shadow fleet are similarly linked to Dubai-registered companies, suggesting a pattern of obfuscation. Many of these vessels have recently altered names, owners, or flags, though such practices are not uncommon. Seven crew members aboard the Eagle S are suspected of aggravated vandalism and are under travel restrictions in Finland. These events coincide with increased international scrutiny of Russian oil tankers and sanctions imposed by the U.S.
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A drone attack on January 7-8 ignited a fire at the Kombinat Kristal oil depot in Engels, Saratov Oblast, resulting in a five-day firefighting effort. Two firefighters perished, and one was hospitalized during the extensive operation. Authorities declared a state of emergency in Engels, and while the fire is now under control, Governor Busargin reported decreasing smoke and fire size. The depot, a federal facility supplying the Engels-2 airbase, sustained significant damage.
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Nearly 1,300 Ukrainians residing in various European nations have applied to join the Poland-based Ukrainian Legion, a volunteer military unit trained by the Polish Armed Forces. The Legion, launched in July 2024 to address Ukraine’s manpower needs, allows Ukrainians abroad to contribute to the defense effort while maintaining their foreign residency. A second recruitment wave, including women in medical and communications roles, recently concluded in Lublin. Following contract signing, recruits undergo training using NATO weaponry at Polish Armed Forces facilities.
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John Q. Hosedrinker