Newly declassified US intelligence documents detail a pattern of assassinations targeting political opponents of Vladimir Putin, primarily in former Soviet republics. These actions range from poisonings, like that of former Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko, to bombings and shootings, implicating both Russian state security services and Chechen operatives under Ramzan Kadyrov. The report cites several high-profile victims, including former FSB officer Alexander Litvinenko and Zelimkhan Yandarbiyev, former leader of Ichkeria. US intelligence expresses high confidence in its findings regarding these Kremlin-linked operations.
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As of November 22nd, an estimated 60,000 Russian troops, augmented by approximately 11,000 North Korean soldiers, are concentrated in Russia’s Kursk Oblast. These forces aim to establish a buffer zone along the Sumy Oblast border, countering Ukraine’s August incursion. Ukrainian forces, having initially gained ground, are holding their positions in Kursk Oblast while Russian forces have retaken approximately half of the initially lost territory. The ongoing conflict has resulted in significant Russian casualties, with over 7,900 killed, 12,200 wounded, and 717 captured in the three months since the offensive began.
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Sweden will provide significant financial aid to Ukraine for the mass production of long-range missiles and drones, utilizing the “Danish model” of direct funding to the Ukrainian defense industry. This approach avoids depleting Swedish military stockpiles while simultaneously bolstering Ukraine’s long-term defense capabilities and fostering stronger bilateral economic ties. The funding follows similar initiatives by Denmark and Norway, and allows Ukraine to utilize the weapons as it sees fit, including on Russian territory. This commitment underscores Sweden’s continued support for Ukraine’s self-defense efforts.
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Canada’s long-awaited NASAMS air defense system, purchased for over US$300 million, has been delivered to Ukraine. Minister Blair confirmed its arrival in Parliament, emphasizing its significance in protecting Ukrainian communities, though operational details remain undisclosed. This delivery fulfills a commitment made in January 2023, involving direct US sale to Ukraine following Canadian funding. The system’s deployment follows earlier assurances from Prime Minister Trudeau to President Zelenskyy.
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Following a Russian attack on Dnipro using a new hypersonic missile, NATO and Ukraine will hold emergency talks. Russian President Vladimir Putin, who claimed the strike was retaliation for Ukrainian attacks using Western-supplied missiles, stated the Oreshnik missile is currently unparalleled and will continue to be tested, including in combat. The attack, which prompted Kyiv to cancel a parliament session due to security concerns, is viewed by many as a significant escalation of the conflict, potentially entering a decisive phase. Western officials condemned the action, highlighting the missile’s capabilities and expressing concern over Russia’s escalating rhetoric.
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Satellite imagery confirms Russia’s violation of UN sanctions through the illicit transfer of over a million barrels of oil to North Korea. This exchange, involving at least a dozen North Korean tankers, has occurred 43 times since March at Russia’s Vostochny Port. In return for the oil and supplied air defense missiles, North Korea provides Russia with thousands of troops and artillery shells. This mutually beneficial, yet clandestine, arrangement provides both regimes with crucial resources amid international conflict and sanctions.
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Following a Russian hypersonic missile attack on a Ukrainian military facility in Dnipro, emergency NATO-Ukraine talks are scheduled. The attack, utilizing the experimental Oreshnik missile, represents a significant escalation, prompting heightened security measures in Kyiv and fueling fears of a decisive phase in the conflict. Russian President Putin justified the strike as retaliation for Ukrainian attacks using Western-supplied weapons, while Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán echoed Moscow’s claims of potential US involvement. Concurrent with the Dnipro strike, Iranian-made Shahed drones targeted a Sumy residential area, resulting in casualties.
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Ukraine’s proven reliability as a borrower, coupled with a robust debt repayment strategy, makes current financial aid a fiscally sound investment for its partners. Preventing Ukraine’s defeat through timely funding is economically cheaper than shouldering the costs of prolonged conflict and refugee support. While Ukraine is increasing domestic revenue, substantial external financing remains crucial for both wartime needs and the extensive post-war reconstruction. The IMF advocates for increased tax revenue, including a VAT increase, to support this, alongside initiatives like the G7’s US$50 billion plan. Despite the war’s impact, Ukraine’s economy is projected to recover, with GDP growth forecast to reach 4% in 2024.
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In exchange for North Korean troops supporting its war effort in Ukraine, Russia has supplied Pyongyang with air defense missile systems, bolstering its air defense network. South Korean officials believe these systems, potentially including S-400 missiles, were provided alongside other military technologies and economic aid. This arms transfer is seen as a significant development, particularly given North Korea’s recent concerns about drone incursions. While experts question the overall effectiveness of the transferred systems, the deal highlights growing military cooperation between Russia and North Korea in the face of Western sanctions and opposition.
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Following Russia’s missile strike on Dnipro, which utilized an intercontinental ballistic missile and prompted threats from Vladimir Putin against Western nations, China urged all involved parties to maintain calm and restraint. China’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson emphasized the need for dialogue and consultation to de-escalate the situation and facilitate a political resolution to the Ukraine crisis. This call for restraint comes amidst reports of the attack’s damage to civilian infrastructure and Putin’s threats of retaliation. China’s stated position remains focused on achieving a ceasefire through peaceful means.
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John Q. Hosedrinker