In a massive overnight attack, Russia launched nearly 200 missiles and drones targeting Ukrainian cities and energy infrastructure, causing widespread power outages. This attack underscores the critical need for continued support of Ukraine’s defense. The U.S. has prioritized air defense exports to Ukraine, delivering hundreds of missiles and other critical military aid, including artillery and armored vehicles. This aid is part of a broader international effort involving over 50 countries committed to supporting Ukraine’s fight for freedom. The resilience of the Ukrainian people continues to defy Russian expectations.
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On Friday, eleven military aircraft from China and Russia, including bombers and fighter jets, entered South Korea’s KADIZ without prior notification. The planes, which entered consecutively over the East Sea and waters off the southern coast, conducted a joint flight over waters south of Dokdo before departing. South Korea’s Air Force responded by deploying fighter jets to monitor the situation. This joint flight, assessed as a combined military exercise, marks a continuation of similar, unannounced incursions by both nations into the KADIZ since 2019. Although entering the KADIZ, the aircraft did not violate South Korean airspace.
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A Belarusian Investigative Center report details a Russian-operated torture chamber in Naroulia, Belarus, active in spring 2022. Ukrainian prisoners of war and civilians were held and tortured at this camp, located on Belarusian government-owned property near the Ukrainian border. Human rights activists and former prisoners corroborated the brutal treatment, citing severe beatings and constant screams. The camp’s operation potentially violates the Geneva Convention, given the commingling of prisoners of war and civilians.
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On November 28th, Russia launched a widespread missile and drone attack targeting Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, impacting numerous regions including those far from the border. Explosions were reported across the country, with strikes on critical infrastructure facilities and residential areas causing damage and at least one injury. In response to the “massive blow,” Ukrenergo implemented emergency blackouts. This attack, part of a pattern of intensified strikes on Ukraine’s power grid, underscores Russia’s strategy of targeting civilian infrastructure amidst the ongoing war.
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On November 28th, Ukraine’s HUR reported the destruction of a Russian 48Y6-K1 Podlet radar station near Kotovske, Crimea. This modern, approximately $5 million radar system, designed for low-altitude target detection, was reportedly destroyed in an operation claimed by HUR, though verification is pending. This attack follows a series of explosions across Crimea, adding to Ukraine’s ongoing targeting of Russian military assets in occupied territory. The incident highlights continued Ukrainian offensive action in the region.
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North Korea maintains strict secrecy surrounding its troops’ casualties in Russia, with families receiving minimal information and the public remaining unaware. The government treats fallen soldiers as expendable, prioritizing regime security over individual lives. This secrecy extends to the troops’ deployment itself, enforced through censorship and the threat of punishment under the 2023 State Secrets Protection Law. Meanwhile, the elite Storm Corps, known for rigorous training simulating South Korean infiltration, continues its operations, fueling concerns of potential future aggression.
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The Russian ruble plummeted to its lowest point since March 2022, reaching 114 against the dollar, prompting the central bank to intervene and halt foreign currency purchases for the remainder of the year to curb market volatility. President Putin attributed the fluctuations to budget payments and seasonal factors, while Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov downplayed the impact on ordinary citizens. However, experts like Timothy Ash of BlueBay Asset Management view the weakening ruble as a sign of a worsening economic crisis, exacerbated by new US sanctions on Gazprombank and the ongoing war in Ukraine. This economic decline is characterized by high inflation, despite interest rate hikes, and is further complicated by the government’s increased defense spending.
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The Economist estimates that between 60,000 and 100,000 Ukrainian soldiers have been killed and 400,000 wounded since the full-scale war began, representing a significant portion of Ukraine’s fighting-age male population. These figures, derived from various intelligence sources, suggest losses exceeding those of the U.S. in both the Korean and Vietnam Wars combined. While Kyiv has been reticent about disclosing exact numbers, Russia’s reported casualty figures are far lower and likely underrepresent the actual toll. Accurate civilian casualty counts remain elusive, hindered by restricted access to occupied territories.
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Intelligence assessments consistently indicate that providing Ukraine with longer-range U.S. weapons, such as the ATACMS, does not significantly increase the risk of a Russian nuclear attack, despite Kremlin rhetoric to the contrary. This conclusion informed the Biden administration’s decision to authorize their use, a move intended to bolster Ukraine’s negotiating position. However, Russia is anticipated to intensify sabotage efforts against European infrastructure, and a potential Trump presidency poses a considerable threat to continued U.S. support for Ukraine. The ongoing war also presents challenges for Ukraine including battlefield losses and potential foreign troop deployments.
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Despite suffering catastrophic losses—between 600,000 and 730,000 troops killed or wounded—Russia maintains offensive momentum in eastern Ukraine, notably near Avdiivka and Vuhledar. This is partially due to the Kremlin’s strategy of deploying poorly trained troops in large-scale, poorly supported assaults. However, Russia’s economic struggles, including hyperinflation and a plummeting ruble, suggest this unsustainable approach is nearing its limits. The predicted Russian manpower shortage, coupled with Ukraine’s continued attrition strategy, could lead to Russia’s defeat, though this hinges on continued Western support in light of potential shifts in U.S. foreign policy.
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John Q. Hosedrinker