On November 29th, Ukrainian military intelligence reported the destruction of three high-value Russian radar systems in Crimea—two $5 million 48Y6-K1 Podlet systems and a $30 million Kasta-2E2 radar. These mobile radars, crucial for detecting low-altitude air targets, were struck following a similar attack on a Podlet system the previous day. While Ukraine’s HUR claimed responsibility, independent verification is pending. These attacks are consistent with Ukraine’s ongoing targeting of Russian military infrastructure in occupied Crimea.
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President Zelensky proposed a ceasefire contingent on NATO extending protection to currently Ukrainian-controlled territories, allowing for a temporary end to hostilities. This strategy prioritizes securing these areas under NATO’s umbrella, paving the way for future diplomatic negotiations to reclaim occupied lands. Zelensky emphasized the urgency of this measure to prevent further Russian aggression and stressed the importance of direct communication with the incoming US president to ensure continued strong support. This approach represents a strategic shift, prioritizing the preservation of currently held territories while leaving the possibility of recovering lost lands through diplomacy.
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Ukraine’s Main Directorate of Intelligence (HUR) announced the successful destruction of a Russian Zoopark radar complex using four long-range FPV drones. The approximately $24 million radar system was targeted by HUR’s “Kryla” unit, resulting in a significant cost differential compared to the drones’ $2,400 price. Video footage shows the complex being struck, followed by explosions and fire. This represents a continued effort to eliminate valuable Russian military assets in Ukraine.
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Ukraine’s military intelligence reported that North Korea has supplied Russia with over 100 short-range ballistic missiles and over 5 million artillery shells, including various artillery systems. This arms transfer, ongoing since last month, follows a visit by the Russian defense minister to Pyongyang, signifying deepening military cooperation between the two nations. The substantial North Korean military aid is believed to bolster Russia’s efforts to regain territory lost in Kursk Oblast, a key objective before potential peace negotiations. North Korea has also reportedly deployed over 10,000 troops to support Russia’s war effort.
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President Zelensky proposed a path to ending the war in Ukraine: bringing unoccupied Ukrainian territory under NATO’s protection. This would allow for subsequent diplomatic negotiations to reclaim occupied lands. However, Zelensky emphasized that NATO membership must encompass all of Ukraine’s internationally recognized borders, rejecting any partial membership offers. He argued that such an offer would implicitly legitimize Russia’s control of occupied territories. The likelihood of NATO accepting this proposal remains highly uncertain given Russia’s continued aggression.
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Dmitry Kuleba asserts that a potential Trump-brokered peace deal, involving Ukrainian territorial concessions to Russia, is unfeasible. Such a deal would violate Ukraine’s constitution and politically destroy President Zelenskyy. Kuleba highlights Russia’s unwillingness to negotiate in good faith, aiming instead to exhaust the West. He emphasizes that Ukraine’s allies are failing to provide sufficient weaponry, contrasting this with Russia’s access to readily available soldiers. Despite Zelenskyy’s stated desire for a diplomatic solution, a territorial surrender remains impossible.
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Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service alleges a NATO plan to deploy 100,000 peacekeepers in Ukraine, ostensibly to prepare Kyiv for a counteroffensive and “freeze” the conflict. This claim, unsupported by evidence, contradicts previous NATO statements denying such intentions. The SVR suggests this deployment aims to train Ukrainian forces and rebuild their military capabilities, enabling a future offensive against Russia. This follows a reported record of over 2,000 Russian troop casualties in a single day, according to Ukrainian sources.
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President Zelenskyy proposed a ceasefire contingent on bringing currently Ukrainian-controlled territory under NATO’s protection, enabling subsequent diplomatic recovery of occupied lands. This strategy necessitates a NATO invitation acknowledging Ukraine’s internationally recognized borders. Zelenskyy indicated a willingness to address occupied territories diplomatically after achieving a ceasefire to prevent further Russian aggression. He emphasized the need for immediate NATO involvement to protect Ukraine from renewed Russian advances, and stressed the importance of direct communication with President-elect Trump to solidify U.S. support.
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On Friday, Ukraine launched a large-scale drone attack targeting multiple Russian military and infrastructure sites hundreds of kilometers apart, marking one of Kyiv’s most ambitious operations to date. Confirmed strikes included a critical Russian air defense site in Crimea and an oil refinery in Rostov, resulting in significant fires and damage. A third potential strike targeted a Russian naval base or oil facility near Tuapse. Ukraine’s Main Military Intelligence Directorate claimed responsibility, stating the operation involved special forces and drone operators.
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Recent US sanctions on Gazprombank have caused the Russian ruble to plummet to its lowest level since the beginning of the Ukraine invasion, significantly impacting Russia’s already strained economy. This sharp decline, exceeding a third since August, is fueled by decreased oil prices and increased military spending, which has more than tripled since 2021. The sanctions limit Russia’s access to global finance, hindering its ability to fund the war and receive commodity revenues. While the Russian government claims the volatility is due to external factors and a strong dollar, experts warn of an overheating economy and the difficulties of combating inflation with a weak ruble.
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John Q. Hosedrinker