The U.S. is reportedly developing a new peace framework to end the war in Ukraine, with Special Envoy Steve Witkoff crafting a plan in direct contact with Russian officials, sparking unease among Ukrainian officials. The framework, which is being presented to Ukrainian and European representatives, may require Ukraine to cede territory and relinquish weapons, along with other concessions. As negotiations continue, a parallel military-led peace track is also emerging, with a delegation planning to visit Ukraine and then travel to Moscow for talks. Despite renewed diplomatic efforts and the U.S. President’s expressed desire to end the war, fundamental disagreements between Ukraine and Russia remain, with the Kremlin’s position seemingly hardening.
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A Russian missile and drone attack on the western Ukrainian city of Ternopil has resulted in at least 25 fatalities, including three children, and 73 injuries, including 15 children. The strikes, considered one of the deadliest in the region since the full-scale invasion, targeted residential flats, with significant damage reported. The Ukrainian air force claimed to have intercepted a significant number of missiles and drones, including some shot down by Western-supplied fighter jets, but requested continued and timely supplies of aviation weapons to bolster defense capabilities, highlighting the devastating impact of the attacks.
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The Russian Federation launched a night attack on multiple Ukrainian cities, including Ternopil, Lviv, and Ivano-Frankivsk, targeting residential buildings and critical infrastructure. The situation is most dire in Ternopil, where two residential buildings sustained damage, resulting in 10 confirmed deaths and 37 injuries, including 12 children, with rescue operations ongoing to locate individuals trapped under rubble. Rescue efforts involve extensive resources, including aviation, specialized teams, and psychological support, while authorities are also establishing support services for affected civilians and documenting evidence of war crimes. Other regions reported injuries and damage, including warehouse fires in the Lviv region and disruptions to heat supply in Prykarpattia.
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Defence Secretary John Healey announced that the Russian spy ship Yantar is currently operating on the edge of UK waters, marking its second deployment to the area this year. The vessel, designed for intelligence gathering and mapping undersea infrastructure, prompted the deployment of a Royal Navy frigate and RAF planes, during which the Yantar directed lasers at British pilots. Healey warned Russia that the UK is monitoring the ship’s activities and is prepared to respond to any further actions, acknowledging a “new era of threat” to the UK’s defense. This follows a report highlighting the UK’s need for a comprehensive homeland defense plan, despite the government’s efforts to boost military readiness.
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British Defence Secretary John Healey reported that a Russian spy ship, the Yantar, entered the UK’s waters and directed lasers at military aircraft monitoring its movements. Healey warned Russia of the UK’s readiness if the vessel proceeds further south. This incident is part of a pattern of provocations, as NATO observes Russia testing the alliance’s resolve amid escalating tensions. Additionally, a NATO ally, Poland, accused Russia of sabotaging a key rail line, and Romania reported a Russian drone violating its airspace.
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US sanctions targeting Chinese oil infrastructure and Russian energy firms have significantly reduced flows of Russian and Iranian oil into China, the world’s top oil importer, with Chinese seaborne imports of Russian crude potentially dropping by two-thirds. This shift follows sanctions on major Russian oil producers and a key Chinese port, impacting Iranian shipments as well. While state-owned Chinese refiners have paused purchases, smaller private refineries are also showing caution, influenced by EU and UK blacklistings, resulting in a glut of unsold oil and lower prices. Despite the slowdown, some ports and traders are circumventing restrictions through practices like ship-to-ship transfers, suggesting that the impact may be temporary.
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Ukraine’s military announced that it successfully struck military targets within Russia using US-supplied ATACMS missiles, a significant development in the ongoing conflict. This marks the first public acknowledgment of using these advanced ballistic missile systems against Russian territory, following the lifting of previous restrictions by the Biden administration in late 2024. Kyiv received the ATACMS in 2023 but was initially limited to using them within its own borders. Ukraine has also expressed interest in acquiring Tomahawk missiles, which have a longer range, to further pressure Russia.
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Greece and Ukraine have recently solidified a deal to supply US-origin liquefied natural gas (LNG) to Ukraine from December until March 2026, aimed at bolstering energy security amid ongoing Russian attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure. This agreement, announced during President Zelenskyy’s visit to Athens, comes as Russian forces make advances in the Zaporizhzhia region and launch drone strikes on the Odesa region. Simultaneously, Ukraine has struck a major oil refinery in Russia’s Samara region. Amidst these developments, Zelenskyy has also announced plans to overhaul key state energy companies following a corruption scandal.
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According to a Polish government official, the explosion on the railway line used for delivering aid to Ukraine was initiated by Russian secret services. Two individuals, Ukrainian collaborators with Russian intelligence, have been identified and are believed to be in Belarus. Prime Minister Donald Tusk has declared the act an “unprecedented act of sabotage,” with authorities investigating the incidents as “acts of sabotage of a terrorist nature.” As a result, the government will increase the threat level on specific railway lines and employ military protection for crucial infrastructure.
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Over the weekend, an “unprecedented act of sabotage” resulted in the destruction of a train track between Warsaw and Lublin, a crucial route for delivering aid to Ukraine. Polish officials confirmed an explosive device was used, with a second incident also deemed highly probable to be sabotage, and are investigating the events. The incidents have prompted strong condemnation from European leaders, with the EU Commission President emphasizing the need to protect European infrastructure. The attack is the latest in a series of incidents across Europe, fueling concerns of a potential campaign of destabilization, with investigations underway to identify those responsible.
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