Following a conversation between President Zelenskyy and Prime Minister Ishiba, Japan will provide an additional US$3 billion to Ukraine, sourced from frozen Russian assets. This funding will support crucial energy infrastructure repairs and shelter construction, vital given Russia’s recent attacks. Zelenskyy expressed gratitude for Japan’s ongoing commitment to Ukraine’s defense and pursuit of peace. This contribution builds upon previous aid, including a US$1 billion transfer from frozen Russian assets.
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Ukrainian forces struck a Russian 810th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade command post in Lgov, Kursk Oblast, on December 25th, targeting it within an abandoned civilian building. This attack, part of a broader campaign to disrupt Russian military operations, resulted in reported civilian casualties according to Russian sources, though these claims remain unverified. While Kursk Oblast has seen previous intense fighting, recent Ukrainian territorial gains there have reportedly been significantly reduced. Furthermore, Russia’s deployment of North Korean troops has allegedly resulted in substantial casualties.
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Following Russia’s Christmas Day missile and drone attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, President Biden directed the Department of Defense to continue its increased weapons supply to Ukraine. The attacks, which killed at least one energy worker and damaged power plants, aimed to disrupt heat and electricity access for Ukrainian citizens during winter. This was the thirteenth large-scale strike on Ukraine’s energy grid this year, prompting international condemnation, including from British Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Despite significant Ukrainian air defenses successfully intercepting many missiles, the attacks resulted in widespread power outages. Ukraine continues to urge allies for increased military and humanitarian aid.
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An Azerbaijani Airlines plane crashed in Kazakhstan on December 25th, killing 38 of the 67 passengers and crew. Independent Russian media outlets report the plane may have been struck by a Russian surface-to-air missile, citing evidence of missile damage to the aircraft and eyewitness accounts of an explosion. This theory is supported by reports of drone attacks on Chechnya that morning. While Russian authorities initially attributed the crash to a bird strike, the recovered black box is expected to clarify the cause.
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An Azerbaijan Airlines Embraer 190, flight 8432, crashed near Aktau, Kazakhstan, resulting in 38 fatalities out of 67 passengers and crew. Initial reports suggested a bird strike forced an emergency landing, but survivor accounts and investigative sources indicate a possible missile strike near Grozny, the intended destination. The plane’s erratic flight path, as shown by FlightRadar24 data, and potential GPS jamming further complicate the investigation. The nationalities of the passengers included a significant number of Azerbaijanis, as well as Russians, Kazakhs, and Kyrgyz citizens.
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On Christmas Day, Russia launched a massive attack on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, utilizing 78 missiles and over 100 drones. The assault targeted power plants and other energy facilities across multiple regions, causing widespread power outages and casualties. Ukraine’s air defense systems intercepted numerous missiles and drones, but significant damage was still inflicted. The attacks resulted in at least one death in Ukraine, disrupted heating for hundreds of thousands, and caused damage in Russia as well.
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A six-year ban on cryptocurrency mining, effective January 1, 2024, has been imposed in ten Russian regions due to the industry’s substantial energy consumption. This measure, potentially expanding to other regions during peak demand, reflects Russia’s ongoing struggle to regulate cryptocurrency despite its legalization in November 2023. While cross-border crypto payments remain permitted, the ban underscores the government’s efforts to balance energy needs with the evolving cryptocurrency landscape. Future adjustments to the ban are possible depending on energy demand fluctuations.
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The sanctioned Russian cargo ship Ursa Major, owned by Oboronlogistika and carrying two large cranes, sank in the Mediterranean Sea after an engine room explosion. Fourteen crew members were rescued, but two remain missing. The ship, previously named Sparta, was reportedly en route to Vladivostok, though Ukrainian intelligence claimed it was heading to Syria to transport Russian military equipment. The incident follows recent reports of Russian military withdrawal from Syria and other maritime incidents involving Russian vessels.
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Throughout 2024, Russian forces made significant territorial gains in eastern Ukraine, capturing key cities like Avdiivka and Vuhledar and steadily advancing towards Pokrovsk. Simultaneously, a Russian offensive in northeastern Kharkiv Oblast, though initially rapid, failed to achieve major breakthroughs, while a Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast resulted in substantial territory loss. The year concluded with Ukraine facing a manpower shortage, looming defeats in several key battles, and the threat of a major Russian counteroffensive involving North Korean troops. The ongoing battles in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts, coupled with a precarious situation in Kursk Oblast, paint a grim picture for Ukraine’s military prospects.
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Jointly, the UK Foreign Office and the US Embassy in Ukraine denounced Russia’s Christmas Day missile and drone barrage as an inhumane act, weaponizing winter against Ukrainian civilians. The attack, comprising over 180 projectiles targeting energy infrastructure and residential areas across multiple regions, was partially repelled by Ukrainian forces. Despite this, the assault resulted in further restrictions on power supply. This marks the third consecutive winter in which Russia has employed this brutal tactic.
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John Q. Hosedrinker