U.S. and Russian officials held talks in Saudi Arabia on ending the war in Ukraine, marking the first high-level meeting since the invasion began. While Russian officials described the discussions as “serious,” no significant breakthroughs were announced, with disagreements remaining on core issues. Ukraine’s exclusion from these talks sparked concern among European leaders and President Zelenskyy, who reiterated Ukraine’s refusal to accept any peace deal negotiated without its involvement. Russia’s Foreign Minister Lavrov ruled out territorial concessions to Ukraine.
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A multibillion-euro European defense package, unprecedented in scale, is being finalized to bolster regional security and support Ukraine. The initiative, driven by concerns over Russian aggression beyond Ukraine, prioritizes military training, aid acceleration, and arms deliveries. This substantial investment, potentially reaching €700 billion, reflects a growing recognition of Europe’s need for self-reliance in defense, shifting away from sole reliance on the United States. The package’s unveiling is anticipated after the German election.
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High-level U.S. and Russian officials, including their top diplomats, will meet in Saudi Arabia to discuss improving bilateral relations and negotiating a resolution to the war in Ukraine. This marks a significant step towards de-escalation and potential future talks between Presidents Trump and Putin, despite concerns from Ukraine and its allies regarding their exclusion from the initial discussions. The meeting aims to gauge Russia’s commitment to peace and explore the possibility of detailed negotiations, although Ukrainian involvement is considered essential for any lasting agreement. Russia has indicated a focus on restoring full diplomatic ties and preparing for potential presidential talks, while rejecting any territorial concessions.
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In response to potential reduced US security support for Europe and the exclusion of Ukraine from initial US-Russia peace talks, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer proposed deploying British troops to Ukraine as part of a potential 100,000-strong European peacekeeping force. This deployment, discussed at an upcoming Paris meeting, aims to guarantee Ukraine’s security and prevent future Russian aggression. Starmer stressed the importance of including Ukraine in all peace negotiations and highlighted the potential for a 25,000-30,000-troop European deterrent force, potentially supported by US intelligence and air power. The proposal underscores growing European concerns about reliance on the US for security.
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In response to a U.S. request, European nations have indicated a potential contribution of 25,000 to 30,000 troops for a peacekeeping mission in Ukraine, contingent upon a ceasefire. This force, comprised of several brigades, would primarily serve as a deterrent to renewed Russian aggression, positioned away from active combat zones. France is poised to be the largest contributor, with an estimated 10,000 troops. However, resource limitations and hesitancy remain among some European nations.
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The U.S. proposed a deal to Ukraine offering security guarantees, including potential troop deployment, in exchange for 50% of its rare earth minerals. This proposal, presented by Treasury Secretary Bessent, was deemed a “memorandum,” not a formal security agreement, by President Zelensky, who requested further review. While Zelensky hasn’t signed, he has previously indicated openness to resource partnerships for security guarantees. Trump further claimed an “essential agreement” on a $500 billion resource deal.
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Behind-the-scenes at the Munich Security Conference, the US pressured Ukraine to immediately sign a proposed mineral resources deal in exchange for a meeting with Vice President JD Vance, threatening to cancel the meeting otherwise. Kyiv refused to sign the US’s proposed version of the agreement, rejecting proposed amendments. Despite this refusal, the meeting proceeded as planned after the US dropped its demand. The initial US request was interpreted by Ukraine as a figurative expression of urgency, but proved to be a literal precondition for the meeting. Zelenskyy’s refusal to sign under pressure ultimately led to constructive dialogue.
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European leaders will convene in Paris on Monday to coordinate their response to the Trump administration’s exclusion of Europe from U.S.-Russia talks on ending the war in Ukraine. The meeting, including key EU members, the UK, and NATO, aims to address European security concerns arising from potential peace deals negotiated without Ukrainian or European input. Zelenskyy has firmly rejected any agreement excluding Ukraine, while concerns persist that a deal could undermine Kyiv and broader European security. Discussions will likely focus on formulating a unified European approach, potentially including a joint envoy and exploring the possibility of contributing peacekeeping troops to secure a future ceasefire.
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Ukraine and the UAE formalized an economic partnership agreement on Monday, establishing free trade. President Zelenskyy’s subsequent trip to Turkey and Saudi Arabia is unrelated to concurrent U.S.-Russia talks in Riyadh, though he intends to inquire about their progress. While Zelenskyy supports European involvement in future negotiations to pressure Russia for peace, both Moscow and Washington have rejected this proposal, citing differing priorities for their bilateral discussions. The Kremlin emphasized that its focus is on rebuilding U.S.-Russia relations and laying the groundwork for potential Ukraine negotiations.
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Sky News captured footage of Russian ships Sparta and Sparta 2, sanctioned by the US in 2022, transiting the English Channel on February 13th. These vessels, owned by a Russian Ministry of Defence company, transported military equipment evacuated from Syria following the Assad regime’s fall. The British Navy’s RFA Tideforce shadowed the Russian ships, which were accompanied by the armed Russian naval ship RFS Aleksandr Otrakovskiy. This equipment was likely moved from Russia’s now-abandoned Tartus naval base.
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John Q. Hosedrinker