A new $988 million military aid package for Ukraine, nearly halving the remaining Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative funds, was announced. This package, which includes drones and ammunition for HIMARS, prioritizes purchasing new weapons from industry rather than depleting U.S. stockpiles. The aid is being expedited before the incoming administration, due to concerns about the future of U.S. support for Ukraine under the new president. This action follows a previous $725 million package and builds on over $62 billion in total U.S. security assistance since the Russian invasion.
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Ukrainian naval drones, under the command of Vice-Admiral Oleksii Neizhpapa, successfully targeted and destroyed Russian surveillance systems on gas platforms in occupied Crimea on November 7th. This action follows a series of recent Ukrainian strikes on Crimean targets, including the destruction of radar stations and infrastructure in Sevastopol. These attacks demonstrate continued Ukrainian offensive capabilities in the Black Sea and represent a significant disruption to Russian operations in the region. The successful strikes underscore Ukraine’s commitment to reclaiming occupied territories.
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Denmark’s second delivery of F-16 fighter jets bolsters Ukraine’s air defenses, with the first batch already proving effective against Russian missiles. This positive development contrasts with Zelenskyy’s criticism of other allies’ insufficient support. The announcement follows deadly Russian attacks in Zaporizhzhia and Kryvyi Rih, resulting in multiple casualties. Zelenskyy, while in Paris for meetings including with President Macron and President-elect Trump, reiterated that only strength can counter Russia’s aggression and achieve lasting peace.
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Artyom Antonov, a 19-year-old Russian conscript, was fatally shot in the head at a Primorsky Krai training range on October 21st. A police document indicates the shooting stemmed from Antonov’s refusal to deploy to the Kursk region, where Ukrainian forces are active, and his subsequent alleged torture at the hands of his commanding officers. Antonov’s family reported his body showed signs of a beating and a head wound, alleging a cover-up by the military. This incident contradicts Kremlin assurances that inexperienced conscripts would not be deployed to combat zones.
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Recent developments in the Russo-Ukrainian War include Ukraine’s unveiling of the “Peklo” missile-drone, a new domestically produced weapon system with a range of 700 kilometers. Simultaneously, reported Ukrainian drone strikes on the Kerch Strait led to the temporary closure of the Crimean Bridge, a key Russian supply route. Further, a Ukrainian partisan group claimed responsibility for sabotaging a railway line in Russia’s Kursk Oblast, while Russia replaced the region’s governor due to perceived mismanagement following a Ukrainian incursion. Finally, an Estonian company announced plans to test AI-guided anti-drone missiles in Ukraine in 2025.
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Russia’s National Welfare Fund (NWF), initially holding $140 billion in liquid assets, has been significantly depleted to $53.8 billion due to the ongoing war and budget deficits. To cover these shortfalls, projected to reach $61 billion over the next three years, Russia has resorted to selling gold reserves and faces further financial strain from recent US sanctions impacting trade with China. These sanctions have complicated transactions, forcing reliance on intermediaries for payments. The dwindling NWF reserves highlight the increasing economic pressure on Russia.
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A Belarusian Investigative Center report revealed a Russian-operated torture chamber in Naroulia, Belarus, between March and May 2022, where Ukrainian prisoners of war and civilians were held and abused. Concurrently, a record-high 151 Russian drones illegally entered Belarusian airspace in November, significantly exceeding previous monthly totals. The European Parliament responded by urging stronger sanctions against Belarus, Iran, and North Korea for supporting Russia’s war effort. Furthermore, sanctioned Belarusian potash producer Belaruskali filed a €1 billion arbitration claim against Lithuania.
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Russia retaliated against Poland’s October closure of a Russian consulate in Poznań by ordering the closure of Poland’s consulate in Saint Petersburg, effective January 10, 2025. Three Polish diplomats were declared personae non grata and expelled. This action reflects escalating tensions between the two countries, stemming from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Poland’s accusations of Russian sabotage and cyberwarfare. The Russian foreign ministry cited Poland’s “openly hostile policy” towards Russia as justification for its actions.
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The Ukrainian Congress Committee of America (UCCA) has formally petitioned the FCC to deny SpaceX’s application for 22,488 additional Starlink satellites, citing concerns over Elon Musk’s ties to Russia and potential misuse of Starlink by Russian forces. The petition highlights Musk’s alleged interference in a Ukrainian military operation against the Russian navy and his reported secret conversations with Vladimir Putin. Furthermore, reports of Starlink terminals being found on Russian drones further fuel these national security concerns. The UCCA represents the interests of approximately two million Ukrainian-Americans.
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A Ukrainian drone strike successfully destroyed a North Korean Bulsae-4 anti-tank missile vehicle in Kharkiv Oblast. This marks the first confirmed strike on a North Korean vehicle deployed to support the Russian war effort in Ukraine. The Bulsae-4, carrying eight anti-tank missiles, was targeted by the Vitrolom drone group, part of the Ukrainian army’s 3rd Assault Brigade. This action highlights the growing importance of targeting North Korean reinforcements, crucial to sustaining Russia’s increasingly costly offensives in eastern Ukraine and Kursk Oblast.
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John Q. Hosedrinker