A significant fire destroyed a Shahed drone warehouse at Russia’s Alabuga Special Economic Zone on December 23rd, resulting in an estimated $16 million in damages to 65 drone fuselages and other critical components. Ukraine’s HUR reported the incident, stating the fire eliminated materials for approximately 400 Shahed drones, though they did not claim responsibility. This attack follows previous Ukrainian strikes on the Yelabuga drone factory, highlighting ongoing efforts to disrupt Russia’s drone production capabilities. Local authorities have yet to publicly acknowledge the incident.
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A Russian cargo ship, the Sparta, tasked with evacuating troops and equipment from Syrian bases, experienced engine failure in the Atlantic Ocean near Portugal. This occurred amidst uncertainty regarding the future of Russia’s military presence in Syria following a regime change. Russia is reportedly negotiating with Syria’s new leadership to maintain its bases, secured under a 49-year lease with the previous government. The incident follows reports of Russian asset relocation, possibly reflecting a cautious approach to the evolving political landscape in Syria.
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A Russian cargo vessel, Sparta, tasked with evacuating military equipment from Syria, experienced engine failure near Portugal, leaving its crew adrift. Simultaneously, remaining Russian forces in Syria have consolidated at Khmeimim and Tartus bases, amidst ongoing discussions regarding a complete withdrawal by February 2025. This withdrawal is potentially linked to Syria’s pursuit of sanctions relief. The potential loss of Syrian bases could significantly hinder Russia’s African operations.
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A Russian cargo ship, the Sparta, tasked with withdrawing military equipment and personnel from Syria, has suffered a major engine failure and is adrift near Portugal. This incident complicates Russia’s ongoing withdrawal from Syria following the collapse of the Assad regime and underscores the logistical challenges involved. Russia is reportedly attempting to relocate its military assets to Africa, but these efforts have been hampered by setbacks in Libya and Sudan. The failure to maintain its Syrian presence will likely damage Russia’s international standing and strategic goals.
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Ukrainian forces killed three North Korean soldiers in Russia’s Kursk region and seized their falsified Russian military IDs, revealing Pyongyang’s involvement in the conflict. These documents, bearing Russian names and birthplaces but Korean signatures, underscore Russia’s attempts to conceal foreign troop losses. US and South Korean intelligence estimates suggest thousands of North Korean soldiers have been deployed, suffering substantial casualties, with reports ranging from several hundred to over a thousand killed or wounded. Ukraine alleges Russia is actively concealing these losses, including claims of body burning and rapid body removal from the battlefield.
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Following the Syrian regime change, Russia’s attempt to bolster its Libyan military base, primarily by transferring equipment from Syria, is facing strong opposition from Libya’s UN-backed government. Prime Minister Dabaiba firmly rejects the use of Libya as a battleground for international conflicts, explicitly forbidding the transfer of Russian weapons. This action is viewed as a significant turning point, potentially jeopardizing Russia’s strategy of maintaining neutrality in Libya’s internal conflict. Simultaneously, increasing US economic pressure, including a potential audit of Libyan finances, is adding to the complexity of the situation and revealing connections between Libyan actors and Russia.
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A video circulating online allegedly shows Australian citizen Oscar Jenkins, a prisoner of war in Ukraine, being interrogated and assaulted by Russian forces. The Australian government is working to verify the video’s authenticity and confirm Jenkins’ well-being, while urging Russia to uphold its international legal obligations regarding POWs. The government is providing consular support to Jenkins’ family and has reiterated its travel advisory warning against travel to Ukraine. Social media profiles seemingly belonging to Jenkins reveal a background in biology and a history of advocating for veganism.
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On Saturday, eight Ukrainian drones attacked Kazan, Russia, targeting both civilian and military infrastructure between 7:40 a.m. and 9:20 a.m. local time. Russian air defenses intercepted three drones, but the attack resulted in fires at several residential buildings, though no casualties were reported. The assault prompted temporary restrictions at three airports and selective evacuations of some schools. While some drones targeted a key gunpowder plant, others struck civilian areas, causing outrage among local officials.
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On the night of December 21-22, 2024, Russia launched a massive drone assault on Ukraine, deploying 103 unmanned aerial vehicles from multiple directions. Ukrainian air defenses successfully intercepted 52 drones, while 44 decoys vanished from radar. Accompanying this attack was an Iskander-M missile launch from Crimea, and resulting damage included infrastructure and property across several Ukrainian oblasts, though thankfully no casualties were reported. The attacks originated from various locations within Russia and occupied Ukrainian territories.
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A joint investigation by BBC Russia and Mediazona has identified 84,761 Russian soldiers killed in Ukraine, a figure likely far lower than the actual number. This count, compiled from publicly available sources, shows over 20,000 confirmed deaths in the past year alone, potentially making 2024 the deadliest yet. These findings contrast with Western estimates exceeding 750,000 Russian military losses, including Ukrainian figures of 772,280 troops lost since the invasion’s start. Moscow’s refusal to release casualty figures is highlighted by a recent admission of 48,000 requests to identify missing soldiers.
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John Q. Hosedrinker