On October 27, Ukrainian Special Operations Forces targeted a Russian fuel storage site and oil facility in occupied Luhansk, using precision drone strikes that resulted in explosions and large fires. The operation, designed to disrupt Russian fuel distribution along key supply routes, targeted fully loaded fuel tanks. This action is part of Ukraine’s ongoing asymmetric warfare campaign aimed at degrading Russia’s logistical capabilities and offensive potential. Notably, this follows a long-range drone strike on a Russian oil refinery in Ryazan, which temporarily halted key processing facilities.
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An investigation by The New York Times reveals that Vietnam has significantly increased its military purchases from Russia, employing covert financial channels to circumvent sanctions. Despite strengthening ties with the US, Vietnam resumed major arms deals with Russia by 2024, potentially accelerating when Trump returned to office. Documents from Russian state exporter Rostec indicate a potential $8 billion deal, including fighter jets, alongside electronic warfare systems and mobile jammers. To facilitate payments, Vietnam and Russia established a scheme using joint oil-and-gas ventures. This move reflects a broader geopolitical strategy by Vietnam to diversify its suppliers and navigate regional tensions, as one official stated that the US should focus on cooperation in non-military sectors rather than pressuring Vietnam to cease arms purchases from Russia.
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A Ukrainian strike on a dam near Belgorod, Russia, has resulted in uncontrolled water flow, impacting Russian forces that crossed the Siverskyi Donets River near Vovchansk, Ukraine. The flooding has complicated Russian logistics, isolating units on the Ukrainian side of the river and potentially leading to captures. This strike was confirmed by Ukrainian officials, with the Belgorod Governor acknowledging the ongoing risk of further damage and flooding due to potential repeat strikes on the dam. This event highlights the continued struggle for control in the region, including the partially occupied town of Vovchansk.
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Following Russia’s confirmation of a Burevestnik missile test, President Trump publicly criticized President Putin, urging him to prioritize ending the war in Ukraine instead of testing new weapons. Trump, speaking during his Asia tour, stated that Russia’s actions were “not appropriate” and emphasized that the focus should be on ending the prolonged conflict. The US government also announced new sanctions against Russian energy companies, and Trump declared he would not meet with Putin again until a verifiable peace deal for Ukraine is secured, expressing disappointment with the current state of affairs despite his past positive relationship with the Russian leader.
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On October 26, Ukraine’s Land Forces announced the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 anti-aircraft missile system, estimated to be worth $45 million. The Buk-M3, a key Russian air defense asset used to target various airborne, ground, and water-based threats, was struck by Ukraine’s “Black Forest” brigade at an undisclosed location. The Buk-M3, a medium-range surface-to-air missile system, has been upgraded over the years and is designed to track and engage multiple targets simultaneously. This reported strike follows previous successful Ukrainian attacks on Russian Buk systems, highlighting ongoing efforts to degrade Russia’s air defense capabilities.
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Following a strike by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the dam near Belgorod has sustained damage, leading to a leak and subsequently, flooding. The 16th Army Corps of Ukraine reports this has complicated Russian logistics and isolated units that crossed the Siverskyi Donets River near Vovchansk. Russian authorities have proposed relocating residents of some settlements due to potential flooding. While some garden plots have flooded, and no homes, the 16th Army Corps suggests the situation has shifted against the Russian forces due to the compromised dam.
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On the evening of October 26, Moscow experienced an unexpected drone attack, with explosions and plumes of smoke reported throughout the city, despite Russian authorities’ claims of successful interception. While some reports blamed Ukrainian drones, evidence suggests the possibility of the attack originating from Russia’s own air defense systems. Photos emerged of Russian soldiers stationed near the Kremlin, and earlier in the day, the Moscow region and an airfield were also targeted. Additionally, Ukrainian forces struck the Belgorod dam, leading to water leakage and isolating Russian forces.
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During a recent conversation, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy informed Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk that Ukraine is prepared to continue its resistance against the Russian invasion for another two to three years. Zelenskyy expressed concern about the war’s lasting impact on Ukraine’s population and economy if the conflict persists beyond that timeframe. Tusk noted the economic strain the war is placing on Russia, while also cautioning that internal destabilization could make Vladimir Putin more aggressive. Tusk also stressed the importance of continued European solidarity with Ukraine and warned against pressuring Zelenskyy to make territorial concessions.
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On October 23, the Ukrainian military released footage purportedly showing a Russian FPV drone targeting Ukrainian farmers in Donetsk Oblast, with the 12th Brigade Azov describing it as a “safari” of civilians. The video depicts farmers fleeing agricultural equipment as the drone approaches and crashes into a vehicle. This alleged incident adds to the list of reported war crimes. Additionally, reports indicate Russian soldiers killed at least four civilians sheltering in a basement in Zvanivka, Donetsk Oblast, after attempting to obtain information about Ukrainian positions.
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President Trump stated he would not meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin unless there was a clear path towards a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, expressing disappointment in the current situation. Trump previously held a positive relationship with Putin and believed a resolution would be more easily achieved than other diplomatic breakthroughs. White House officials have indicated that a summit is not entirely off the table, contingent upon both sides demonstrating genuine interest in a favorable peace deal. This follows the imposition of U.S. sanctions against Russia, targeting its oil companies, in an effort to pressure a ceasefire.
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John Q. Hosedrinker