Andriy Yermak, head of Ukraine’s Presidential Office, has denounced a purported “100-day peace plan” published by Strana.ua as fabricated. This alleged plan, involving a series of meetings between Putin, Trump, and Zelensky, proposes a swift end to hostilities by May 9th, contingent upon Ukrainian concessions including abandoning NATO aspirations and territorial claims. Key aspects of the plan include an Easter truce, prisoner exchanges, and EU accession by 2030. Yermak’s statement emphasizes that this document is a fake, likely promoted by Russia.
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Two Ukrainian drone attacks this week crippled the Ryazan oil refinery, a major facility accounting for approximately 5% of Russia’s total refining capacity. The attacks damaged crucial infrastructure, halting operations and impacting production of gasoline, diesel, fuel oil, and jet fuel. This significant disruption highlights the increasing effectiveness of Ukrainian drone campaigns against Russian energy infrastructure. The attacks underscore the vulnerability of Russia’s energy sector, a cornerstone of its economy, to these sustained attacks. Russia’s claims of intercepting all drones involved are contradicted by the refinery’s significant damage and operational shutdown.
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Despite a US push for peace, Ukraine faces a new challenge: an influx of North Korean troops fighting alongside Russia. Kyiv reports that approximately 11,000 North Korean soldiers have been deployed, suffering heavy initial casualties but adapting and improving their battlefield performance over time. However, these soldiers reportedly receive orders to avoid capture at all costs, leading to self-inflicted deaths and executions to conceal identities. The continued deployment of North Korean soldiers raises concerns about the expanding scope of the conflict and the need for further international involvement.
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A leaked document purportedly details former President Trump’s 100-day plan to end the Russia-Ukraine war, involving direct communication with Putin and Zelensky, a ceasefire by Easter, and territorial concessions from Ukraine. The plan, published by a Ukrainian outlet with ties to Russian propaganda, proposes Ukrainian neutrality, EU membership by 2030, and the lifting of some sanctions against Russia. Zelensky’s office has vehemently denied the plan’s authenticity, highlighting the potential for it to undermine Ukraine’s sovereignty and peace negotiations. The plan’s veracity remains unverified.
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Ukraine’s naval forces successfully used fourteen deployed Vampire systems, equipped with APKWS missiles, to intercept a Russian Kh-59 missile targeting the Yuzhny seaport, marking the first confirmed instance of this technology downing such a missile. This follows earlier successful interceptions of Shahed drones using the same system. While initial deliveries were swift, experts highlight the need for a significant increase in the number of systems to effectively counter aerial threats, given the existing capacity for scaling production. The successful deployment underscores the growing effectiveness of this relatively new technology in Ukraine’s air defense efforts.
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Ukraine significantly escalated cross-border strikes into Russia in January 2025, exceeding previous months’ activity, fueled by a booming domestic drone industry. This surge reflects a dramatic increase in Ukrainian drone production, reaching over 1.5 million units in 2024, with domestic manufacturers supplying over 90%. Kyiv plans to further expand production, aiming for at least 30,000 long-range drones, alongside thousands of cruise and missile drones in 2025. These advancements support Ukraine’s stated military objectives of halting Russian advances and intensifying strikes on strategic targets within Russia and occupied territories.
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North Korea’s substantial military support for Russia includes approximately 12,000 troops deployed to the Kursk region, providing an estimated 60% of ammunition used by Russian forces. These troops, lacking modern training and equipment, are reportedly employed as “cannon fodder” in offensive actions, resulting in significant reported casualties. This support, in exchange for technology, funding, and food, underscores the ongoing military cooperation between the two nations despite considerable risks. The captured North Korean soldier incident and reports of disguised rocket launchers further illustrate the nature of this assistance.
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The Russian Navy newspaper warned that relatives of Russian soldiers are inadvertently aiding Ukraine by sharing their loved ones’ locations online, leading to precision strikes. This information is reportedly compiled by Ukrainian intelligence and used to target Russian troops and training grounds. The warning, promoted by pro-war blogger Anastasia Kashevarova, calls for the prosecution of these women. The article notes Kashevarova’s ties to Russian militant groups and Ramzan Kadyrov, highlighting the context of this alarming message within a pro-war media landscape.
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Ukrainian Air Force units, collaborating with other defense forces, successfully struck Russian drone storage sites in Oryol Oblast, Russia. The attack reportedly destroyed over 200 Shahed drones, including reinforced structures containing thermobaric warheads. Significant secondary explosions were reported following the strikes. These operations, targeting infrastructure used to attack Ukrainian civilians, will continue, according to the General Staff.
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Three US Boeing 747 cargo planes, contracted by USTRANSCOM, recently delivered military aid to Rzeszów-Jasionka Airport in Poland. This shipment likely comprises part of a $500 million aid package approved under the Presidential Drawdown Authority, adding to over $65 billion already provided. The cargo is speculated to include various munitions and equipment, such as HIMARS ammunition and F-16 spares. Rzeszów-Jasionka’s proximity to Ukraine and its capacity for large aircraft make it a crucial hub for such deliveries.
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John Q. Hosedrinker