US-Russia preliminary ceasefire talks are scheduled in Riyadh, prompting a parallel European summit in Paris to address concerns over exclusion from the process and potential US-Russia deals compromising Ukrainian sovereignty. The Paris summit, attended by key European leaders including the UK, will focus on a European action plan, including potential troop commitments to a stabilization force and a NATO membership offer for Ukraine contingent on a Russian ceasefire breach. Simultaneously, fears persist regarding a potential US-Russia carve-up of Ukraine, mirroring the Yalta agreement, and a lack of Ukrainian involvement in the Riyadh talks. European leaders are divided on responding to these developments, with some anticipating a transatlantic rupture while others seek to strengthen European security offerings to maintain a role in Ukraine’s future.
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Despite US assurances of Ukrainian involvement, a senior Ukrainian source confirms Kyiv received no invitation to US-Russia peace talks scheduled for Saudi Arabia. These talks, involving US envoys and potentially leading to further meetings, proceed without European participation, prompting a separate European summit in Paris. President Zelensky has firmly rejected any peace deal excluding Ukraine. Conflicting statements from US officials regarding Ukrainian involvement and the overall peace process have created uncertainty and concern.
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Amidst a potential US-Russia peace deal excluding Ukraine and Europe, Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced the UK’s readiness to deploy troops to Ukraine to enforce a peace agreement with Russia, emphasizing the need for a strong European defense. This decision comes ahead of a Paris summit with European leaders and a planned Washington visit with President Trump, highlighting concerns about reduced US defense commitments and the need for collective action. Despite calls for increased military spending beyond the planned 2.5% of GDP, the government maintains its current commitment. Starmer insists Ukraine must be included in any negotiations to prevent a repeat of the Afghanistan withdrawal and ensure a lasting peace.
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Despite US assurances of Ukrainian involvement, a senior Ukrainian source confirms Kyiv received no invitation to US-Russia peace talks scheduled for Saudi Arabia. These talks, initiated after a renewed US-Russia dialogue, will proceed without European participation, prompting a separate European summit in Paris. President Zelensky has repeatedly rejected any peace deal excluding Ukraine, while US officials offer conflicting statements regarding Kyiv’s role in the negotiations. The situation highlights conflicting approaches and a lack of clarity surrounding the peace process.
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In Kursk Oblast, Russia, the Ukrainian 47th Mechanized Brigade decisively repelled an assault by the Russian 155th Naval Infantry Brigade, utilizing mines and drone strikes to inflict heavy casualties. This victory, following earlier successes against Russian and North Korean forces, expands the Ukrainian salient in the region, a strategically important area. The salient’s capture serves as a bargaining chip in potential negotiations with Russia, although these are complicated by President Trump’s demands for Ukrainian resources in exchange for continued U.S. aid. The 47th Brigade’s continued success buys time for President Zelenskyy to navigate these complex diplomatic and political challenges.
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President Zelensky warned that a U.S. withdrawal from NATO would almost certainly lead to Russia occupying more of Europe, starting with former Soviet states. He emphasized that European nations lack the unified response needed to counter such an aggression, leaving them vulnerable to Russian expansion. Concerns heightened by Trump’s close relationship with Putin and reported back-channel negotiations between U.S. officials and Russia regarding Ukraine, excluding Ukraine itself, further fueled Zelensky’s anxieties. Zelensky firmly rejected any agreements made about Ukraine without its direct involvement, while acknowledging Ukraine’s dependence on continued U.S. aid for survival.
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Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer declared the UK’s readiness to deploy troops on the ground in Ukraine as part of a broader security guarantee, emphasizing that securing a lasting peace is paramount to deterring further Russian aggression. This deployment, potentially alongside other European nations, would occur along the Ukrainian-Russian border following a ceasefire and is contingent upon a US security guarantee to ensure lasting peace. Starmer stressed that Ukraine must be included in any peace negotiations, warning against repeating past mistakes where the affected nation was excluded from talks. The announcement follows concerns regarding potential US-Russia negotiations that would exclude European partners and Ukraine.
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Ukrainian forces recently retook the village of Pischane, reversing Russian advances made earlier this year near Pokrovsk. This counteroffensive comes amidst reports of slowing Russian progress due to heavy casualties and effective Ukrainian drone warfare. Despite this, President Zelenskyy warned of Russia’s potential to escalate the conflict, expanding the war and targeting NATO, while simultaneously calling for a just and lasting peace. Zelenskyy also revealed that Ukraine was excluded from discussions regarding a potential Putin-Trump summit. The Kremlin continues its attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, causing widespread damage and disruption.
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President Zelenskyy rejected a U.S. proposal regarding Ukraine’s rare earth minerals, citing a lack of concrete security guarantees in return for access to these vital resources. The U.S. viewed the minerals as compensation for past and future aid, while Ukraine insisted any agreement must prioritize its national security interests and involve binding security commitments to deter future Russian aggression. This rejection, deemed “short-sighted” by a White House official, prompted Ukraine to prepare a counter-proposal emphasizing the need for both economic and security benefits. The disagreement highlights conflicting priorities between the U.S. and Ukraine regarding the exploitation of these critical minerals.
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President Zelensky warned that a weakened NATO, potentially resulting from decreased US support, could embolden Russia to launch a wider war in Europe. He expressed concern that a Trump administration might withdraw US military support from Europe, creating an opportunity for Russian expansionism. While Zelensky believes Trump could pressure Putin into negotiations, he stressed the importance of not trusting the Russian leader. Zelensky reiterated his call for a European army, citing a potential decrease in US commitment to European security.
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John Q. Hosedrinker