The U.S. proposed a deal to Ukraine offering security guarantees, including potential troop deployment, in exchange for 50% of its rare earth minerals. This proposal, presented by Treasury Secretary Bessent, was deemed a “memorandum,” not a formal security agreement, by President Zelensky, who requested further review. While Zelensky hasn’t signed, he has previously indicated openness to resource partnerships for security guarantees. Trump further claimed an “essential agreement” on a $500 billion resource deal.
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Behind-the-scenes at the Munich Security Conference, the US pressured Ukraine to immediately sign a proposed mineral resources deal in exchange for a meeting with Vice President JD Vance, threatening to cancel the meeting otherwise. Kyiv refused to sign the US’s proposed version of the agreement, rejecting proposed amendments. Despite this refusal, the meeting proceeded as planned after the US dropped its demand. The initial US request was interpreted by Ukraine as a figurative expression of urgency, but proved to be a literal precondition for the meeting. Zelenskyy’s refusal to sign under pressure ultimately led to constructive dialogue.
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European leaders will convene in Paris on Monday to coordinate their response to the Trump administration’s exclusion of Europe from U.S.-Russia talks on ending the war in Ukraine. The meeting, including key EU members, the UK, and NATO, aims to address European security concerns arising from potential peace deals negotiated without Ukrainian or European input. Zelenskyy has firmly rejected any agreement excluding Ukraine, while concerns persist that a deal could undermine Kyiv and broader European security. Discussions will likely focus on formulating a unified European approach, potentially including a joint envoy and exploring the possibility of contributing peacekeeping troops to secure a future ceasefire.
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Ukraine and the UAE formalized an economic partnership agreement on Monday, establishing free trade. President Zelenskyy’s subsequent trip to Turkey and Saudi Arabia is unrelated to concurrent U.S.-Russia talks in Riyadh, though he intends to inquire about their progress. While Zelenskyy supports European involvement in future negotiations to pressure Russia for peace, both Moscow and Washington have rejected this proposal, citing differing priorities for their bilateral discussions. The Kremlin emphasized that its focus is on rebuilding U.S.-Russia relations and laying the groundwork for potential Ukraine negotiations.
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Sky News captured footage of Russian ships Sparta and Sparta 2, sanctioned by the US in 2022, transiting the English Channel on February 13th. These vessels, owned by a Russian Ministry of Defence company, transported military equipment evacuated from Syria following the Assad regime’s fall. The British Navy’s RFA Tideforce shadowed the Russian ships, which were accompanied by the armed Russian naval ship RFS Aleksandr Otrakovskiy. This equipment was likely moved from Russia’s now-abandoned Tartus naval base.
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Ukrainian President Zelenskyy firmly stated that Ukraine will not participate in, nor recognize any agreements reached in, Saudi Arabia-based talks between Russian and US representatives concerning Ukraine. He emphasized that any negotiations excluding Ukraine are meaningless. Zelenskyy’s own Saudi Arabia visit, focusing on oil price reduction and unrelated to the US-Russia discussions, included plans to address the talks directly with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Zelenskyy believes President Trump holds significant influence over oil prices and could potentially lower them.
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A Moscow court levied a 3.8 million ruble ($41,530) fine against Google for YouTube content providing instructions on surrendering to Ukrainian forces. This penalty follows Russia’s ongoing practice of fining foreign tech platforms for allegedly illegal content related to the Ukraine conflict. The fine comes amidst accusations by critics that Russia is intentionally throttling YouTube speeds to suppress dissenting viewpoints. Google has yet to publicly respond to the ruling and denies Russia’s claims of equipment failures causing the speed issues.
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French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot deems Russia’s return to the G7 currently impossible due to its undemocratic actions and aggression against G7 members. He highlighted Russia’s increasingly autocratic nature and its unprovoked war in Ukraine as key obstacles. However, Barrot left open the possibility of future reintegration contingent upon a “just and lasting peace” in Ukraine and renewed engagement with the Russian people. This contrasts with recent statements by US President Trump advocating for Russia’s reinstatement.
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At the Munich Security Conference, German and UK foreign ministers Annalena Baerbock and David Lammy declared Ukraine’s NATO accession irreversible, framing it as the most cost-effective long-term security solution for Europe. Both emphasized that maintaining NATO membership as an option for Ukraine is significantly more affordable than alternative security measures. This stance aligns with ongoing Allied discussions and President Zelenskyy’s assertion that Ukraine will not compromise on NATO aspirations. Lammy further noted that even with a resolution to the current conflict, enduring security concerns necessitate continued dialogue with the US on future security guarantees.
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Next week in Saudi Arabia, a Trump-appointed delegation, including Secretary of State Rubio and National Security Adviser Waltz, will meet with Russian officials to negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine. These talks, following Trump’s calls with Zelenskyy and Putin, aim to facilitate peace with Ukrainian involvement. While Ukraine’s role is a key concern, the potential agreement’s terms remain undefined, though NATO membership for Ukraine and full territorial reclamation seem unlikely. Further high-level meetings, including a Trump-Putin summit, are anticipated.
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John Q. Hosedrinker