On February 20, 2025, Ukrainian Security Service units, in coordination with other defense forces, successfully struck the Novovelichkovskaya oil pumping station in Russia’s Krasnodar territory, a key facility supporting the Russian occupation forces. The station services the Tikhoretsk – Novorossiysk-2 pipeline. Russian forces responded with ground-based air defenses and helicopters. Further assessment of the strike’s effectiveness is underway, but future operations targeting similar strategic facilities are planned.
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The UK will announce its largest sanctions package against Russia since the war began, targeting the military and revenue streams fueling the conflict in Ukraine. This action, spearheaded by Foreign Secretary David Lammy, coincides with the war’s third anniversary and underscores a continued commitment to supporting Ukraine. The sanctions announcement also includes a pledge of £3 billion in annual aid to Kyiv and the possibility of deploying UK troops for peacekeeping. These measures come as the US, under President Trump, shifts its position on the war, prompting UK efforts to maintain a united European front.
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Negotiations between the US and Ukraine regarding rare earth minerals have stalled due to disagreements over the terms. Ukraine finds the draft deal unacceptable, viewing it as unfairly extracting resources from a war-torn nation without sufficient security guarantees in return. The US aims to reduce reliance on China for critical minerals, while Ukraine seeks robust protection against future Russian aggression. Despite intense US pressure, Ukraine continues to seek amendments to ensure reciprocal commitments.
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NATO plans a €21 billion pipeline network to rapidly supply jet fuel to eastern European fighter jets, addressing Cold War-era infrastructure deficiencies that leave eastern deployments vulnerable. This project, expected to finish by 2035, is driven by concerns over fuel security in the event of conflict with Russia. The initiative follows reports of Russian demands for NATO troop withdrawals from Eastern Europe, and underscores anxieties about potential compromises by the US regarding its support for Ukraine. The project aims to strengthen NATO’s eastern flank and its ability to respond effectively to future threats.
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Videos and testimony reveal the Russian military is returning wounded soldiers, some on crutches, to the front lines due to severe manpower shortages. This practice, confirmed by Western officials and a Ukrainian defense intelligence official, involves redeploying soldiers with significant injuries, even those recently operated on, to combat roles. This tactic, observed over the past six months, appears to be an attempt to mask losses and avoid paying compensation to families of soldiers killed in action. The practice highlights Moscow’s struggle to maintain its offensive without a broader, potentially unpopular, mobilization.
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Following initial comments downplaying Russia’s role in the conflict, President Trump acknowledged Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, attributing blame to both Russian President Putin and Ukrainian President Zelenskyy for the situation. He subsequently predicted an imminent minerals agreement between the U.S. and Ukraine, despite Zelenskyy’s earlier rejection of a proposed deal. This shift in tone, coupled with Trump’s continued criticism of Zelenskyy, has caused concern among European officials regarding potential concessions to Russia. International leaders, including Poland’s President Duda, are urging continued cooperation between Ukraine and the United States.
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Following a recent phone call with Ukrainian President Zelensky, UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer reaffirmed the UK’s unwavering support for Ukraine’s sovereignty and a just peace. Starmer emphasized Ukraine’s crucial role in any peace negotiations, a stance he will discuss with President Trump during an upcoming visit to Washington D.C. This follows Trump’s controversial moves to re-engage with Russia and downplay Ukraine’s role in peace talks, prompting a flurry of diplomatic activity among European leaders. The discussions underscore the significant geopolitical shift and anxieties surrounding the potential exclusion of Ukraine from future negotiations.
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During a visit to Ukraine, Lieutenant General Keith Kellogg, President Trump’s special envoy, affirmed US support for Ukraine and emphasized the need for a peace deal preventing future conflict with Russia. Kellogg’s stance contrasts sharply with Trump’s accusations against Ukraine, highlighting a potential rift within the Trump administration’s approach to the conflict. Despite concerns about his sidelined role, Kellogg engaged extensively with Ukrainian officials, including President Zelenskyy, focusing on securing a lasting peace that addresses Ukrainian security concerns. His discussions with Ukrainian soldiers underscored the human cost of the war and the imperative to achieve a just resolution.
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A YouGov poll reveals that 48 percent of British respondents prioritize aiding Ukraine over maintaining strong U.S. relations, while only 20 percent hold the opposing view. Support for Ukraine is prevalent across the political spectrum, though notably higher among Liberal Democrats and Labour supporters than Conservatives. Conversely, Reform Party supporters lean towards prioritizing U.S. ties. Prime Minister Starmer, however, aims to bolster transatlantic relations, planning to discuss preventing future Russian aggression and propose a European peacekeeping force during his upcoming White House visit.
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A significant lithium deposit in central Ukraine, near the abandoned village of Liodiane, holds the potential for substantial economic benefit, with an estimated daily extraction capacity of 4,300 tonnes. However, development is stalled due to ongoing conflict and a controversial demand by the former US president for a significant share of Ukraine’s mineral wealth as payment for prior military aid. Ukrainian officials have rejected this demand, emphasizing the need for security guarantees before any deals involving their national resources are considered. The mine’s development, projected to cost $350 million, is contingent on the end of the war and securing international investment.
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John Q. Hosedrinker