Due to significant equipment losses in the war against Ukraine and a shortage of modern military equipment, Russia is returning outdated T-62 tanks to service. Ukraine’s military intelligence (HUR) reports that the primary restoration of these tanks is taking place in the far-eastern Zabaykalsky Krai. The deployment of the T-62s is a temporary measure stemming from a severe shortage of modern battle tanks, with some potentially being used for defensive positions. Russia has reportedly lost a significant number of tanks since the start of its full-scale invasion.
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Amidst warnings of an impending recession, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced plans to reduce military spending over the next three years, despite current spending reaching nearly $172 billion annually. This decision follows warnings from economic officials regarding dwindling resources and a slowdown in wartime economic growth, despite 4.3% growth in 2024. Russia faces challenges including high inflation, labor shortages, and the impact of Western sanctions, leading to cuts in non-military spending, particularly social programs. Furthermore, private industries are suffering, and banking officials have privately warned about a potential crisis next year, while the country struggles with reintegrating returning veterans.
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During a press conference at the NATO summit, President Trump suggested the possibility of Putin invading other countries, while also stating he believes the Russian leader is “misguided”. Trump indicated he’s in regular contact with Putin, who offered to help with the Middle East conflict. Although Trump previously stated he would negotiate an end to the Ukrainian invasion within 24 hours, he now deems such negotiations “more difficult”. Finally, Trump confirmed a “good” meeting with Zelenskyy and would “see” if the US would supply Ukraine with Patriot systems.
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In a joint operation, Ukraine’s Security Service (SSU), Armed Forces, and Special Operations Forces successfully targeted the Marinovka airfield in Russia’s Volgograd Oblast, resulting in the destruction of two Russian Su-34 fighter-bombers and damage to two others. Long-range drones were employed in the attack, which also ignited a fire in the airfield’s technical maintenance area, a key location for aircraft preparation and repairs. The General Staff noted that Su-34s are the primary tactical aircraft used by Russia for strikes on Ukrainian positions and civilian areas, often equipped with guided aerial bombs.
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Russia has concentrated 110,000 troops near Pokrovsk, a strategic city in eastern Ukraine, making it the “hottest spot” along the front line. Despite ongoing offensives for almost a year, Moscow has struggled to capture the city, likely due to Ukrainian defenses and the use of drones. Pokrovsk’s importance lies in its location on a key supply route and as a strategic target for Russia’s goal of controlling the Donetsk region. Ukrainian actions, including a counteroffensive in the Kursk region, have forced Russia to change tactics and now attempt to encircle the city.
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On June 28th, Ukrainian Defence Intelligence (DIU) drones targeted military facilities in Bryansk, Russia. Local reports indicated loud explosions and gunfire, sparking discussion amongst Russians. While authorities remained silent, a Ukrainian intelligence source confirmed the DIU attack hit facilities of the 120th Arsenal. This follows a previous DIU strike on June 26th targeting fuel and lubricant warehouses in the same city.
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As of June 28, the General Staff of Ukraine’s Armed Forces reported that Russia has suffered approximately 1,017,720 casualties since the start of its full-scale invasion on February 24, 2022, with 1,000 casualties occurring in the last day alone. Along with the significant loss of life, Russia has also lost vast amounts of military equipment, including thousands of tanks, armored fighting vehicles, artillery systems, and various other vehicles and vessels. The report details a comprehensive list of destroyed Russian military assets, including aircraft, drones, and submarines, highlighting the extensive damage sustained throughout the conflict.
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Ukraine is preparing to request EU sanctions against Bangladeshi entities for importing wheat stolen from Russian-occupied Ukrainian territories, according to comments from Ukraine’s ambassador to India. Despite Ukrainian diplomatic efforts to halt the trade, Bangladesh has not responded, prompting Kyiv to escalate the issue. The Ukrainian Embassy has requested Bangladesh reject over 150,000 tonnes of allegedly stolen grain shipped from a Russian port, but Bangladesh denies these imports. This action follows ongoing grain theft since 2014 and contributes to the estimated $80 billion in losses suffered by Ukraine’s agricultural sector due to the war.
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The UK Home Office is denying asylum to Ukrainians who fled the war, citing the possibility of internal relocation within Ukraine. This decision, based on revised guidance deeming certain regions “generally safe,” is impacting families seeking permanent settlement and access to essential services, such as education and mental health support. Immigration lawyers report a rise in refusals, particularly affecting vulnerable individuals, and are working on appeals that result in protracted periods of uncertainty. Concerns have been raised regarding these decisions disregarding the ongoing violence and the complexities of individual circumstances, with critics urging a reassessment of the Home Office’s guidance to better reflect the realities faced by those fleeing the conflict.
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MI6 launched Operation Wedlock, a highly sensitive and risky investigation, after the CIA alerted them to concerns that a senior MI6 officer was a double agent for Russia. The investigation, lasting up to two decades, involved extensive surveillance by MI5, including covert operations and international travel to places like the Middle East. Despite these efforts, MI5 was unable to definitively prove the officer was a mole, leaving open the possibility that an agent escaped detection. The operation, considered exceptionally long and expensive, highlighted the extreme concern among intelligence chiefs, who considered the situation akin to the infamous Cambridge spy ring.
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John Q. Hosedrinker