On January 24th, Russian forces allegedly utilized Starlink-guided Shahed attack drones near Kropyvnytskyi, targeting helicopters in the area. Technical analysis suggests the drones employed satellite-based connectivity for control, eliminating the need for traditional relay UAVs. These drones were flown at low altitudes to avoid radar detection, and video footage of the strike was released. If confirmed, this marks a significant advancement in Shahed drone deployment, enabling manual guidance over extended ranges and circumventing electronic-warfare countermeasures.
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French authorities have escalated their efforts to combat vessels allegedly assisting Russia in evading Western oil sanctions. The oil tanker “Grinch,” suspected of belonging to Russia’s shadow fleet, was intercepted and escorted to the Gulf of Fos, with its Indian captain taken into custody. The operation, involving marine commandos and occurring in the Alboran Sea with allied support, triggered nautical and aerial exclusion zones. This marks the second such action in weeks, following the interception of the “Boracay” in September, indicating France’s intent to increase pressure on the ghost fleet and impede Russia’s ability to fund its war.
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Initially, Russia denied Ukrainian involvement in the sinking of its flagship, the Moskva, claiming a fire caused munitions to explode. However, a Russian military court inadvertently admitted the ship was hit by Ukrainian missiles, contradicting the official narrative. The court’s statement, later deleted, detailed the missile strike and casualties, yet Russia has not publicly acknowledged this change. This revelation underscores Russia’s tight control over the war’s narrative and its continued efforts to suppress information contrary to its official claims, which is a common practice in their news reporting.
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The captain of the oil tanker “Grinch,” intercepted by the French navy in the Mediterranean Sea, is in custody for questioning due to suspicions of violating sanctions against Russia. The Indian captain was handed over to judicial authorities following the ship’s diversion to France. The crew, also of Indian nationality, remains on board, while a preliminary investigation has been opened regarding the failure to fly a flag. The tanker originated from Murmansk, Russia, and is believed to be part of Russia’s “shadow fleet.”
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During a meeting commemorating the January Uprising against Russian rule, Poland’s President emphasized that Russia remains a persistent threat to Central and Eastern Europe, regardless of its political system. The leaders, gathered in Vilnius, Lithuania, discussed defense cooperation and the importance of regional voices, such as the Lublin Triangle, being heard globally. A key focus was on defense spending and training areas, specifically the Suwałki Gap, a strategic area connecting Poland and Lithuania. The president highlighted the historical context, noting the uprising’s moral victory and the ongoing fight for freedom against imperial aggression.
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NATO is developing an AI-assisted “automated zone” along its European borders with Russia to act as a defensive buffer, according to General Thomas Lowin. This zone will utilize sensors to detect enemy forces and deploy defenses like drones and automated weapons systems while keeping the ultimate decision-making power with humans. The system will cover thousands of kilometers, providing real-time information to all NATO countries and reinforcing existing forces. Testing of the system is underway in Poland and Romania, with a goal of full operational capability by the end of 2027.
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Reports from Russian Telegram channels indicate that Ukrainian drones struck an oil refinery in Slovyansk-na-Kuban, Krasnodar Krai, on January 26. While photos and videos from social media suggest a fire at the refinery, Russian officials stated that drone debris affected two unspecified enterprises, resulting in one hospitalization. The Kyiv Independent was unable to verify the claims, and Ukraine’s military has not yet commented. This attack continues Ukraine’s strategy of targeting Russian oil and gas infrastructure, potentially impacting Moscow’s key revenue source, as tax revenues are projected to decline significantly.
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India is strategically diversifying its crude oil imports, with purchases from Angola playing a key role in reducing reliance on Russian oil amidst international pressure. This deal highlights Angola, a significant African oil exporter, as a vital supplier offering high-quality crude, particularly the Hungo and Clove grades, favored by Asian refiners. The shift follows stricter sanctions on Russian oil, causing India’s imports of Russian crude to plummet while increasing supplies from OPEC members. This move aligns with India’s efforts to strengthen trade relationships with the United States and the EU.
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In response to the dire situation in Ukraine, Poland is sending substantial aid to help Ukrainians cope with the winter freeze and ongoing Russian attacks. The Polish government has ordered the delivery of 379 power generators and 18 heating units from its strategic reserves, with shipments commencing immediately. Additionally, the city of Warsaw is dispatching 90 generators to Kyiv, and a public fundraiser has raised almost 7 million zloty (€1.7 million) to purchase more equipment for Ukrainians. This aid comes as Ukraine faces freezing temperatures and widespread power outages due to deliberate targeting of energy infrastructure.
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In late December, Poland’s electric grid was targeted in a cyberattack using wiper malware, which aimed to disrupt communications between renewable energy installations and power distribution operators. Security firm ESET attributed the attack to the Russian government hacker group known as Sandworm, based on the malware’s tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs). The wiper malware, designed to erase data and destroy operations, fortunately failed to cause any significant disruption. Sandworm has a history of destructive attacks, including a notable blackout in Ukraine in 2015.
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John Q. Hosedrinker