A recent report by the U.S. Office of Inspector General reveals that nearly half of the Starlink terminals supplied to Ukraine, primarily by USAID and SpaceX, ended up in Russian-occupied territories, raising concerns about potential misuse. The report highlights that USAID failed to implement adequate safeguards for the distributed terminals, which were essential for restoring internet access and power during the conflict. The lack of tracking and usage restrictions, coupled with the omission of military-use prohibitions in the transfer agreements, increased the risk of the terminals being used for military or intelligence operations. USAID has agreed to work with Ukrainian authorities and SpaceX to address the issue, but only for the terminals it directly financed, despite the larger number provided by various international partners.
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In anticipation of a potential ceasefire, a high-stakes summit is set to occur between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin in Anchorage, Alaska, marking the first in-person meeting between the two leaders since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. The summit aims to facilitate discussions towards a just peace, with Zelenskyy and European leaders notably absent from the invite list. The initial private talks will be followed by wider discussions involving key figures from both the US and Russian delegations. Trump also mentioned a positive conversation with Belarusian ruler Alexander Lukashenko, a close ally of Putin, discussing various topics including a potential visit to Alaska.
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On August 15th, approximately 120,000 Ukrainian refugees in the U.S. will begin losing their legal status due to the lapse of a protection program initiated by the Biden administration. This program, Uniting for Ukraine, allowed Ukrainians who arrived before August 16, 2023, to stay legally in the U.S. with work authorization and access to healthcare. However, the Trump administration has decided to let the program lapse, potentially exposing refugees to arrest and deportation despite earlier signals of leniency towards those fleeing the war. As a result, these refugees will begin losing their humanitarian protection.
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On August 15th, a workshop at the Elastik gunpowder plant in Russia’s Ryazan Oblast was devastated by an explosion, resulting in at least five fatalities and over 100 injuries. The blast triggered a fire that consumed the gunpowder-producing facility. Emergency services were deployed, but the cause remains undetermined, though initial reports suggest potential safety violations. The plant had previously experienced a deadly accident in 2021 involving a private explosives manufacturer, Razryad, which rents space from Elastik.
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A new Pew Research Center survey reveals that a majority of U.S. adults are not confident in former President Donald Trump’s ability to make wise decisions regarding the Russia-Ukraine war. The poll, conducted from August 4 to August 10, found that 59% expressed little to no confidence, while only 40% expressed at least some confidence. The survey also highlights partisan divides, with Democrats more likely to believe the U.S. has a responsibility to help Ukraine. These findings come ahead of a meeting between Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, where a potential ceasefire in Ukraine and broader U.S.-Russia matters will be discussed.
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The Ukrainian General Staff reported that strikes on Russian enterprises and infrastructure have caused an estimated $74 billion loss in revenue, accounting for about 4% of Russia’s GDP. Almost 80% of these attacks targeted oil and gas infrastructure, including refineries and storage facilities, with the majority of strikes occurring within 1,000 kilometers of Ukrainian positions. These actions have prompted India, a major buyer of Russian crude, to seek alternative sources, potentially influenced by political pressures from the United States.
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During the upcoming summit in Alaska, Russian President Vladimir Putin is expected to present U.S. President Donald Trump with materials aiming to portray Ukraine as an artificial state, according to Ukraine’s Center for Countering Disinformation. The center warns that these materials, including geographical maps, are intended to justify Russia’s territorial claims and ongoing aggression. This move aligns with Russia’s historical narratives used to rationalize its actions, while Trump has previously indicated he would prioritize a ceasefire and suggested land swaps as part of a peace deal, raising concerns in Kyiv.
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Protesters in Anchorage, Alaska, rallied against the potential meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, citing concerns over Putin’s status as a war criminal. The Native Movement NGO condemned hosting Putin in Alaska as a betrayal of historical values. Following the Alaska meeting, Trump planned a trilateral summit with the Ukrainian president. While European allies expressed cautious optimism, it was clarified that land-for-peace swaps would not be discussed with Putin without the Ukrainian president’s presence.
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Ukrainian forces have been targeting key Russian infrastructure, including energy sites and logistics hubs, in a series of recent attacks. On August 14th, Ukrainian drones struck the Olya seaport, reportedly damaging a ship carrying Shahed drone components and ammunition from Iran, a crucial location for importing military supplies. Other attacks include the LUKOIL-Volgogradneftepererabotka refinery and the Unecha oil pumping station, both critical to Russia’s fuel production and military supply chains. Furthermore, Russia’s air defenses claim to have intercepted numerous Ukrainian drones across various regions, including those over the Samara region where an oil refinery was also targeted.
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As of August 15, the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ General Staff reported that Russia had suffered a staggering loss of 1,068,040 troops since the full-scale invasion began in February 2022, including 940 casualties in the past day. In addition to the immense troop losses, the report details significant equipment destruction, including thousands of tanks, armored fighting vehicles, artillery systems, and various other military assets. The tally also encompasses losses of airplanes, helicopters, and naval vessels, underscoring the extensive impact of the ongoing conflict on Russia’s military capabilities.
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