A senior NATO official, speaking anonymously, dismissed Vladimir Putin’s recent declarations about being ready for war against Europe as a bluff. While acknowledging Russia’s military capabilities, the official stated that Putin is not prepared for a war with Europe and lacks the ability to win. The official emphasized NATO’s unity and its commitment to defending its allies, suggesting that Putin understands the potential consequences of any aggressive actions. This perspective was offered ahead of a NATO ministerial meeting where discussions about a potential peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia were expected.
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Ukrainian forces are maintaining defensive operations in key areas like Pokrovsk, Vovchansk, and Kupiansk, despite claims from Russia’s leadership of capturing these settlements. In Pokrovsk, Ukrainian troops are holding the northern part of the city along the railway, and search-and-assault operations are underway, inflicting heavy losses on Russian forces. The situation remains tense in Vovchansk, where Ukrainian defenders are holding their positions against Russian attempts to advance. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine views these actions as propagandistic efforts by the Kremlin to influence international negotiations, and the Ukrainian military is establishing logistical support to bolster their defenses.
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Cosmonaut Oleg Artemyev has been replaced by Andrey Fedyaev on SpaceX’s Crew-12 mission to the International Space Station, due to allegations of photographing confidential SpaceX materials in California, potentially violating US export control rules. Artemyev reportedly took pictures of SpaceX engines and internal materials on his phone and removed them from the site, leading to his removal from training. Roscosmos officially cited a job transfer as the reason for the change, while the Crew-12 mission, using a Crew Dragon spacecraft, is scheduled for launch on February 15, 2026. SpaceX and NASA have not commented publicly on the reported investigation, which carries significant legal and diplomatic implications.
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Ukrainian President Zelenskyy’s visit to Dublin included a standing ovation and meetings with Irish leaders, coinciding with renewed talks between Putin and Trump’s special envoy. Zelenskyy downplayed expectations for a swift end to the conflict, emphasizing the need for robust security guarantees from the U.S. and European allies. He views any agreement without these guarantees as unrealistic, seeking to prevent future Russian invasions. Ireland’s leaders also stressed the need for Russia to bear the financial burden of Ukraine’s reconstruction, advocating for utilizing frozen Russian funds.
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NATO is considering a shift toward a more aggressive stance against Russia’s hybrid warfare tactics, potentially including “preemptive” cyber or sabotage operations, according to NATO’s military committee chairman. This evaluation comes amidst rising tensions and a series of Russian-linked incidents, such as cyberattacks, information operations, and targeting of critical infrastructure. Russia has responded by accusing NATO of escalating tensions. Experts note Russia’s history of aggression and the need for a strong response to deter further actions.
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Despite recent statements from Russian military leadership claiming battlefield gains, these assertions lack corroboration from Ukrainian sources and appear to be part of a broader propaganda effort. Russian General Valery Gerasimov’s claims of encircling Stepnohirsk and advancing in the Dnipropetrovsk region, along with reports on Kostiantynivka, Sieviersk, and Red Lyman, are all contested by Ukraine. These unverified reports are intended to portray a favorable narrative of the war for Moscow. Simultaneously, peace plan discussions continue, but negotiations are hampered by Ukraine’s firm stance against any territorial concessions, particularly in the Donbas region.
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Newly obtained documents confirm that Russia is secretly manufacturing Su-35 fighter jets for Iran, with deliveries expected by 2027. The internal documents, dating from 2024 to 2025, show coordinated efforts across Russian defense plants to fulfill the order, with parts being manufactured for export and explicitly marked for Iran (“K10”). This deal, which includes full prepayment, highlights the deepening military cooperation between Russia and Iran despite the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Such advanced technology may shift the balance of power in the region.
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Alon Ohel, a recently released hostage, has come forward with accounts of sexual abuse during his captivity in Gaza, becoming the third former hostage to publicly reveal such treatment. The abuse, which began after Ohel was left alone, included manipulation of food rations and sexual harassment. His account, along with those of Guy Gilboa Dalal and Rom Braslavski, details graphic incidents of assault and humiliation endured during their captivity. These survivors’ testimonies underscore the severe brutality and psychological trauma inflicted upon the hostages.
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Secretary of State Marco Rubio and German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul held discussions to address the war in Ukraine, highlighting diverging approaches within the transatlantic alliance. While the US seeks a swift resolution potentially involving concessions from Kyiv, Germany, along with other European nations, emphasizes the importance of Ukrainian sovereignty and rejects any “dictated peace.” These differing views are evident as Rubio skips a NATO meeting in Brussels, sending Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau in his place, adding further uncertainty to the situation. Ultimately, the future of military and financial aid for Kyiv hinges on whether the US and Europe can reconcile their differing views on achieving a lasting peace.
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Adding to a series of recent maritime incidents, a Russian-linked tanker, the Midvolga 2, was struck in the Black Sea on Tuesday while en route from Russia to Georgia, carrying sunflower oil. This marks the fourth such attack in a week, following the bombing of the Mersin off the coast of Senegal and the attacks on the Kairos and Virat near the Bosphorus. While the crew was unharmed and the Midvolga 2 is heading to Turkey, the attacks have been linked to Ukrainian drone strikes targeting vessels suspected of circumventing sanctions against Russia.
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John Q. Hosedrinker