Pollster Ivan Moore predicts that Republican Senator Ted Cruz will lose his Texas Senate seat to Democrat Representative Colin Allred in the upcoming election. The close race could determine which party controls the Senate. Though some recent polls show Cruz leading by between one and seven points, others suggest Allred could outperform him. The Dallas Morning News, the state’s top newspaper by daily circulation, endorsed Allred in a front-page editorial last month, and state politics has been influenced by Democrats in recent electoral cycles. Moore made the bold prediction via Twitter.
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A recent poll prediction showing Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of Donald Trump in Iowa has sparked a dramatic shift in election prediction markets. The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll, conducted by highly respected pollster Ann Selzer, found Harris three points up on Trump among likely voters. Consequently, markets such as Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt, which had previously favored Trump, saw a decrease in his winning probability. Over $174 million has been traded on Kalshi alone related to the election, and Harris’s chances of victory have increased almost 10 points within the span of a week. Despite another favorable poll for Trump, analysts consider the Selzer survey significant due to the accuracy and credibility of previous results.
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Generation Z is participating in a trend of ‘cancelling out’ the votes of family members who are voting differently in the upcoming 2024 US election, showcasing their decision through TikTok videos. Several women posted videos of themselves going to vote for the Democratic nominee Kamala Harris, intending to cancel their fathers’ or husbands’ votes for Donald Trump. The trend sees individuals documenting their journey to the polls with a piece of paper (presumably their ballot) in hand. A September poll of roughly 2,600 registered voters aged 18-29 revealed that half would vote for Harris, a third for Trump, 10% would not vote, and 6% would vote for another candidate. The 2024 election in four days’ time has already seen over 47 million votes cast.
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A surprising turnaround in Iowa sees Democrat Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump 47% to 44% in a recent Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll, despite Iowa’s swing to the right in recent elections. The shift towards Harris is primarily driven by older and politically independent women. Trump however continues to lead with his core base, which includes men, evangelicals, rural residents, and non-college graduates. The poll was conducted from October 28-31 among 808 likely voters, including those who have already voted and those planning to. This development comes as a surprise given the state’s recent electoral history favoring Trump.
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The article criticizes former President Donald Trump as unfit to hold political office in the United States. The author cites several issues with Trump’s character, such as his egoism, deceitfulness, and allegations of sexual assault. Trump’s competency and intellect are also questioned, based on his history in business and politics. The opinion piece underlines concerns about Trump’s knowledge and handling of governance, foreign affairs, and the economy. It ends expressing hope that the values of democracy will resist potential threats presented by Trump’s political influence.
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The New York Times’ Editorial Board has published a critical opinion piece about former US President Donald Trump, claiming he is unfit to lead and a threat to democracy. Highlighting his attempts to subvert an election, his corruption, and lawlessness, they argue that if re-elected, Trump would use the government to target opponents, enact a mass deportation policy, and foster policies causing harm to the poor and middle class. They also maintain that another Trump term would exacerbate climate damage, destroy alliances, and bolster autocracy. They urge Americans to demand better leadership and vote accordingly.
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Embark’s Dog DNA test, created by veterinarians, enables dog owners to learn more about their pet’s breed, family tree, and geographical origin. The test can even help find potential canine relatives, with 94% of dogs tested having at least one genetic match equivalent to a human first cousin. The Breed + Health Test also screens for over 270 genetic health risks and identifies traits such as shedding tendencies and appetite. The test involves a mouth swab and can be purchased for either $99 for the Breed ID Test or $139 for the Breed + Health Test, a discount of $30 and $60 respectively.
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Jeffrey Epstein, the convicted pedophile, claimed in audio recordings obtained by the Daily Beast that he was close to Donald Trump and knowledgeable about his sexual proclivities. Epstein, who called himself Trump’s “closest friend,” alleged that the first time Trump slept with his now-wife Melania was on Epstein’s plane. The recordings were made by author Michael Wolff in 2017 while he was researching his book Fire and Fury. Epstein also described Trump as a charming, fun individual, but claimed he routinely deceived his friends and their wives. The Trump campaign has dismissed these recordings as “false smears” and “election interference.”
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Michael Wolff, author of “Fire and Fury,” conducted periodic interviews with financier and convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein from the summer of 2016 through the first year of the Trump administration. Epstein, who died by apparent suicide in jail in 2019, expressed picklement over the quest for presidency by Donald Trump, whom he knew very well as his friend. Wolff said that Epstein was both fascinated and terrified by Trump. These conversations, which took place mainly in Epstein’s large Manhattan mansion, were first discussed in Wolff’s iHeart “Fire and Fury” podcast, in partnership with the Daily Beast. Listeners, keen to learn about the Trump-Epstein relationship, responded immediately and overwhelmingly to the podcast, leading Wolff to eventually disclose some of Epstein’s observations and experiences about his “fellow predator.”
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A final poll before Election Day shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Trump in Iowa by three points, a significant swing from the double-digit lead Trump had over Joe Biden in June. The survey suggests Harris’ popularity surge is partly due to support from older women and independent voters, with her lead among women aged 65 and older being more than two times. Meanwhile, Trump continues to lead among Iowans between 35 and 54 years of age. Democrats aren’t surprised by the poll’s findings, suggesting it aligns with sentiments heard from various voter groups in Iowa. However, the Trump Campaign and Iowa GOP Chair, Jeff Kauffman, dispute the accuracy of this poll, citing an Emerson College poll that shows Trump still leading.
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John Q. Hosedrinker