Sweden and Ukraine deepen air force cooperation, signs letter of intent for Ukraine to buy 100-150 Saab Gripen E fighter jets, marking a significant step in bolstering Ukraine’s defense capabilities. This is a big deal, not just for Ukraine, but for European defense cooperation as a whole, and it’s certainly grabbing attention. The potential purchase of 100 to 150 Gripen E fighter jets is a serious commitment. Just consider, the lower end of that range, 100 aircraft, would nearly double the number of Gripens currently in service in the Swedish Air Force. It’s a bold move, and it’s easy to see why Ukraine is excited. This is a modern, capable fighter jet that can significantly enhance their ability to defend their airspace.

This cooperation also highlights a stark contrast in approaches. While the US administration’s stance may be perceived as less supportive, Sweden is stepping up to provide tangible assistance. The image of Ukrainian President Zelenskyy seeking advanced hardware in Sweden, potentially bypassing the US for this specific acquisition, is a very strong statement.

However, it’s essential to keep a realistic perspective. This is a letter of intent, not a done deal. There are still many hurdles to overcome, including the specifics of the purchase and financing. The production of these aircraft isn’t instantaneous, so it will take some time before the first Gripens are flying in Ukrainian skies. Funding, and who will cover the costs, is a crucial question that needs answering before the deal can progress.

From a strategic standpoint, the Gripen E is a great fit for Ukraine. The aircraft is versatile and can operate from austere bases, which is vital in a conflict zone. The potential for the Gripen to be deployed in the Ukrainian theater offers a chance to test its capabilities against Russian military assets, providing valuable real-world data and insights.

Production is another key consideration. Saab is currently producing Gripens for both itself and Brazil. However, with Brazil’s production capabilities, it’s possible that Embraer will take over some of the backlog. While this allows for an accelerated production schedule, it’s still a race against time given the urgency of the situation. It’s also worth considering that, given the timeline, at least some of these aircraft could potentially be remote or AI-piloted.

One key aspect of the agreement is the level of assistance and support Sweden is offering. The United States maintains a significant role in terms of military supply and support for Ukraine, this highlights the necessity for European nations to build their own defense systems. This also provides them with a level of independence from potential political interference and potential barriers to export that could arise if they rely solely on U.S. equipment and expertise. It demonstrates a commitment that extends beyond financial aid, signifying Sweden’s belief in the importance of Ukraine’s success.

There is the possibility of leveraging Sweden’s new NATO membership as a means of expediting the process. Sweden might be open to temporarily reducing its own air capabilities by trading older Gripen models for newer ones to get the Ukraine order filled more rapidly.

While the Gripen’s design makes it perfect for Ukraine, and other equipment may have to be ordered from other sources. The importance of this agreement extends beyond the specific capabilities of the fighter jet. It signifies a deeper partnership between Sweden and Ukraine, and it showcases the determination of European nations to defend their shared values and security. The Gripen itself is a potent platform. Any fighter can take down a drone, and it’s much more reliant on the armament than the vehicle. Imagine the impact of having air superiority in the region.

Finally, while Trump may or may not be the problem, his influence could potentially be a factor. Because the Gripen includes American components, the sale is technically subject to U.S. export controls. However, the economic benefits for the US in this transaction would likely make them support the sale.