By John Q. Hosedrinker 
President Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine has successfully halted three Russian offensive campaigns, a crucial victory for the nation. He revealed that Russia is preparing for two additional major offensives, but that the previous attempts have resulted in significant losses for the Russian forces. Zelenskyy emphasized the need for continued Western support, including weapons and financial aid for arms production, to enable Ukraine to withstand the impending attacks.
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Zelenskyy: Russia plans two major offensives, three previous failed. The situation in Ukraine is complex, with a constant back-and-forth. From what I can gather, there’s talk of Russia planning not one, but two new major offensives. This comes after a string of, let’s say, “less successful” attempts – three, to be precise. Now, this isn’t just about battlefield tactics, it’s a reflection of the kind of state Russia has become, struggling to maintain its grip.
It’s crucial to understand the scale of this. Russia, despite its larger army and resource pool, is facing significant challenges. We’re hearing that they aimed to seize Sumy and Pokrovsk this summer. However, they haven’t just failed to capture these areas; in some places, they’re actually being pushed back. The core issue seems to be a combination of factors, with Ukraine proving surprisingly resilient and effective.
One of the key elements here appears to be Ukrainian drone warfare, which is significantly better than Russia’s. This isn’t just about having drones; it’s about having highly skilled teams operating them, such as the 414th Magyar’s Birds, apparently the best of the best. This makes a huge difference on the front lines.
Another factor is the quality of Ukrainian troops. They are generally better trained and equipped. When Ukrainian units are tasked with taking a position, they seem to be getting the job done. Russia, on the other hand, is relying on infiltration tactics, small units trying to gain ground. These can be effective, but the Ukrainians are getting better at countering them.
The ability of Ukraine to counter Russian glide bombs, particularly around Sumy, has been another significant development, through electronic warfare. If Ukraine can effectively neutralize this, it fundamentally changes the game. Russian strategy has largely relied on leveling areas with these bombs, then sending in troops. A successful countermeasure would be a major setback for their offensive capabilities.
The changing dynamics of the war have also forced a strategic shift. The direct, head-on engagements are being avoided. Instead, the Ukrainians are allowing the Russians to advance, then cutting off their advances with drones and ground troops. The pocket of Russian forces is then hit with intense shelling. Subsequently, the Ukrainians are using small units to retake the ground, which gives the Ukrainians an advantage.
This shifts the balance of power. The Russians are hesitant to attack while being unable to grind down the Ukrainian forces. The Ukrainians are employing tactics like small, five-man motorbike assault teams, which are quickly taking stretches of land in Donbas. They move quickly, occupy dugouts and forests, and rely on drone resupply. It’s a mobile, adaptable strategy making them harder to engage.
It’s essential to recognize the importance of this, both for Ukraine and for the broader implications for democracies around the world. This isn’t just about military victories; it’s about defending our values. The narrative that continually downplays the risks posed by Russia is dangerous. It is important to recognize the sacrifices Ukraine has made.
Despite the complexities and the constant stream of information, the reality is that Russia, a state that cannot live in peace, is continuing its aggression. Even with the failures and the shifting strategies, the threat is undeniable. It’s imperative that everyone understands the bigger picture and supports Ukraine in its fight. The world is watching, and the outcome will have lasting consequences.