European diplomats delivered a stern warning to the Kremlin this week, indicating NATO’s readiness to use force, potentially including shooting down Russian planes, in response to future airspace violations. During a tense Moscow meeting, British, French, and German envoys addressed a recent incursion by Russian fighter jets over Estonia. Following discussions, these diplomats determined the airspace violation was a deliberate action orchestrated by Russian commanders.

Read the original article here

Europeans Privately Tell Russia They’re Ready to Shoot Down Jets

It seems the topic of Europeans privately telling Russia they’re ready to shoot down their jets is really grabbing everyone’s attention, and for good reason. The idea of escalating tensions to this level is inherently risky. Of course, the immediate concern that pops into anyone’s mind is, what if Russia retaliates in a way that endangers civilians, maybe even by targeting commercial airliners? That’s a terrifying prospect, and it underlines the serious stakes at play.

So, the underlying sentiment here appears to be shifting toward a “tit-for-tat” approach. Escalating when Russia escalates, de-escalating when they de-escalate – a kind of military mirroring. It’s interesting to consider why there seems to be less fear of Russia than maybe there used to be. Is it because the current situation in Ukraine has revealed the limitations of Russia’s military capabilities? The idea that Russia wouldn’t risk a nuclear response over a few wayward jets certainly gives a different perspective. There’s a sense of incredulity towards Russia’s supposed bluffs, especially when they’re already deeply involved in a conflict in Ukraine.

Considering the context, some are suggesting more assertive actions, like perhaps using drones to patrol airspace or even targeting Russian airfields. The argument seems to be that Russia only respects force, and therefore, a stronger response is necessary. The historical precedent of Turkey shooting down a Russian jet in 2015 is often brought up, seen as the appropriate response in situations like these. It’s a bold stance, but the fact that it’s even considered shows the level of frustration and resolve.

There’s a bit of cynicism too, suggesting the real moves are happening behind the scenes. This article mentioned that a Russian diplomat said that the incursions were a response to Ukrainian attacks on Crimea, which the Kremlin claims aren’t possible without NATO’s involvement. It makes one wonder about the true motivations. There’s a real sense of a long, drawn-out process, possibly until Putin is no longer in power.

I can’t help but wonder how far this could go. Would Russia be brave enough to shoot down a NATO fighter jet? Perhaps we would retaliate with cyberattacks or drone strikes. Then there’s the risk/reward calculation, a constant factor in these situations. The decision-makers are surely weighing up the risks and benefits meticulously, and the response so far suggests they’re in no rush to cross certain lines.

The concept of a strategic non-reaction is pretty fascinating. It could be seen as a display of power in itself, a way of keeping the enemy guessing. Sometimes, the element of surprise is as crucial as direct action. A bit of a power play is going on here.

It all feels like an echo of Cold War strategy, doesn’t it? What would Russia’s reaction be if NATO planes violated Russian airspace? Is it a time for more assertive actions, like bombing Russian airfields or just a test of resolve? The responses seem to have various layers of the same point.

The discussion naturally leans towards the fears of the situation. A fear of Russia and what that means for the world. A fear of the financial costs.

Considering everything, there’s a clear consensus about the need for a measured, strategic approach. We need to be calm and collected and always know where the red line is. We understand the long-term strategy and the complexities of the situation. The end game is to be ready but not to do.